What is Wesley A Ward's strike rate?

Wesley A Ward has won 25 of 138 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Wesley A Ward do best at?

Ascot by strike rate: 14 wins from 100 runners (14%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Wesley A Ward's Fair A/E?

1.19, from 138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Wesley A Ward

138 runners in the lifetime window · 99 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 75 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

25–138

Wins / Runs

18.1%

Strike rate

n=138

45 (33%)

Placed

1.19

Fair A/E

n=138 · 0.98 incl. margin

+13.31

£1 level stake

n=138 at SP · +9.6%

£2.80m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19).

Deterministic profile computed from 138 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

The read

It is weakest at Ascot (14% over 100 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 14.6% (n=123, Fair A/E 1.09). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (22.1%, n=86) and on Good going (23.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 10.2% over 49 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. 18 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2026, £340,260).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

24%+5.9

n=25 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +8.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−18.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

17.3%−0.8

n=98 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +15.37

First-time headgear · true-first definition

17.8%−0.3

n=90 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +19.37

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

100%+81.9

n=1 · A/E 7.29 · £1 +5.00

When favourite

41.4%

n=29 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +2.96

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.6%−3.5

n=123 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +8.04

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 6f – 7f 10.2% vs 18.1% · n=49

At Ascot 14% vs 18.1% · n=100

At trips under 6f 22.1% vs 18.1% · n=86

On Good going 23.3% vs 18.1% · n=30

On Good to Firm going 14.1% vs 18.1% · n=71

In Class 1 14.6% vs 18.1% · n=123

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 71 10 14.1% +30.67

Good 30 7 23.3% −9.61

Good to Soft 20 4 20% −4.15

Soft 11 3 27.3% −3.60

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Heavy 1 1 100% +5.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ascot 100 14 14% +25.50

Deauville (FR) 12 4 33.3% −3.56

York 7 1 14.3% −3.00

Saratoga (USA) 4 0 0% −4.00

Chantilly (FR) 4 3 75% +2.90

Longchamp (FR) 3 2 66.7% +2.30

Bath 1 0 0% −1.00

Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00

Folkestone 1 1 100% +0.17

Goodwood 1 0 0% −1.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 123 18 14.6% +8.04

Class 2 7 2 28.6% +3.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +0.17

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 12 37.5% 1.08 −0.04

2nd–3rd fav 39 9 23.1% 1.49 +2.85

4th–6th fav 35 2 5.7% 0.70 −12.50

7th+ in betting 32 2 6.3% 1.92 +23.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lady Aurelia (USA) 6 3 4 19 Jun 18

Campanelle (IRE) 5 3 4 18 Jun 22

Bound For Nowhere (USA) 4 0 1 22 Jun 19

Undrafted (USA) 4 1 1 23 Jun 18

Twilight Gleaming (IRE) 3 1 2 20 Jun 23

Golden Pal (USA) 3 0 1 14 Jun 22

Maven (USA) 3 1 1 15 Jun 21

Elizabeth Darcy (IRE) 3 0 1 26 Aug 17

Hootenanny (USA) 3 1 2 19 Jun 15

Bacio (USA) 2 2 2 21 Aug 26

Outfielder (USA) 2 0 0 19 Jun 26

Ruthin (GB) 2 0 0 17 Jun 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 99 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

···5067130290···

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Frankie Dettori 25 7 28% +10.19

John R Velazquez 23 3 13% +23.00

Joel Rosario 19 2 10.5% −8.00

Jeffrey Sanchez 8 4 50% +1.10

Irad Ortiz Jr 6 0 0% −6.00

David Romero Flores 6 1 16.7% −3.25

Victor Espinoza 5 1 20% −0.50

Juan J Hernandez 5 2 40% +3.00

Ryan Moore 5 1 20% −1.50

Jose Valdivia Jr 4 1 25% +2.00

Mickael Barzalona 3 1 33.3% +0.10

Mike E Smith 3 1 33.3% −1.83

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.80m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 5 wins

Bacio (USA) — Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2026 · Group 1

£340,260

Undrafted (USA) — Diamond Jubilee Stakes (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Group 1

£297,728

Lady Aurelia (USA) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2017 · Group 1

£226,840

Notable horses

Lady Aurelia (USA) Campanelle (IRE) Bacio (USA) No Nay Never (USA) Undrafted (USA) Twilight Gleaming (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Scat Daddy (USA) 50% · 7–14

Progeny have won 14.2% of 906 runs since 2011 (99 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 19.7% from 198. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 27.4% from 124. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.5% from 134.

Quality Road (USA) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 11.6% of 379 runs since 2014 (48 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 60% · 3–5

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,593 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Munnings (USA) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.3% of 107 runs since 2014 (19 horses).

American Pharoah (USA) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 13.1% of 586 runs since 2019 (90 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9% from 100.

Kitten's Joy (USA) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,079 runs since 2009 (212 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 253.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 138 · newest first

The latest 50 of 138 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 June 2009 to 21 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Aug 26 York Bacio (USA)J: Juan J Hernandez Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 1st 3/1F

20 Jun 26 Ascot Through The Years (IRE)J: John R Velazquez Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 16th 25/1

20 Jun 26 Ascot Ez Tina (USA)J: Juan J Hernandez Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 6th 12/1

20 Jun 26 Ascot Fanshell Beach (USA)J: James McDonald Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 5th 13/2

19 Jun 26 Ascot Bacio (USA)J: Juan J Hernandez Palace Of Holyroodhouse (Handicap)Class 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 1st 3/1F

19 Jun 26 Ascot Outfielder (USA)J: David Egan Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 22 ran 10th 25/1

17 Jun 26 Ascot Shining Moment (USA)J: Oisin Murphy Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 24th 40/1

17 Jun 26 Ascot Ruiva (USA)J: Juan J Hernandez Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 3rd 11/1

07 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Should've (USA)J: Dylan Davis Soaring Softly Stakes (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 7 ran 6th 885/100

06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Clock Tower (USA)J: Dylan Davis Jaipur Stakes (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 10 ran 10th 36/1

04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Navy Seal (IRE)J: Jose L Ortiz Belmont Gold Cup Stakes (Turf)16f · Firm · 8 ran 2nd 462/100

04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Shoot It True (USA)J: Juan J Hernandez Intercontinental Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 9 ran 3rd 13/5F

24 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Outfielder (USA)J: David Egan Sumbe Prix Morny (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Straight Course) (Turf)6f · Good · 6 ran 4th 17/5

21 Jun 24 Ascot Burning Pine (USA)J: Joel Rosario Albany Stakes (Fillies' Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 16th 40/1

20 Jun 24 Ascot Saturday Flirt (USA)J: Joel Rosario Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 10th 20/1

19 Jun 24 Ascot Honorary American (IRE)J: Joel Rosario Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 24th 50/1

19 Jun 24 Ascot Ultima Grace (USA)J: Joel Rosario Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 24 ran 20th 12/1

22 Jun 23 Ascot American Rascal (USA)J: Joel Rosario Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 4/1

21 Jun 23 Ascot Bundchen (USA)J: Joel Rosario Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good · 26 ran 22nd 40/1

20 Jun 23 Ascot Twilight Gleaming (IRE)J: John R Velazquez King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)Class 1 · 5f · Good · 17 ran 16th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Wesley A Ward's strike rate?: Wesley A Ward has won 25 of 138 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Wesley A Ward do best at?: Ascot by strike rate: 14 wins from 100 runners (14%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Wesley A Ward's Fair A/E?: 1.19, from 138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.