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Trainer profile

Regis Schmidlin

182 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–182
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=182
30 (17%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=182 · 0.87 incl. margin
−11.10
£1 level stake
n=182 at SP · −6.1%
£640k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). In Group and Graded company the record reads 9% (47 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 182 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Group/Graded: 8.5%
The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 8.5% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.52), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.7%, n=31) and in Class 1 (8.5%, n=47). The market has also underrated the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 1.35 across 73 runners (8.2% strike, +9.90 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 41 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Gerald de Rochefort at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2026, £42,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.5
n=47 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −47.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.5
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%−1.0
n=22 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −13.60
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+19.5
n=4 · A/E 11.86 · £1 +25.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.3%−0.2
n=57 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −2.30
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8.5%+3.0
n=47 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +24.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5.5% · n=41
With Nathanael Ferreira 10.2% vs 5.5% · n=49
With a new jockey booking 2.2% vs 5.5% · n=89
In Chase races 9.7% vs 5.5% · n=31
Off a 15-30-day break 8.2% vs 5.5% · n=73
In Class 1 8.5% vs 5.5% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 144 7 4.9% −27.10
Chase 31 3 9.7% +23.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 94 5 5.3% −23.40
Soft 84 5 6% +16.30
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 124 8 6.5% +1.50
Compiegne (FR) 36 2 5.6% +9.40
Fontainebleau (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00
Longchamp (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vittel (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 47 4 8.5% +24.30
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.57 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.81 −3.40
4th–6th fav 49 5 10.2% 1.52 +16.60
7th+ in betting 116 3 2.6% 0.92 −21.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.2% completed · 172 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 76.7% 1 2 4 0 0
Hurdle 142 76.1% 4 2 28 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jumper Baie (FR) 32 2 11 17 Oct 26
Foret Vierge (FR)from D Windrif 21 1 2 27 May 25
Terra Bella (FR) 17 1 3 17 Nov 24
Louminos (FR) 16 3 3 28 Oct 26
Parovna (FR)from J-L Pelletan · then A S & D Allard 12 0 1 24 Nov 23
Halleluia (FR)from D Windrif 11 1 3 10 Apr 23
L'Aziza Des Places (FR)then Davide Satalia 8 0 0 11 Nov 25
Rue Barbizon (FR) 7 1 1 24 Mar 24
Mittani (FR) 6 0 1 20 Oct 25
Forest Crown (FR) 5 0 0 11 Mar 26
Sound Traou Land (FR) 5 1 1 20 Oct 25
French Buck's (FR) 5 0 0 28 Oct 23
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Windrif (2) and H De Lageneste & G Macaire (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00146080·041050
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNathanael Ferreira
27% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 2.03
RiderRWSR£1
Nathanael Ferreira 49 5 10.2% +60.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
10
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£640k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 4 wins
Louminos (FR) — Prix Gerald de Rochefort (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2026 · Listed
£42,000
Rue Barbizon (FR) — Prix le Touquet (Chase) () (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2024 · Listed
£38,000
Louminos (FR) — Prix Fifrelet (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Dec 2025 · Listed
£36,446
Notable horses
Louminos (FR) Jumper Baie (FR) Foret Vierge (FR) Terra Bella (FR) Halleluia (FR) Rue Barbizon (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tiger Groom (GB) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 10.3% of 680 runs since 2011 (81 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 122.
Seabhac (USA) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.5% of 430 runs since 2022 (62 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,629 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Hunter's Light (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,341 runs since 2019 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.3% from 168. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 165. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 211. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 133.
Walzertakt (GER) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.1% of 369 runs since 2021 (54 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 181.
Martaline (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 182 · newest first

The latest 50 of 182 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2022 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Naale (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Patrice QuenedeyClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 12/1
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Louminos (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Santo PietroClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 18/1
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Captain Flag (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix De Beaune18f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 22/1
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Jumper Baie (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 3rd 14/1
12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Give Me A Shivers (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Colonel Jochaud Du PlessixClass 3 · 18f · Heavy · 5 ran UR 18/1
12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Naale (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Jean-jacques GuyonClass 3 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 12/1
12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Boulevard Barbizon (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Richard D'ayguevivesClass 30 · 17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 20/1
12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Captain Flag (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Gerard De MarisyClass 3 · 21f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 25/1
06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Louminos (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal18f · Heavy · 15 ran — 28/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Naale (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix De La Table Du RoiClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 12/1
01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Captain Flag (FR)J: Axel Lepage Prix Vivienne (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran — 14/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Jumper Baie (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix GrandlieuClass 1 · 19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 9th 20/1
17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Give Me A Shivers (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Henri GleizesClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran — 50/1
12 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Naale (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Finot (Pouliches)18f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 28/1
12 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Louminos (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Alain Et Gilles De GoulaineClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 17 ran 8th 40/1
08 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Jumper Baie (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Mortemart18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 10/1
19 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Silver Business (FR)J: Jean-Frederic Rambur Prix General LasalleClass 3 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 5th 40/1
30 May 26 Auteuil (FR) Jumper Baie (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Prix Hardatit (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran 10th 66/10
30 May 26 Auteuil (FR) Give Me A Shivers (FR)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Beaumanoir (Conditions Hurdle) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 43/1
17 May 26 Auteuil (FR) Jumper Baie (FR)J: Nathanael Ferreira Geny.com (Prix Wild Risk) (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Regis Schmidlin's strike rate?
Regis Schmidlin has won 10 of 182 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Regis Schmidlin do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 124 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Regis Schmidlin in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Regis Schmidlin's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 182 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).