N De Lageneste
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (177 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 13.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +9.70 to a £1 stake over 177 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Alain De Chitray rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (15.5%, n=97). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 8.7% over 92 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Montgomery Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2022, £62,395). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 379 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 379 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2016 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is N De Lageneste's strike rate?
- N De Lageneste has won 45 of 379 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does N De Lageneste do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 31 wins from 258 runners (12%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for N De Lageneste?
- Alain De Chitray, with 76 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (11.8%).
- Is N De Lageneste in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is N De Lageneste's Fair A/E?
- 1.16, from 367 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.