What is Manuel Carvalho's strike rate?

Manuel Carvalho has won 1 of 16 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.

Trainer profile

Manuel Carvalho

16 runners in the lifetime window · 9 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 16 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1–16

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=16

2 (13%)

Placed

1.31

Fair A/E

n=16 · 1.01 incl. margin

+7.00

£1 level stake

n=16 at SP · +43.8%

£11,119

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16.7%+10.4

n=6 · A/E 4.38 · £1 +17.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

25%+18.7

n=4 · A/E 8.69 · £1 +19.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.3

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.3

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Good 4 1 25% +19.00

Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

La Teste De Buch (FR) 5 1 20% +18.00

Chantilly (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Deauville (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 5 1 20% +18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00

4th–6th fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00

7th+ in betting 12 1 8.3% 2.60 +11.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Oliva (FR)from Christopher Head 4 0 1 21 Oct 26

Jubbah (FR)from Roberto-Carlos Montenegro 4 1 1 21 Oct 26

Prince D'azur (FR) 2 0 0 28 Sep 26

Charmeur Cool (FR) 1 0 0 29 Jul 26

Victoria Storm (FR)from Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa 1 0 0 19 Aug 25

Odin (FR)from N Caullery · then Alberto Macedo Da Silva 1 0 0 15 Apr 24

O Patrao (IRE) 1 0 0 5 Nov 23

Saturno (FR) 1 0 0 25 Feb 23

Petite Coquine (FR)then Gaspar Vaz 1 0 0 22 Nov 22

All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Maxime Foulon 3 0 0% −3.00

Eddy Hardouin 3 0 0% −3.00

Julien Guillochon 2 0 0% −2.00

Nuno Lopes Duarte 2 1 50% +21.00

Gerald Mosse 1 0 0% −1.00

Ioritz Mendizabal 1 0 0% −1.00

Anthony Crastus 1 0 0% −1.00

Aurelien Lemaitre 1 0 0% −1.00

L Castillon 1 0 0% −1.00

Romain Dubord 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£11,119

Prize money

2026

Best season · 1 win

Jubbah (FR) — Prix Pierre & Gerard Schocron La Teste De Buch (FR) · Jul 2026 · Class 4

£7,200

Notable horses

Jubbah (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Charm Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,832 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.

Kheleyf (USA) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Soft Light (FR) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 2.9% of 69 runs since 2025 (22 horses).

Birchwood (IRE) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 4.8% of 975 runs since 2021 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 367.

Dream Ahead (USA) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,710 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Evasive (GB) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,159 runs since 2014 (167 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.4% from 219.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 16 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Manuel Carvalho's 16 archived runners, from 22 November 2022 to 21 October 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Jubbah (FR)J: Romain Dubord Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 18/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Oliva (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 12/1

28 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Prince D'azur (FR)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Ijockey7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 33/1

26 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Jubbah (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Mc Donald's Bassin D'arcachonClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 20/1

26 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Prince D'azur (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Holiday Inn Express Arcachon - La Teste (px A. Boingneres)8f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 33/1

10 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Jubbah (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Coupe de la CobasClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 9/1

29 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Charmeur Cool (FR)J: L Castillon Prix Landimat7f · Good · 9 ran 8th 50/1

29 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Oliva (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix VordaClass 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 11th 3/1F

15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Oliva (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Pierre & Gerard SchocronClass 4 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 12/1

15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Jubbah (FR)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Pierre & Gerard SchocronClass 4 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 1st 22/1

19 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Victoria Storm (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Jimmy Winkfield (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Slow · 14 ran 8th 20/1

15 Apr 24 Chantilly (FR) Odin (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix du Pave de la Biche (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 17 ran 16th 38/1

15 Apr 24 Chantilly (FR) Oliva (FR)J: Gerald Mosse Prix du Pave de Thiers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 16 ran 16th 37/1

05 Nov 23 Deauville (FR) O Patrao (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix de l'Epinay (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Colts & Geldings) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 13/1

25 Feb 23 Chantilly (FR) Saturno (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de la Route des Sangliers (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 14/1

22 Nov 22 Deauville (FR) Petite Coquine (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Gold Beach (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 36/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Manuel Carvalho's strike rate?: Manuel Carvalho has won 1 of 16 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.