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Trainer profile

Mme Stephanie Nigge

346 runners in the last 5 seasons · 77 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
17–346
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=346
65 (19%)
Placed
0.68
n=346 · 0.56 incl. margin
−175.70
£1 level stake
n=346 at SP · −50.8%
£443k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.68).

Deterministic profile computed from 346 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Rosario Mangione: 4% from 50
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.20). Rosario Mangione rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 0.60). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.7% over 116 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Thomas Bryon Jockey Club de Turquie at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2020, £26,695).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%−0.4
n=88 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −37.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+4.2
n=22 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +6.20
Debutants · first career start
4.3%−0.6
n=47 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −17.70
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.4%−1.5
n=29 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −23.70
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
0%
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.2%−3.7
n=82 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −61.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Tony Piccone 10% vs 4.9% · n=40
With claiming riders up 1.2% vs 4.9% · n=82
Over 1m – 1m1f 1.7% vs 4.9% · n=116
Off a 31-60-day break 7.8% vs 4.9% · n=64
On Soft going 7% vs 4.9% · n=57
On Good to Soft going 6.9% vs 4.9% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 191 7 3.7% −112.50
Good to Soft 58 4 6.9% −14.50
Soft 57 4 7% −21.70
Good 20 1 5% −12.00
Heavy 20 1 5% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (AW) 178 9 5.1% −90.30
Chantilly 65 2 3.1% −39.70
Saint-Cloud (FR) 50 3 6% −22.70
Longchamp (FR) 29 0 0% −29.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 6 1 16.7% +11.00
Dieppe (FR) 3 1 33.3% +5.50
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Compiegne (FR) 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Argentan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 15 5 33.3% +37.00
Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
2nd–3rd fav 49 6 12.2% 0.88 −16.00
4th–6th fav 105 5 4.8% 0.62 −50.50
7th+ in betting 178 6 3.4% 0.89 −95.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Maizieres (FR) 26 2 5 1 Oct 26
Inca Man (FR)from M Nigge 26 0 6 19 Jun 25
Mercurissime (FR) 21 2 6 8 Feb 25
Mister Gatz (FR) 19 2 6 3 Oct 26
Cambremer (FR) 12 2 5 27 Oct 26
Rue Custine (FR) 12 1 3 1 Feb 25
Thiberville (FR) 11 0 4 22 Oct 26
Az Zeiva (FR)from A Baron 11 0 4 19 Oct 26
Commeaux (GB) 10 0 0 26 Sep 25
Mandres (IRE) 9 1 1 2 Nov 25
Isca (IRE)from N Clement 9 0 1 11 Mar 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 77 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Nigge (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2004800153337
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRosario Mangione
14% of all rides
4% SR · A/E 0.60
RiderRWSR£1
Rosario Mangione 50 2 4% −36.90
Tony Piccone 40 4 10% −5.30
Delphine Santiago 31 1 3.2% −24.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
36
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.12m
Prize money
2020
Best season · 12 wins
Normandy Bridge (FR) — Prix Thomas Bryon Jockey Club de Turquie (2yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2020 · Group 3
£26,695
Mister Gatz (FR) — Prix Des Bords De L'oise Compiegne (FR) · Sep 2026
£25,450
Karlarina (FR) — Prix de la Porte de Madrid () (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2021 · Listed
£23,214

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,608 runs since 2023 (244 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.
Le Havre (IRE) 13.5% · 5–37
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,883 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Rajsaman (FR) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,839 runs since 2016 (311 horses).
Birchwood (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 4.8% of 973 runs since 2021 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 365.
Adlerflug (GER) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 14.5% of 585 runs since 2013 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 18.6% from 172. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.7% from 103.
Mehmas (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,219 runs since 2020 (753 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 546 · newest first

The latest 50 of 546 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 February 2020 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Martinvast (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Bessin12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Mister Gatz (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 16/1
01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Maizieres (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 13/2
01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Rosapenna (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix De LongchampClass 4 · 6.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 4/1
18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Hakaste (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix HervineClass 3 · 12f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1
01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Maizieres (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De La Croix L'oignonClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's strike rate?
Mme Stephanie Nigge has won 17 of 346 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Stephanie Nigge do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 50 runners (6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mme Stephanie Nigge?
Rosario Mangione, with 50 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (4%).
Is Mme Stephanie Nigge in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's Fair A/E?
0.68, from 346 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).