Baptiste Le Clerc
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 130 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (67 rides). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
It is weakest at Clairefontaine (FR) (5.3% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.9% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.00), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=194, Fair A/E 0.77). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 12.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +101.05 to a £1 stake over 233 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 24 rides in the last 14 days (16.7%, 5.1pts above the 11.6% baseline). M Seror supplies 21% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (8.4% vs 11.6%, A/E 0.89). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 6% over 83 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.62 across 65 rides (6.2% strike, −39.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Ferdinand Dufaure at Auteuil (FR) (May 2022, £121,008). The standout partner of the record: Ci Ppo Ra (FR) — 5 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 796 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 796 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 February 2019 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Baptiste Le Clerc's strike rate?
- Baptiste Le Clerc has won 78 of 673 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Baptiste Le Clerc do best at?
- Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 21 wins from 158 rides (13.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Baptiste Le Clerc ride most for?
- M Seror, with 143 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (8.4%).
- Is Baptiste Le Clerc in form?
- In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 16.7%. That is above the baseline of 11.6% since 2022.
- What is Baptiste Le Clerc's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 668 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.