Mme Stephanie Nigge
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.68).
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.20). Rosario Mangione rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 0.60). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.7% over 116 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Thomas Bryon Jockey Club de Turquie at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2020, £26,695).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 547 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 547 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 February 2020 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's strike rate?
- Mme Stephanie Nigge has won 17 of 347 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme Stephanie Nigge do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 50 runners (6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mme Stephanie Nigge?
- Rosario Mangione, with 50 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (4%).
- Is Mme Stephanie Nigge in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's Fair A/E?
- 0.68, from 347 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.