What is Hugo Boutin's strike rate?

Hugo Boutin has won 97 of 1,243 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Hugo Boutin do best at?

Vichy (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 53 rides (17%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Hugo Boutin ride most for?

M Boutin, with 448 rides since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (7.6%).

Is Hugo Boutin in form?

In the last 14 days: 36 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 2.8%. That is below the baseline of 7.8% since 2022.

What is Hugo Boutin's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,239 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Hugo Boutin

1,243 rides in the last 5 seasons · 491 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

97–1,243

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=1,243

329 (27%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,239 · 0.80 incl. margin

−514.80

£1 level stake

n=1,241 at SP · −41.5%

£2.01m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 250 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,243 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 30.9% when favourite M Boutin: 7.6% from 448 Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Vichy (FR) (17%, n=53), clear of the rider's 7.8% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.1% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.39). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 36 rides in the last 14 days (2.8%, 5pts below the 7.8% baseline). M Boutin supplies 36% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.6%, A/E 0.87). The rider also reads well in Class 4 (19.6%, n=51) and off a 0-7-day break (13.9%, n=72). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2% over 51 rides, 5.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix du Pavillon Royal at Longchamp (FR) (Apr 2023, £23,451). The standout partner of the record: Dream For All (ITY) — 6 wins from 23 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.2%−1.6

n=470 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −265.58

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

6.7%−1.1

n=90 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −35.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.4%−1.4

n=264 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −130.06

When favourite

30.9%

n=94 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +5.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.4%−0.4

n=108 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −37.10

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.6%−1.2

n=621 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −240.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.1%−5.7

n=48 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −37.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 19.6% vs 7.8% · n=51

At Vichy (FR) 17% vs 7.8% · n=53

With first-time headgear 1.1% vs 7.8% · n=88

Off a 0-7-day break 13.9% vs 7.8% · n=72

Over 1m5f – 2m 14.7% vs 7.8% · n=34

In Class 1 2% vs 7.8% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 555 44 7.9% −213.60

Soft 293 18 6.1% −129.38

Good to Soft 225 18 8% −110.35

Good 89 9 10.1% −47.15

Heavy 79 8 10.1% −12.32

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 407 31 7.6% −133.20

Deauville 306 20 6.5% −174.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 187 9 4.8% −94.20

Longchamp (FR) 143 11 7.7% −60.45

Vichy (FR) 53 9 17% −14.50

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 16 1 6.3% −0.90

Lyon Parilly (FR) 12 1 8.3% +5.00

Marseille Borely (FR) 11 1 9.1% −7.75

Strasbourg (FR) 11 2 18.2% +0.75

Dieppe (FR) 10 1 10% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 10 1 10% −2.00

Compiegne (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 7 1 14.3% −1.90

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 54 5 9.3% −23.75

Class 1 51 1 2% −40.10

Class 4 51 10 19.6% −10.99

Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 102 30 29.4% 1.28 +1.50

2nd–3rd fav 195 30 15.4% 1.07 −24.70

4th–6th fav 353 28 7.9% 0.99 −72.80

7th+ in betting 591 9 1.5% 0.45 −418.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tudo Bem (FR) 28 3 11 15 Oct 26

Scarface (FR) 26 1 13 18 Dec 25

Ciao Pa' (FR) 24 5 12 19 Sep 26

Dream For All (ITY) 21 6 14 11 Jun 24

My Flinders (GB) 20 2 7 17 Aug 24

Woff (GER) 19 2 5 28 May 26

Manne (FR) 19 1 7 4 Jan 25

King Robbe (FR) 17 1 4 12 Aug 26

Pink Valentine (FR) 15 1 5 26 Nov 25

Morsan (IRE) 15 2 7 16 Oct 25

Space Quake (GB) 15 2 4 13 Jun 25

Jordan Baker (FR) 14 0 2 23 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 491 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 36 2.8% · −5.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days2.8%

5-season base7.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

12115104981166710

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardM Boutin

36% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 0.87

TrainerRWSR£1

M Boutin 448 34 7.6% −220.30

C Boutin 239 26 10.9% −17.85

Andreas Suborics 54 2 3.7% −35.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

106

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.22m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 35 wins

Norwegian Sir (FR) — Prix du Pavillon Royal (Handicap) (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2023

£23,451

Ciao Pa' (FR) — Prix de la Suisse Normande (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2024

£23,043

Tornado Alley (GB) — Prix de Marly (Handicap) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2026

£22,957

Notable horses

Dream For All (ITY) Ciao Pa' (FR) Tudo Bem (FR) Antico (IRE) Plata D Octobre (FR) Manne (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sommerabend (GB) 8.9% · 5–56

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,180 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.5% from 105.

Toronado (IRE) 3.6% · 2–55

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,843 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.

Dream Ahead (USA) 3% · 1–33

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,675 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

George Vancouver (USA) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.

Shalaa (IRE) 10% · 3–30

Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,428 runs since 2008 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 140.

Shamalgan (FR) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 7.9% of 341 runs since 2008 (57 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,390 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,390 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 July 2016 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Eagle Gate (FR)T: M Boutin Prix De La MalmontagneClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 14/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Hy Dream (FR)T: R Chotard Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 9/2

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Misty City (FR)T: M Boutin Prix De La Mare Aux Evees6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Crowdfunding (FR)T: C Boutin Prix Des ChevreuilsClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/2

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Tomoe Gozen (FR)T: C Boutin Prix Du Chene Des Gres9f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 7/2J

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Tudo Bem (FR)T: M Boutin Prix De L'amante InquieteClass 3 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 11th 20/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Dicanto (FR)T: C Plisson Prix Tanerko6f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Pingo (FR)T: C Boutin Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 16/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Orlhena (FR)T: C Boutin Prix Des Falaises De Craie10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 22/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Periwinkle (FR)T: S Kobayashi Prix De La Fontaine8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 16/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Combermere (FR)T: J Leroy Prix De Miromesnil12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Splendino (FR)T: M Boutin Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Louis Deux (IRE)T: Jeremy Da Silva Prix De Pre-saint-gervais12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 25/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Blanche Sacree (FR)T: Florent Dineur Prix De Secretan12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 17/2

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Pestacle (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Du Colonel MaldranClass 3 · 10.5f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 5/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Tiberiana (FR)T: R Chotard Prix Louis EspanetClass 3 · 10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Walwood (FR)T: Luciano Vitabile Prix De L'estacadeClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Plata D Octobre (FR)T: Nathalie Sigaud Prix Jacques Rossi (Prix Jules Morgan)Class 2 · 10.5f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 7/1

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Calico Rock (IRE)T: Luciano Vitabile Prix Gerard Samoun13f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Abronzal (FR)T: M Boutin Prix Jean Cuvelette12f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Hugo Boutin's strike rate?: Hugo Boutin has won 97 of 1,243 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Hugo Boutin do best at?: Vichy (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 53 rides (17%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Hugo Boutin ride most for?: M Boutin, with 448 rides since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (7.6%).
Is Hugo Boutin in form?: In the last 14 days: 36 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 2.8%. That is below the baseline of 7.8% since 2022.
What is Hugo Boutin's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,239 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.