What is Marco Botti's strike rate?

Marco Botti has won 237 of 1,848 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Marco Botti do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 25 wins from 141 runners (17.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Marco Botti?

Marco Ghiani, with 368 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 70 (19%).

Is Marco Botti in form?

In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 27.8%. That is above the baseline of 12.8% since 2022.

What is Marco Botti's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 1,838 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Marco Botti

1,848 runners in the last 5 seasons · 269 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.7% of 328 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

In form — 5 winners last 14 days Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

237–1,848

Wins / Runs

12.8%

Strike rate

n=1,848

610 (33%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=1,838 · 0.89 incl. margin

−122.92

£1 level stake

n=1,847 at SP · −6.7%

£4.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 370 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). New recruits from other yards win at 23% first time out (35 runs). The yard is in form now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,848 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 14.5% 28.2% when favourite Marco Ghiani: 19% from 368 New recruits: 22.9% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Nottingham (5.1% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 22.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 1.70), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 7.4% (n=149, Fair A/E 0.78). Right now the yard is firing: 5 winners from 18 runners in the last 14 days (27.8%, 15pts above the 12.8% baseline). Marco Ghiani rides 20% of the entries and beats the yard's average (19% vs 12.8%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22%, n=41) and over 1m5f – 2m (20%, n=45). 72 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Du Moulin De Longchamp at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2011, £221,664). The stable star of the record: Grendisar (IRE) — 10 wins from 39 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.5%+1.7

n=276 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +11.95

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.9%+10.1

n=35 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +34.49

Debutants · first career start

9.7%−3.1

n=195 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +19.59

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.4%−5.4

n=149 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −63.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.6%−4.2

n=35 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −11.50

When favourite

28.2%

n=195 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −61.77

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%−2.8

n=210 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −71.51

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.8%+1.0

n=87 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −4.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Oisin Murphy 28.6% vs 12.8% · n=35

With Marco Ghiani 19% vs 12.8% · n=368

With new recruits 22.9% vs 12.8% · n=35

Off a 0-7-day break 22% vs 12.8% · n=41

At Nottingham 5.1% vs 12.8% · n=39

Over 1m5f – 2m 20% vs 12.8% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,078 144 13.4% −98.64

Good to Firm 311 41 13.2% +13.08

Good 267 33 12.4% −14.52

Good to Soft 95 11 11.6% −22.34

Soft 76 7 9.2% +8.50

Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00

Firm 3 1 33.3% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 297 41 13.8% −82.66

Kempton (AW) 281 35 12.5% −3.86

Southwell (AW) 185 21 11.4% −40.83

Chelmsford City (AW) 141 25 17.7% +17.38

Lingfield (AW) 120 15 12.5% +25.37

Yarmouth 93 9 9.7% −19.13

Windsor 75 10 13.3% +21.48

Newmarket 72 12 16.7% +6.91

Doncaster 69 8 11.6% +10.08

Newcastle (AW) 54 7 13% −14.04

Newmarket 49 6 12.2% +15.33

Ascot 43 7 16.3% +35.91

Nottingham 39 2 5.1% −19.50

Leicester 38 2 5.3% −27.25

Haydock 34 4 11.8% −3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 696 91 13.1% −74.75

Class 4 456 60 13.2% −75.47

Class 6 286 30 10.5% −97.34

Class 2 163 19 11.7% +11.48

Class 3 159 25 15.7% +118.75

Class 1 87 12 13.8% −4.59

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 216 59 27.3% 0.86 −66.02

2nd–3rd fav 528 96 18.2% 1.05 −53.40

4th–6th fav 680 65 9.6% 1.18 +28.00

7th+ in betting 423 17 4% 1.09 −31.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Silver Samurai (GB) 37 4 11 23 Jan 26

Silver Gunn (IRE) 26 3 5 11 May 26

Victors Dream (GB) 23 1 6 25 Nov 25

Invincible Aura (GB) 22 3 11 21 Apr 25

Prince Of India (IRE) 20 5 11 17 Oct 26

So Obsessed (IRE) 19 4 8 27 Feb 25

Amroon (GB) 19 3 8 11 Oct 24

Handle With Care (GB) 18 3 7 22 Sep 26

Almodovar Del Rio (IRE) 18 1 6 13 Mar 25

Giavellotto (IRE) 17 7 11 20 Jun 26

Magico (IRE)then W P Mullins 17 3 6 14 Jun 25

Beauty Generation (IRE)then Mrs John Harrington 16 2 7 22 Jan 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 269 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John & Thady Gosden (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary & Josh Moore (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

5 from 18 27.8% · +15.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days27.8%

5-season base12.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

11121891310141317111813

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMarco Ghiani

20% of all rides
19% SR · A/E 1.26

RiderRWSR£1

Marco Ghiani 368 70 19% +65.86

Neil Callan 212 23 10.8% +70.13

Hollie Doyle 116 17 14.7% −18.79

Stefano Cherchi 114 13 11.4% +14.58

Benoit De La Sayette 113 11 9.7% +14.00

Andrea Atzeni 66 9 13.6% +5.08

Luke Morris 61 7 11.5% +3.58

Daniel Muscutt 55 4 7.3% −32.75

Harry Davies 47 6 12.8% −9.75

Morgan Cole 39 3 7.7% −18.00

Jack Gilligan 39 4 10.3% +23.33

P J McDonald 38 2 5.3% −13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

960

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.3m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 90 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Excelebration (IRE) — Qatar Prix Du Moulin De Longchamp (3yo+ Colts Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2011 · Group 1

£221,664

Tac De Boistron (FR) — Prix Royal-Oak (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2014 · Group 1

£166,658

Giavellotto (IRE) — Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Jun 2026 · Group 2

£141,775

Notable horses

Grendisar (IRE) Ceremonial Jade (UAE) Grey Mirage (GB) Giavellotto (IRE) Silver Samurai (GB) Solar Deity (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.1% · 8–66

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,160 runs since 2008 (1,100 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 955.

Saxon Warrior (JPN) 16.1% · 10–62

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,892 runs since 2008 (360 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 936. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.9% from 136.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 18.3% · 11–60

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Oasis Dream (GB) 3.8% · 2–53

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,006 runs since 2008 (1,510 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Invincible Army (IRE) 15.6% · 7–45

Progeny have won 10% of 1,641 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.7% from 150. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 404.

Cable Bay (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,476 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,476 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2006 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Zephyra (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Golden Muse (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 11/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Pride's Queen (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hoosier (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/4

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Graniteville (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Colori Forever (GB)J: Ryan Moore Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 17th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) El Fox (GB)J: Luke Morris Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Prince Of India (IRE)J: Pat Dobbs Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 5th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Alpha Legend (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wadima (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Free Tips On Attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 2/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Keithaar (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 100/30

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Harpagoside (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 3rd 7/2

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Sa Llagosta (GB)J: Darragh Keenan British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 200/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Spong Hill (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 11/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Graniteville (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 11/8

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wise Times (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Britvic Biergarten Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/2

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) El Fox (GB)J: Luke Morris Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 10/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Notable Dream (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 4th 14/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Lizzana (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Newmarket Pony Academy Pride Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 28/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Archers Bay (IRE)J: Ryan Moore Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 8th 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Marco Botti's strike rate?: Marco Botti has won 237 of 1,848 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marco Botti do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 25 wins from 141 runners (17.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Marco Botti?: Marco Ghiani, with 368 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 70 (19%).
Is Marco Botti in form?: In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 27.8%. That is above the baseline of 12.8% since 2022.
What is Marco Botti's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 1,838 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.