What is Milton Harris's strike rate?

Milton Harris has won 123 of 746 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Milton Harris do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 15 wins from 51 runners (29.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Milton Harris?

Mitchell Bastyan, with 156 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (15.4%).

What is Milton Harris's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 746 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Milton Harris

746 runners in the last 5 seasons · 113 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

123–746

Wins / Runs

16.5%

Strike rate

n=746

264 (35%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=746 · 0.92 incl. margin

−195.79

£1 level stake

n=746 at SP · −26.2%

£1.51m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Debutants are a strength: 31% on first career starts (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 746 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 42.6% when favourite Mitchell Bastyan: 15.4% from 156 New recruits: 18.6% Claiming riders: 19.7% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (29.4%, n=51), clear of the yard's 16.5% baseline. Debutants strike at 31.3% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.77), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 11.8% (n=136, Fair A/E 0.77). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 19.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +5.53 to a £1 stake over 203 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mitchell Bastyan rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.4%, A/E 0.88). The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (34%, n=53) and off a 0-7-day break (32.3%, n=31). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 4.8% over 42 runners, 11.7pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Jewson Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2022, £62,080). The stable star of the record: Herecomestanley (GB) — 10 wins from 61 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.8%−4.7

n=136 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −71.86

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.6%+2.1

n=43 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −9.77

Debutants · first career start

31.3%+14.8

n=32 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +13.55

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.2%−0.3

n=37 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −2.12

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.7%−7.8

n=23 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −12.12

When favourite

42.6%

n=136 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +6.82

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

19.7%+3.2

n=203 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +5.53

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%+0.2

n=30 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +14.88

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In NH Flat races 34% vs 16.5% · n=53

Off a 0-7-day break 32.3% vs 16.5% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 27.5% vs 16.5% · n=120

With debutants 31.3% vs 16.5% · n=32

At Stratford 29.4% vs 16.5% · n=51

In Class 6 4.8% vs 16.5% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 511 83 16.2% −159.51

Flat 110 11 10% −41.55

Chase 72 11 15.3% −29.79

NH Flat 53 18 34% +35.06

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 368 65 17.7% −83.03

Good to Soft 164 23 14% −81.09

Soft 92 15 16.3% −17.96

Good to Firm 47 10 21.3% −1.45

Standard (AW) 40 2 5% −20.00

Heavy 35 8 22.9% +7.74

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 59 13 22% −12.83

Stratford 51 15 29.4% +19.01

Fontwell 43 6 14% −20.17

Plumpton 35 7 20% −16.70

Wincanton 31 3 9.7% −16.25

Huntingdon 30 4 13.3% −10.87

Market Rasen 28 6 21.4% −4.49

Exeter 26 3 11.5% −15.84

Ludlow 26 6 23.1% −1.98

Uttoxeter 21 1 4.8% −15.00

Cheltenham 21 3 14.3% +6.00

Taunton 19 1 5.3% −16.38

Kempton 19 3 15.8% −8.71

Sandown 18 2 11.1% −5.88

Worcester 17 5 29.4% −0.52

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 298 53 17.8% −97.21

Class 5 169 28 16.6% −31.13

Class 3 134 28 20.9% −43.65

Class 2 69 7 10.1% −14.68

Class 6 42 2 4.8% −20.00

Class 1 34 5 14.7% +10.88

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 147 61 41.5% 1.17 +6.82

2nd–3rd fav 208 42 20.2% 1.08 −22.61

4th–6th fav 254 15 5.9% 0.69 −124.00

7th+ in betting 137 5 3.6% 1.14 −56.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

91.1% completed · 583 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 72 83.3% 1 1 10 0 0

Hurdle 511 92.2% 8 6 22 0 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mr Yeats (IRE)then Harriet Dickin 21 3 13 21 Oct 23

Appreciate (IRE)from Tom Clover · then Dan Skelton 21 6 9 3 Sep 23

Hasty Parisian (IRE)then Anthony Charlton 17 1 5 21 Oct 23

Pyramid Place (IRE)from John Gosden · then Syd Hosie 15 4 7 6 Nov 23

Presenting Yeats (IRE)then Richard Hawker 15 2 4 22 Sep 23

Jacamar (GER)then Anthony Charlton 15 2 3 28 May 23

Global Agreement (GB) 15 2 4 4 May 23

Songo (IRE)then Richard Hawker 14 5 8 22 Oct 23

Highland Frolic (FR)from John & Thady Gosden · then Mark Rimell 14 1 7 19 Oct 23

Cabrakan (IRE)from Richard Hannon · then Harriet Dickin 14 2 6 12 Oct 23

Aliomaana (GB)from John & Thady Gosden 14 3 4 3 Oct 23

El Muchacho (IRE)then Anthony Charlton 13 2 6 2 Nov 23

The 60 most-raced of 113 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ralph Beckett (4) and Richard Hannon (4); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

44 have since run for another yard, most often for Anthony Charlton (16) and Harriet Dickin (9); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

151592317222742115919

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMitchell Bastyan

21% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 0.88

RiderRWSR£1

Mitchell Bastyan 156 24 15.4% −52.69

Bradley Harris 145 31 21.4% +11.53

Harry Reed 144 15 10.4% −82.07

Harry Cobden 54 14 25.9% −7.23

Kevin Jones 40 11 27.5% −0.04

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

344

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.36m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 72 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Knight Salute (GB) — Jewson Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2022 · Grade 1

£62,080

Chaninbar (FR) — Alder Hey Imagine Appeal Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2010 · Class 1

£39,907

Pyramid Place (IRE) — Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Chepstow · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£39,023

Notable horses

Herecomestanley (GB) Alfadora (GB) Pseudonym (IRE) Jacamar (GER) Pyramid Place (IRE) Songo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Australia (GB) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,618 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.7% from 105.

Yeats (IRE) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,804 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 26.5% · 9–34

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,915 runs since 2008 (685 horses).

Highland Reel (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,502 runs since 2008 (161 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.

Nathaniel (IRE) 21.1% · 4–19

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,052 runs since 2008 (631 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.

Sixties Icon (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,659 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,330.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,277 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,277 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 6 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 23 Plumpton Copshill Lad (IRE)J: Harry Reed Southern Contract Lifting Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/3F

06 Nov 23 Plumpton Western Soldier (GER)J: Bradley Harris SCA 26 Year Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 10/3

06 Nov 23 Plumpton Pyramid Place (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Mannok Build GB Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 9/2

05 Nov 23 Carlisle Shallow River (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Castletown Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F

04 Nov 23 Ascot Twinjets (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Ascot Underwriting Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

04 Nov 23 Ascot Prince Imperial (USA)J: Bradley Harris Grundon Waste Management Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 14/1

03 Nov 23 Newmarket Havaila (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Betfred Nifty 50 HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 5/1

02 Nov 23 Stratford El Muchacho (IRE)J: Harry Reed Charlie Longsdon Racing Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Soft · 6 ran PU 6/1

30 Oct 23 Huntingdon Chase Park (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Rhino.Bet Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 6/1

27 Oct 23 Cheltenham Parade Away (IRE)J: Harry Reed Skybet Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 33/1

27 Oct 23 Lingfield (AW) Leazy Lindsay (GB)J: Rob Hornby Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 33/1

26 Oct 23 Ludlow Sisterandbrother (GB)J: Harry Cobden Hazlin Of Ludlow Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/1

24 Oct 23 Exeter Dodger Long (GB)J: Bradley Harris South West '3 Yrs Old' 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 13f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 15/2

24 Oct 23 Exeter Westerninthepark (IRE)J: Harry Reed Molson Coors Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 7/2

24 Oct 23 Exeter Sufi (GB)J: Mr Billy Broomfield Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 66/1

23 Oct 23 Plumpton Uggy Uggy Uggy (GB)J: Bradley Harris Bet Goodwin Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/4F

23 Oct 23 Plumpton Western Soldier (GER)J: Jonathan Burke Trottenden Sussex Cattle Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 4/5F

22 Oct 23 Kempton Shallow River (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Racing Tv Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/3F

22 Oct 23 Kempton Songo (IRE)J: Harry Cobden TrustATrader trustatrader.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

22 Oct 23 Sedgefield Swiss Money (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Join Our Vickers.Bet Customer Racing Club Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Milton Harris's strike rate?: Milton Harris has won 123 of 746 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Milton Harris do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 15 wins from 51 runners (29.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Milton Harris?: Mitchell Bastyan, with 156 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (15.4%).
What is Milton Harris's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 746 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.