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Trainer profile

P-L Guerin

209 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 18 days ago 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–209
Wins / Runs
1%
Strike rate
n=209
23 (11%)
Placed
0.14
Fair A/E
n=208 · 0.23 incl. margin
−194.90
£1 level stake
n=209 at SP · −93.3%
£87,466
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.14).

Deterministic profile computed from 209 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2% Jeremie Monteiro: 3.3% from 61
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.26 and −104.80 to a £1 stake over 111 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jeremie Monteiro rides 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (3.3% vs 1%, A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 85 runners (0% strike, −85.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%+1.0
n=49 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −41.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +3.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.9%−0.1
n=111 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −104.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Jeremie Monteiro 3.3% vs 1% · n=61
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 1% · n=85 · A/E 0.00
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 1% · n=83 · A/E 0.00
Over 1m – 1m1f 1.9% vs 1% · n=103 · A/E 0.28
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 1% · n=61 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 195 2 1% −180.90
Hurdle 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 85 0 0% −85.00
Soft 41 0 0% −41.00
Good 31 0 0% −31.00
Heavy 27 1 3.7% −19.10
Good to Soft 24 1 4.2% −17.80
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 81 1 1.2% −74.80
Saint-Cloud 35 0 0% −35.00
Deauville (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00
Longchamp (FR) 21 0 0% −21.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 21 0 0% −21.00
Compiegne (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Auteuil (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Dieppe (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Enghien (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Amiens 1 1 100% +6.90

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.00 +2.90
2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.78 −4.80
4th–6th fav 22 0 0% 0.00 −22.00
7th+ in betting 171 0 0% 0.00 −171.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ayguemorte (FR) 75 2 16 4 Oct 23
Vebron (FR) 25 0 1 12 May 22
Rue D'Aumale (FR) 17 0 0 26 Dec 21
Gorgias (FR) 15 0 0 15 Jun 24
Lypharty Ka (FR)from Y Gourraud 13 0 2 3 Mar 20
Storm De Baune (FR)from A Althoffer 9 0 0 9 Jan 13
Valdeblore (FR) 8 0 0 15 Jul 18
Luanda (FR) 7 0 2 22 Aug 20
Whatahero (IRE)from Mme W Szczesniak 6 0 0 9 Oct 26
Sable Du Pyla (FR) 6 0 2 5 Jul 26
Zeralda (FR)from O Trigodet 5 0 0 19 Feb 26
Le Brossillon (FR) 5 0 0 20 Jun 16
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000006000007
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJeremie Monteiro
29% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.38
RiderRWSR£1
Jeremie Monteiro 61 2 3.3% −46.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
2
Archived wins
£90,169
Prize money
2019
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ayguemorte (FR) — Prix Des Hortillonages (Turf) (4yo+) Amiens · Dec 2019
£8,108
Ayguemorte (FR) — Prix STC Horse France (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2019
£5,856
Notable horses
Ayguemorte (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Vertigineux (FR) 1.6% · 2–123
Progeny have won 6.1% of 376 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 6% of 1,119 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Dunkerque (FR) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.6% of 574 runs since 2008 (57 horses).
Nombre Premier (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.8% of 490 runs since 2008 (68 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.9% from 118.
Lesotho (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 13% of 184 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Multiplex (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2008 (291 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 210 · newest first

The latest 50 of 210 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 November 2007 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Whatahero (IRE)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix Du Carrefour Du FrancportClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 5th 80/1
23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Whatahero (IRE)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix De Noisy-sur-oise8f · Good · 15 ran 15th 33/1
13 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Whatahero (IRE)J: P Cheyer Prix Du Passage Du Chemin Vert7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 25/1
01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Whatahero (IRE)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix De L'etang De ToutevoieClass 3 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 40/1
28 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) Whatahero (IRE)J: Costantino Carboni Devouement Pour Les Courses By L'aedg - Prix De La Vallee De L'automneClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 66/1
05 Jul 26 Saint-Cloud Sable Du Pyla (FR)J: Mme Lea Bails Prix Du Jardin De L'avre - World Pool By Pmu Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 6th 8/1
26 Jun 26 Deauville (AW) Whatahero (IRE)J: Mme Laura Grosso De Rethondes Handicap - AWT7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 20/1
19 Feb 26 Chantilly (FR) Zeralda (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix de l'Allee du Pont Au Roi (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 99/1
09 Dec 25 Chantilly (FR) Zeralda (FR)J: Riccardo Iacopini Prix du Parc des Aigles (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 93/1
10 Jul 25 Longchamp (FR) Zeralda (FR)J: Sebastiano Deriu Prix Lester Piggott (Handicap) (3yo) (Apprentices & Young Jockeys) (Moyenne Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 113/1
03 Jun 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Zeralda (FR)J: Gabriel Bon Prix des Etangs de Pierrefonds (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)10f · Good · 16 ran 16th 107/1
22 May 25 Longchamp (FR) Zeralda (FR)J: Gabriel Bon Prix Radio FG (Handicap) (3yo) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 106/1
21 Feb 25 Chantilly (FR) Sable Du Pyla (FR)J: Gabriel Bon Prix de la Route du Milieu (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 79/10
16 Jan 25 Chantilly (FR) Sable Du Pyla (FR)J: Gabriel Bon Prix de la Demoiselle du Rhuis (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 19/1
10 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Sable Du Pyla (FR)J: Gabriel Bon Prix des Pistes de Lamorlaye (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 17 ran 12th 21/1
08 Sep 24 Longchamp (FR) Sable Du Pyla (FR)J: Arthur Mosse Prix de Miromesnil (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 18 ran 11th 22/1
04 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Sable Du Pyla (FR)J: Stephane Laurent Prix Hipodromo San Isidro (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Slow · 14 ran 12th 34/1
15 Jun 24 Auteuil (FR) Gorgias (FR)J: Nathan Howie Prix du Vesinet (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 95/1
27 May 24 Compiegne (FR) Gorgias (FR)J: Bastien Marchand Prix Melinoir (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 105/1
07 May 24 Compiegne (FR) Gorgias (FR)J: Bastien Marchand Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 26/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P-L Guerin's strike rate?
P-L Guerin has won 2 of 209 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P-L Guerin do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 81 runners (1.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P-L Guerin?
Jeremie Monteiro, with 61 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.3%).
What is P-L Guerin's Fair A/E?
0.14, from 208 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).