No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 120 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).
Deterministic profile computed from 357 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Mar–MayFresh horses: 3.5%Lisa Williamson: 3.9% from 103
The read
The market has consistently overbetfirst rides on a horse: 0% strike, Fair A/E 0.00 and −104.00 to a £1 stake over 104 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Lisa Williamson supplied 29% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.62). The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (5.8%, n=69) and in Class 5 (5.5%, n=91). Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–May.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.5
n=104 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −104.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+8.6
n=9 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +0.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.5%+1.0
n=85 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −65.92
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −2.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.5%+0.0
n=353 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −273.92
Big fields · 14+ runners
3%+0.5
n=100 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −66.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With William Davies9.7% vs 2.5% · n=31
On Good to Firm going5.8% vs 2.5% · n=69
In Class 55.5% vs 2.5% · n=91
On first rides for the horse0% vs 2.5% · n=104
With horses switching code0% vs 2.5% · n=63
With M J Gingell0% vs 2.5% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle19631.5%−172.00
Chase13864.3%−82.92
NH Flat2300%−23.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good12721.6%−103.00
Good to Soft7911.3%−67.00
Good to Firm6945.8%−39.25
Soft4624.3%−32.67
Heavy3500%−35.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter5223.8%−31.00
Bangor-on-Dee2900%−29.00
Towcester2913.4%−14.00
Fakenham2100%−21.00
Hereford1915.3%−14.00
Ludlow1300%−13.00
Huntingdon1300%−13.00
Warwick1317.7%−8.67
Worcester1200%−12.00
Southwell1200%−12.00
Plumpton1100%−11.00
Sedgefield1119.1%−8.25
Chepstow9222.2%+12.00
Aintree900%−9.00
Stratford900%−9.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 420142%−176.92
Class 59155.5%−36.00
Class 34100%−41.00
Class 61600%−16.00
Class 2500%−5.00
Class 1300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6116.7%0.74−3.25
2nd–3rd fav2328.7%0.63−13.67
4th–6th fav9255.4%0.95−40.00
7th+ in betting23610.4%0.19−221.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m14842.7%−117.67
2m1f – 2m4f10421.9%−91.25
2m5f – 3m9222.2%−68.00
Over 3m1317.7%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200821162.8%−168.92
200912521.6%−100.00
20102114.8%−9.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps18373.8%−115.67
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners10800%−108.00
8-10 runners8444.8%−48.25
14-16 runners7922.5%−55.00
5-7 runners5611.8%−51.00
17+ runners2114.8%−11.00
2-4 runners9111.1%−4.67
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 149 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
005443000030
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
32
Archived wins
£273k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Just Beth (GB) — Club 16-24 Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Jan 2007 · Class 2
£16,910
Just Beth (GB) — betdirectuk.com Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Dec 2006 · Class 2
£10,084
Accumulate (GB) — K W Bell Construction Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Jun 2007 · Class 3
Progeny have won 7.1% of 281 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Puget (USA)0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 4.2% of 24 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
Presenting (GB)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Alzao (USA)0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.2% of 381 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Riverhead (USA)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 6.3% of 48 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
In The Wings (GB)20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,518 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 231. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.4% from 114.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 885 · newest first
The latest 50 of 885 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 30 May 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Derek Laverty's strike rate?
Derek Laverty has won 9 of 357 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Derek Laverty do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 2 wins from 52 rides (3.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Derek Laverty ride most for?
Lisa Williamson, with 103 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (3.9%).
What is Derek Laverty's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 357 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Derek Laverty·SR 2.5%·A/E 0.60
KTB
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