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Jockey profile

Mme Lea Bails

519 rides in the last 5 seasons · 260 individual horses
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 99% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
26–519
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=519
99 (19%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=517 · 0.73 incl. margin
−108.65
£1 level stake
n=517 at SP · −21.0%
£588k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 519 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance S Gouyette: 6.5% from 93 Claiming: 5.1%
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −95.45 to a £1 stake over 236 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. S Gouyette supplies 18% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.5%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (9.4%, n=53). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.8% over 56 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3%−2.0
n=236 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −95.45
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
4%−1.0
n=25 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −16.80
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.2%−1.8
n=155 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −102.05
When favourite
19%
n=21 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −7.65
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.1%+0.1
n=389 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −63.45
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.7%+0.7
n=333 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −61.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 9.4% vs 5% · n=53
With N Guilbert 9.3% vs 5% · n=43
With C&D winners 8.3% vs 5% · n=72
Off a break of 180+ days 1.8% vs 5% · n=56
With new recruits 1.9% vs 5% · n=52
With Mme M Bollack-Badel 8.3% vs 5% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 515 26 5% −104.65
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 262 11 4.2% +9.70
Soft 101 4 4% −36.00
Good to Soft 100 4 4% −64.70
Good 29 4 13.8% −10.15
Heavy 24 3 12.5% −4.50
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 167 9 5.4% −45.60
Chantilly 155 11 7.1% +71.45
Longchamp (FR) 82 3 3.7% −61.10
Saint-Cloud 69 2 2.9% −37.40
Dieppe (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Compiegne (FR) 8 1 12.5% +2.00
Le Touquet (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Auteuil (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Vittel (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Amiens (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Mans (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 19 1 5.3% −10.50
Class 4 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 4 17.4% 0.78 −9.65
2nd–3rd fav 55 5 9.1% 0.72 −13.80
4th–6th fav 89 8 9% 1.18 −16.50
7th+ in betting 350 9 2.6% 0.89 −68.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Zygfryd (FR) 20 1 5 26 Sep 24
Black Cess (FR) 15 1 5 5 Sep 24
Saam (FR) 15 2 6 1 Sep 24
Zhivago (IRE) 11 1 3 21 Dec 23
Topy'sim (FR) 10 2 5 20 Aug 26
Got Frost (FR) 10 0 2 26 Aug 25
Fayona (FR) 10 0 1 10 Aug 24
Sijoux (IRE) 9 1 2 14 Oct 26
Armorigene (FR) 9 1 4 6 Jun 24
Namar (IRE) 8 1 2 26 Apr 24
Simancas (FR) 7 1 4 10 Oct 26
Jiji My Love (FR) 6 0 4 5 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 260 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 11
Only 11 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
3465512575226
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardS Gouyette
18% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 1.23
TrainerRWSR£1
S Gouyette 93 6 6.5% +78.80
N Guilbert 43 4 9.3% −15.40
Mme M Bollack-Badel 36 3 8.3% +2.20
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
80
Archived wins
£1.59m
Prize money
2019
Best season · 18 wins
Topy'sim (FR) — Prix de l'Hotel Carnavalet - Grand Prix des Femmes Jockeys (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jun 2026
£22,130
Saam (FR) — Prix du Haras de Jardy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Jun 2022
£21,008
Chipiron (FR) — Prix du Jardin Anglo-Chinois (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Aug 2019
£18,018
Notable horses
Saam (FR) Topy'sim (FR) Song Of Life (GB) Kiunguja (FR) Gran Pierino (ITY) Welcome Sight (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kendargent (FR) 12.5% · 4–32
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,212 runs since 2008 (579 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6% from 252.
Dabirsim (FR) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,126 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.
Literato (FR) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,053 runs since 2008 (130 horses).
Toronado (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,843 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
Olympic Glory (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,053 runs since 2008 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 147.
Wootton Bassett (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,623 runs since 2008 (786 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,082 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,082 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 November 2013 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Windburn (FR)T: Gavin Hernon Prix Des MyosotisClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 6/4F
15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Mauricia (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix Du Chene Du Coup De Foudre9f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 25/1
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sijoux (IRE)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 8/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Maitre D'armes (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix De Miromesnil12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 17/2
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Honguemare (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix De Pre-saint-gervais12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 7/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Hermano (FR)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix Du Journal "Paris Turf"Class 4 · 12.5f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 11/2
10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Simancas (FR)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix De La ColleraieClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 8/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Gentileschi (FR)T: John H Smith Prix Du Carrefour Du FrancportClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 8th 17/2
08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Existant (FR)T: J-M Beguigne Prix De Rocquencourt10f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 25/1
08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Still Loving Dream (FR)T: J-M Beguigne Prix Du Chesnay10f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 22/1
07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Not So Silly (FR)T: D De Waele Prix De Saint-imier9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 10/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Siete Misterios (IRE)T: S Gouyette Prix Des WeppesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Faustimine (FR)T: F-X Belvisi Prix Du Plouich9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 66/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mr Say (FR)T: M Boutin Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Jiji My Love (FR)T: F-X Belvisi Prix De La SambreClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 4/1
04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Lakota Beau (FR)T: Gavin Hernon Qatar Prix de la Place de l'EtoileClass 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 17th 66/1
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) La Billebaude (FR)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (Prix Edouard Acker)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 14/1
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Golden Beach (GB)T: Davide Satalia Prix Dominique GerouxClass 4 · 11f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 15/2
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Honguemare (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix Des YvelinesClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 14/1
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Mauricia (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix De Vignemont8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 1st 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Lea Bails's strike rate?
Mme Lea Bails has won 26 of 519 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Lea Bails do best at?
Chantilly by strike rate: 11 wins from 155 rides (7.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mme Lea Bails ride most for?
S Gouyette, with 93 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.5%).
Is Mme Lea Bails in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Lea Bails's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 517 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 19 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).