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Trainer profile

William Davies

68 runners in the lifetime window · 9 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2014 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–68
Wins / Runs
11.8%
Strike rate
n=68
14 (21%)
Placed
1.63
Fair A/E
n=68 · 1.42 incl. margin
+23.88
£1 level stake
n=68 at SP · +35.1%
£25,414
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.8%+0.0
n=17 · A/E 2.91 · £1 +14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−11.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +0.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.9%−3.9
n=38 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 19.5% vs 11.8% · n=41
With claiming riders up 7.9% vs 11.8% · n=38
In Chase races 14.3% vs 11.8% · n=49
With Derek Laverty 9.7% vs 11.8% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 49 7 14.3% +21.88
Hurdle 17 1 5.9% +4.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 33 4 12.1% −3.12
Good to Firm 20 2 10% +13.00
Good to Soft 9 1 11.1% +1.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Soft 3 1 33.3% +16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Towcester 24 2 8.3% +1.00
Worcester 12 0 0% −12.00
Chepstow 7 3 42.9% +33.00
Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00
Bangor-on-Dee 4 0 0% −4.00
Stratford 4 1 25% −1.00
Hereford 3 1 33.3% −0.12
Ludlow 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 1 100% +20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 41 8 19.5% +50.88
Class 4 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.08 −1.12
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 20 3 15% 2.04 +11.00
7th+ in betting 38 3 7.9% 2.69 +17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.8% completed · 66 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 49 77.6% 1 0 10 0 0
Hurdle 17 70.6% 0 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Arceye (GB) 27 5 7 4 Nov 10
Sumner (IRE)from David Evans 18 2 6 31 Jul 14
Lanos (POL)from P Wegmann 7 0 0 19 May 09
Killer Jim (GB) 6 0 0 18 Apr 11
Risk Challenge (USA)from Tim Vaughan · then Milton Harris 4 1 1 25 May 10
Moonlight (GER)from Dr Jeremy Naylor 2 0 0 24 May 09
Showtime Lucy (GB) 2 0 0 31 Jan 08
Vrondi (IRE) 1 0 0 23 Jun 10
Penelope Pipstop (GB) 1 0 0 7 Aug 09
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·33231310110000·
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDerek Laverty
46% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 1.86
RiderRWSR£1
Derek Laverty 31 3 9.7% +5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
£35,179
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Arceye (GB) — 32Redpoker.com Beginners' Chase Chepstow · Apr 2006 · Class 4
£4,229
Arceye (GB) — Ray And Linda Funnell 60th Birthday Handicap Chase Towcester · May 2009 · Class 5
£3,253
Arceye (GB) — Would You Believe It, Jane's 40 Again Handicap Chase Towcester · Apr 2008 · Class 5
£3,253
Notable horses
Arceye (GB) Sumner (IRE) Risk Challenge (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Weld (GB) 18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 7.1% of 281 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Xaar (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 6.1% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 10.7% from 122.
Special Power (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 0% of 7 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
Killer Instinct (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 5.6% of 231 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Mt Livermore (USA) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 9% of 156 runs since 2008 (9 horses).
Carlingford Castle (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 3.6% of 28 runs since 2008 (6 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 112 · newest first

The latest 50 of 112 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 April 2005 to 31 July 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Jul 14 Stratford Sumner (IRE)J: Charlie Poste John Dunbar Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 5/1
22 Jul 14 Bangor-on-Dee Sumner (IRE)J: Charlie Poste Matthew Clark 'Proud To Support Bangor' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 5/1
13 Jul 14 Stratford Sumner (IRE)J: Charlie Poste Marco's New York Italian Stratford Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 25/1
02 Jul 14 Worcester Sumner (IRE)J: Charlie Poste Price Boosts Galore Today At BellBet.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 40/1
22 Jun 14 Worcester Sumner (IRE)J: Richard Johnson World Cup Betting At Totepool.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 14/1
10 Oct 13 Worcester Sumner (IRE)J: Charlie Poste Ladbrokes Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 20/1
27 Sep 13 Worcester Sumner (IRE)J: Charlie Poste Support Soldiers Off The Street Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran PU 33/1
19 Jul 11 Bangor-on-Dee Sumner (IRE)J: A P McCoy John & Gail's Wedding Day Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/4F
10 Jul 11 Stratford Sumner (IRE)J: Richard Johnson Myton Hospice Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1F
05 Jul 11 Uttoxeter Sumner (IRE)J: A P McCoy Get Mobile At mobile.bet365.com Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 3/1C
29 Jun 11 Worcester Sumner (IRE)J: A P McCoy Try Totequickpick If You're Feeling Lucky Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 4/1C
19 Jun 11 Hereford Sumner (IRE)J: A P McCoy Hartwell Hereford Ford Peugeot Fiat Nissan Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 15/8F
02 Jun 11 Uttoxeter Sumner (IRE)J: A P McCoy Crabbie's Spiffing Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 13/8F
25 May 11 Newton Abbot Sumner (IRE)J: A P McCoy Newtonabbotracing.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
17 May 11 Southwell Sumner (IRE)J: Kyle James Tickets southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Chase (Div 1)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 12/1
30 Apr 11 Uttoxeter Sumner (IRE)J: Kyle James Bet On The Guineas At Totesport.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 4th 20/1
20 Apr 11 Hereford Sumner (IRE)J: Andrew Glassonbury Best Odds Guaranteed At Victorchandler.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 40/1
18 Apr 11 Towcester Killer Jim (GB)J: Tom Messenger Free Tips At Gg.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 12 ran PU 66/1
12 Apr 11 Towcester Sumner (IRE)J: Kyle James Betfair Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 10/1
04 Nov 10 Towcester Arceye (GB)J: Rodi Greene Icancopy.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Davies's strike rate?
William Davies has won 8 of 68 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is William Davies's Fair A/E?
1.63, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).