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Trainer profile

P Van De Poele

1,642 runners in the lifetime window · 208 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2024 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
130–1,642
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=1,642
389 (24%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=1,519 · 0.80 incl. margin
−424.30
£1 level stake
n=1,543 at SP · −27.5%
£3.15m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). New recruits from other yards win at 14% first time out (80 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,642 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Fresh horses: 8.5% 20.9% when favourite Ronan Thomas: 10.8% from 443 New recruits: 13.8% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 13.8% (n=80, Fair A/E 2.11), but debutants struggle at 2.5% (n=122, Fair A/E 0.23). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 5% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −18.10 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ronan Thomas rides 27% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.8% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (12.7%, n=79). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Dollar Casino Barriere de Montreux at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2007, £50,068). The stable star of the record: Dalstar (FR) — 7 wins from 47 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.5%+0.6
n=377 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −23.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
13.8%+5.9
n=80 · A/E 2.11 · £1 +99.40
Debutants · first career start
2.5%−5.4
n=122 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −101.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.9%+2.0
n=71 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +20.30
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3.9%−4.0
n=51 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −35.80
When favourite
20.9%
n=110 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −17.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%−0.3
n=105 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +6.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5%−2.9
n=101 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −18.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 15.1% vs 7.9% · n=53
With debutants 2.5% vs 7.9% · n=122
With new recruits 13.8% vs 7.9% · n=80
With Aurelien Lemaitre 13.5% vs 7.9% · n=52
With Antoine Hamelin 2.2% vs 7.9% · n=45
Off a break of 180+ days 12.7% vs 7.9% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 963 74 7.7% −310.30
Good 239 21 8.8% −1.90
Soft 221 16 7.2% −45.60
Good to Soft 153 13 8.5% −38.40
Heavy 63 6 9.5% −26.10
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville 791 69 8.7% −147.40
Chantilly (FR) 331 21 6.3% −138.10
Saint-Cloud (FR) 172 13 7.6% −33.00
Longchamp (FR) 167 7 4.2% −79.40
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 105 11 10.5% −15.90
Clairefontaine 10 1 10% +2.00
Lyon Parilly 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Compiegne 8 2 25% −0.50
Toulouse (FR) 5 0 0% −4.00
Saint-Malo 4 0 0% −3.00
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Strasbourg (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Chateaubriant 3 0 0% −3.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 3 2 66.7% +8.60
Le Lion-D'Angers 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 101 5 5% −18.10

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 120 23 19.2% 0.94 −27.20
2nd–3rd fav 241 36 14.9% 1.11 −6.70
4th–6th fav 406 25 6.2% 0.81 −140.10
7th+ in betting 776 24 3.1% 0.90 −250.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Zlatan Dream (FR)from C Lerner · then F Alloncle 64 3 20 24 Apr 19
Green Tango (FR) 59 4 17 19 Oct 14
Golden Buck (FR) 57 3 20 28 Dec 20
Dalstar (FR)from E J O'Neill 47 7 15 13 Jul 21
Compatible (FR) 47 5 13 6 Mar 18
Green Bay (FR)from D & P Prod'Homme 40 2 7 20 Oct 21
Aristote (GB)from P Bary · then J C Napoli 40 6 13 19 Aug 14
Lord Achilles (FR)then Mme Stephanie Nigge 35 6 14 23 Jun 24
Fleur Enchantee (FR)from J Bertran De Balanda 29 2 10 28 Jul 12
Svolta (FR) 27 1 9 1 Mar 23
The Captain (FR) 27 6 13 22 Feb 19
Divine Music (IRE) 26 3 9 4 Dec 12
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 208 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Lerner (3) and E J O'Neill (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for G Pannier (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
935757111010899
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRonan Thomas
27% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Ronan Thomas 443 48 10.8% +61.40
Jerome Cabre 218 13 6% −39.20
Gregory Benoist 94 4 4.3% −78.10
Emmanuel Etienne 93 5 5.4% −43.70
Theo Bachelot 83 8 9.6% −16.80
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 53 8 15.1% +22.00
Aurelien Lemaitre 52 7 13.5% −14.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 50 4 8% −26.50
Frank Panicucci 47 3 6.4% −33.40
Antoine Hamelin 45 1 2.2% −35.20
Rosario Mangione 39 1 2.6% −24.90
Alexis Badel 30 1 3.3% −21.60
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
156
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£3.74m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 17 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Musical Way (FR) — Prix Dollar Casino Barriere de Montreux Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2007 · Group 2
£50,068
Musical Way (FR) — La Coupe de Maisons-Laffitte (Straight) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Sep 2006 · Group 3
£27,586
Musical Way (FR) — La Coupe de Maisons-Laffitte (Straight Course) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Sep 2007 · Group 3
£27,027
Notable horses
Dalstar (FR) Musical Way (FR) Aristote (GB) Lord Achilles (FR) The Captain (FR) Green Tango (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gold Away (IRE) 10.2% · 13–127
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,477 runs since 2008 (206 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 328. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 177.
Rio De La Plata (USA) 9.1% · 7–77
Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,518 runs since 2016 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 254.
American Post (GB) 5.3% · 4–76
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Oasis Dream (GB) 4.6% · 3–65
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,028 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Layman (USA) 7.8% · 5–64
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,327 runs since 2010 (122 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 279. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 161.
Majorien (GB) 8.3% · 5–60
Progeny have won 9.7% of 401 runs since 2008 (48 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,747 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,747 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 26 November 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix de l'Hotel du Croissant (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 16/1
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Mykan (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix de l'Hotel du Croissant (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 12/1
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de l'Hotel du Croissant (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 42/10F
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de Berd'Huis (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 20/1
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix de Braudiere (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 38/1
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Mykan (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix de Braudiere (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 13/2
15 Oct 24 Chantilly (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de l'Hotel de Vermandois (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 28/1
12 Oct 24 Chantilly (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix du Ru Popelin (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 18/1
20 Sep 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de l'Avenue Pyramide (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 13th 19/1
07 Sep 24 Chantilly (FR) Cala Moli (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix du Canal du Hameau (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 69/1
05 Sep 24 Longchamp (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix de l'Allee des Brouillards (Handicap) (4yo+) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 7th 17/1
18 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Sumbe Prix de Saint-Symphorien (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 51/10
18 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Mykan (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Sumbe Prix de Saint-Symphorien (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 81/10
08 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de Clarbec (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Slow · 14 ran 11th 33/10
06 Jul 24 Deauville (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Hussain Asghar Prix Together For Racing International - Finale Ears (Handicap) (4yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys)12.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 47/1
06 Jul 24 Deauville (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ertugrul Cankilic Prix Together For Racing International - Finale Ears (Handicap) (4yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys)12.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 31/10
23 Jun 24 Lyon Parilly (FR) Lord Achilles (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Grand Prix de Lyon - 6th Etape du Defi du Galop () (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 83/10
26 May 24 Longchamp (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix de la Rue Cremieux (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 17/1
09 May 24 Longchamp (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix du Bois du Russe (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 10/1
09 May 24 Longchamp (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix du Petit Bois (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Van De Poele's strike rate?
P Van De Poele has won 130 of 1,642 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Van De Poele do best at?
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 105 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Van De Poele?
Ronan Thomas, with 443 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (10.8%).
What is P Van De Poele's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 1,519 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).