What is M Mescam's strike rate?

M Mescam has won 37 of 287 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Mescam do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Mescam?

Damien Mescam, with 129 runners since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (12.4%).

What is M Mescam's Fair A/E?

1.30, from 281 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Mescam

287 runners in the lifetime window · 73 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2024 92% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

37–287

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=287

89 (31%)

Placed

1.30

Fair A/E

n=281 · 1.13 incl. margin

+57.60

£1 level stake

n=283 at SP · +20.4%

£1.50m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.30). New recruits from other yards win at 18% first time out (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 287 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 16% Damien Mescam: 12.4% from 129 New recruits: 18.2% Claiming riders: 13.5%

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 18.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.88), but debutants struggle at 9.8% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.85). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 16% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.71 and +86.00 to a £1 stake over 106 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Damien Mescam rides 45% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.4%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (19.1%, n=47). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 8.3% over 36 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Montgomery Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2023, £65,708). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16%+3.1

n=106 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +86.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.2%+5.3

n=33 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +23.80

Debutants · first career start

9.8%−3.1

n=41 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −26.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.9%+0.0

n=31 · A/E 1.55 · £1 −13.60

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%−0.4

n=8 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −3.30

When favourite

31%

n=29 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −2.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.5%+0.6

n=52 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −13.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.9%−3.0

n=71 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +7.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a break of 180+ days 19.1% vs 12.9% · n=47

With C&D winners 18.6% vs 12.9% · n=59

With new recruits 18.2% vs 12.9% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 12.9% · n=34

Off a 31-60-day break 8.3% vs 12.9% · n=36

With horses switching code 17% vs 12.9% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 172 19 11% −26.00

Chase 93 13 14% +83.20

Flat 22 5 22.7% +0.40

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 142 17 12% +12.00

Heavy 128 15 11.7% +41.80

Good to Soft 7 3 42.9% +4.30

Good 6 2 33.3% +3.50

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 181 20 11% +57.70

Compiegne (FR) 49 7 14.3% +12.30

Dieppe (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Pau (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 6 2 33.3% +4.60

Fontainebleau 6 2 33.3% +4.70

Deauville (FR) 5 1 20% −2.00

Longchamp (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Chantilly (FR) 3 1 33.3% +2.60

Le Touquet (FR) 2 0 0% —

Limoges (FR) 1 1 100% +1.80

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Wissembourg (FR) 1 1 100% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 71 7 9.9% +7.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 30 9 30% 0.91 −3.50

2nd–3rd fav 48 11 22.9% 1.52 +10.20

4th–6th fav 85 7 8.2% 1.01 −24.40

7th+ in betting 120 9 7.5% 2.14 +75.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.3% completed · 265 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 93 84.9% 4 3 7 0 0

Hurdle 172 80.8% 10 2 21 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Iorana Vallis (FR)then Louisa Carberry 18 3 6 24 Oct 24

Henry Brulard (FR)from Mathieu Pitart · then P Lenogue 16 1 5 6 May 21

Blackfield (FR) 15 3 6 2 Dec 23

Java Du Large (FR) 12 0 3 17 Mar 24

Obeone (FR) 11 4 5 8 Oct 23

Calinight (FR)from G Cherel 11 1 1 11 Apr 22

Bergerac (FR)from G Cherel 11 3 4 24 Dec 20

Burrows Diane (FR)then Patrice Quinton 10 0 5 19 Oct 24

Hurricane Dream (FR)then F-H Graffard 8 4 5 13 Jun 21

Pinaclouddown (IRE)from J-Y Artu · then P Lenogue 8 0 1 13 Mar 21

Autour De Minuit (FR)from Francois Nicolle 7 0 1 19 Oct 24

Royal Devil (FR) 7 0 1 15 May 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 73 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Cherel (8) and Mme A-S Pacault (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for C Escuder (2) and David Pipe (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

00102218150501312120

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDamien Mescam

45% of all rides
12.4% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Damien Mescam 129 16 12.4% +42.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.50m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 8 wins

Blackfield (FR) — Prix Montgomery (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023 · Grade 3

£65,708

Iorana Vallis (FR) — Prix de la Rochelle (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Apr 2023

£43,805

Iorana Vallis (FR) — Prix Jean Victor (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2024

£43,043

Notable horses

Obeone (FR) Hurricane Dream (FR) Iorana Vallis (FR) Blackfield (FR) Bergerac (FR) Defi D'Oudairies (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martaline (GB) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Great Pretender (IRE) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 13% of 3,549 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.

Planteur (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,527 runs since 2017 (162 horses).

Califet (FR) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,798 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Pastorius (GER) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 12.5% of 751 runs since 2017 (118 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.6% from 108.

Spirit One (FR) 25% · 3–12

Progeny have won 10.4% of 1,074 runs since 2012 (128 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 158. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 216.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 287 · newest first

The latest 50 of 287 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2017 to 24 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 24 Auteuil (FR) Iorana Vallis (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Montgomery (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Heavy · 17 ran 9th 34/1

21 Oct 24 Compiegne (FR) Luckymix (FR)J: Victor Nail-Rocher Prix Falzarego (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 12/1

19 Oct 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Miss Hungerford (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 17/2

19 Oct 24 Auteuil (FR) Burrows Diane (FR)J: Victor Nail-Rocher Prix Miss Hungerford (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 19/1

28 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Villez (Hurdle) (Handicap) (6yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 14/1

11 Sep 24 Compiegne (FR) Iorana Vallis (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix World Citizen (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 10 ran 8th 10/1

25 Jun 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Gwen Richard Prix d'Acheres (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 11th 21/1

15 Jun 24 Auteuil (FR) Iorana Vallis (FR)J: Mme Lea Suisse Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Chase) (AQPS ) (5-6yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 23/5

08 Jun 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Gwen Richard Prix Hardatit (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 13th 19/1

08 Jun 24 Auteuil (FR) Burrows Diane (FR)J: Mme Lea Suisse Prix du Nouveau Cercle de l'Union - Prix Gacko (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran F 27/10F

01 Jun 24 Auteuil (FR) Iorana Vallis (FR)J: Mme Lea Suisse Prix Jean Victor (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 1st 239/10

19 May 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Victor Nail-Rocher Prix Le Parisien - Prix Tanerko (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 2nd 44/1

19 May 24 Auteuil (FR) Burrows Diane (FR)J: Victor Nail-Rocher Prix Misti (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 17 ran 2nd 39/10F

27 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Burrows Diane (FR)J: Victor Nail-Rocher Prix Roger Duchene - Grand Prix des Jeunes Jockeys (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 2nd 27/1

21 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Maurice de Nexon (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Heavy · 17 ran 7th 23/1

17 Mar 24 Auteuil (FR) Java Du Large (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 15/1

17 Mar 24 Auteuil (FR) Burrows Diane (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Defile (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 3/1F

09 Mar 24 Auteuil (FR) Autour De Minuit (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Pont d'Iena (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 16/1

24 Feb 24 Auteuil (FR) Java Du Large (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Bougie (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 18 ran 7th 23/1

24 Feb 24 Auteuil (FR) Burrows Diane (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Doublon (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 18 ran 2nd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Mescam's strike rate?: M Mescam has won 37 of 287 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Mescam do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Mescam?: Damien Mescam, with 129 runners since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (12.4%).
What is M Mescam's Fair A/E?: 1.30, from 281 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.