7:30 Windsor
A Class 6 handicap over 1m3f99y at Windsor on good to firm ground brings together a field of 15 three-year-olds, the majority of whom are limited performers still seeking to make a significant mark. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with only a handful of runners showing any real consistency or scope, and several being asked fresh questions either by trip, ground or draw. Overall the numbers paint a picture of a modest contest in which a genuinely-run race should sort out the capable from the exposed.
How the race shapes up
With a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, this looks a genuinely-run, fair test as per the pace shape. Mister Pretentious is the obvious candidate to take them along from stall 14, with Lucky Sevens and Wild Rosie among those who can race prominently and apply pressure early. Most of the field, including the top five in the KTB Fit rankings, prefer to be held up and produce their effort late, so the key question will be whether the prominent runners set a stiff enough pace to stretch the closers or whether the race falls into the hands of something coming from off the speed.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1La Kosmos55/100Limited horse who has failed to build on a promising debut sixth and has looked modest in three starts this year.
- 2Parc Dosne KTB Selection55/100Limited performer who has shown only modest form in four starts to date.
- 3African Gib53/100Limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in five starts to date.
- 4Goldfinder51/100Modest performer who has run to a similar level in all six starts, finishing no worse than fifth but without threatening to win.
- 5Regulus Black49/100Regulus Black has shown consistent placed form in modest company and holds a solid course connection through his yard.
- 6Lucky Sevens48/100Limited sort who has been in and out this year and drops back from 2m.
- 7Spinney48/100Limited performer who has shown only modest form in four starts, finishing no better than third on the latest run.
- 8Alkaios47/100Limited performer who has shown little in four starts to date.
- 9Living In Hope47/100Modest performer who has shown only minor promise in five runs to date.
- 10Billingsgate Gold47/100Limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date, finishing no better than sixth.
- 11Champagne Beau46/100Champagne Beau has shown little in three starts to date, finishing seventh or worse each time including two modest efforts here at Windsor.
- 12Exquisite Skye43/100Modest performer who has shown steady placed form without progressing.
- 13Mister Pretentious43/100Limited performer who has shown some ability here, finishing second over this trip on his penultimate start before a lesser effort last time.
- 14Dijon Gone40/100Dijon Gone is a limited performer who has shown very little in six starts, finishing no better than sixth on his most recent outings.
- 15Wild Rosie37/100Limited filly who has shown very little in seven starts and looks up against it from stall 2 in this field.
The contenders
La Kosmos KTB Fit 55/100
La Kosmos is a limited horse who has failed to build on a promising debut sixth and has looked modest in three starts this year. He drops back in trip today having been well held over further last time, which poses a fresh question. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at Windsor with an A/E of 1.03 from 211 runs while the jockey is 11% from 27 rides with an A/E of 1.38. No runs on good to firm ground leave him unproven on the surface and he has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be aiming to come from off the pace in what should be a genuinely-run race.
Parc Dosne KTB Fit 55/100
Parc Dosne is the KTB selection, a limited performer who has shown only modest form in four starts to date. He drops back in trip today having last run over a mile and a half, which asks a fresh question. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at Windsor with an A/E of 1.67 from nine runs, though the jockey's 5% strike rate at the track from 187 rides with an A/E of 0.41 is a negative. He has one run on good to firm ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he will need to find improvement from off the pace in a race that should unfold at a genuine gallop.
African Gib KTB Fit 53/100
African Gib is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in five starts to date. Dropping back in trip to 1m3f poses a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 13 is far from ideal. The trainer holds a modest 9% strike rate at Windsor from 54 runs with an A/E of 0.7 and the horse showed little when eighth on its only previous visit here. He has one run on good to firm without winning or placing. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he faces a stiff task from out wide in what is expected to be a truly-run contest.
Goldfinder KTB Fit 51/100
Goldfinder is a modest performer who has run to a similar level in all six starts, finishing no worse than fifth but without threatening to win. He drops back in trip today having looked stretched at 1m4f last time, which asks a fresh question. The trainer operates at a 7% strike rate here from 283 runs with an A/E of 0.69 while the jockey is 11% from 71 rides with an A/E of 0.94. No runs on good to firm leave him unproven on the ground and he has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he will be looking to come from off the speed.
Regulus Black KTB Fit 49/100
Regulus Black has shown consistent placed form in modest company and holds a solid course connection through his yard. He steps up in trip today having already tried this distance once without success, while the good-to-firm ground looks suitable on the balance of his three previous runs. The trainer's modest 7% strike rate at Windsor from 14 runs with an A/E of 0.55 is offset by the jockey's stronger 11% record at the track from 66 rides with an A/E of 1.03. The yard and jockey combination is 20/139 with an A/E of 1.06. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he is one of the more consistent members of the field.
The rest of the field
Lucky SevensKTB Fit 48/100
Lucky Sevens is a limited sort who has been in and out this year and drops back from 2m. Three wins from six runs on good to firm ground is a solid plus and the yard and jockey both have respectable records at Windsor. First run here and unplaced in his only attempt at this trip are unknowns rather than clear negatives. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
SpinneyKTB Fit 48/100
Spinney is a limited performer who has shown only modest form in four starts, finishing no better than third on the latest run. He drops back in trip today having been well held over a longer distance last time and has already been beaten on this track. The trainer holds a solid 14% strike rate here from 98 runs while the jockey operates at 10% from 299 rides. Dropping in class and usually held up.
AlkaiosKTB Fit 47/100
Alkaios is a limited performer who has shown little in four starts to date. He steps up markedly in trip today having failed to make any impression over shorter distances. The trainer is without a winner from nine runs here while the jockey has a solid record at the track. Unproven on good to firm ground.
Living In HopeKTB Fit 47/100
Living In Hope is a modest performer who has shown only minor promise in five runs to date. He steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Windsor. Dropping in class and usually held up.
Billingsgate GoldKTB Fit 47/100
Billingsgate Gold is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date, finishing no better than sixth. He steps up in trip for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has a modest record at Windsor while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. Dropping in class and usually held up.
Champagne BeauKTB Fit 46/100
Champagne Beau has shown little in three starts to date, finishing seventh or worse each time including two modest efforts here at Windsor. The yard's modest 7% strike-rate at the track from a big sample offers no particular encouragement, nor does the jockey's 6% record from 51 rides. This is a limited performer being asked a fresh question up in trip. Dropping in class.
Exquisite SkyeKTB Fit 43/100
Exquisite Skye is a modest performer who has shown steady placed form without progressing. She steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 25 runs at Windsor while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. Dropping in class and unproven on good to firm ground.
Mister PretentiousKTB Fit 43/100
Mister Pretentious is a limited performer who has shown some ability here, finishing second over this trip on his penultimate start before a lesser effort last time. The yard has a solid record at Windsor and the horse is well drawn to get a nice position from stall 14. The trip seems to suit but the small sample on this ground leaves that side of things open. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Dijon GoneKTB Fit 40/100
Dijon Gone is a limited performer who has shown very little in six starts, finishing no better than sixth on his most recent outings. He ran once at Windsor without troubling the judge and now drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried. The trainer holds a modest 7% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey has an 11% record from 76 rides. Typically settles in midfield.
Wild RosieKTB Fit 37/100
Wild Rosie is a limited filly who has shown very little in seven starts and looks up against it from stall 2 in this field. The step up to 1m3f is an unknown and first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate at Windsor while the jockey records a solid 8% here. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
KTB verdict
Parc Dosne is the KTB Selection. A limited performer who has shown only modest form in four starts, he drops back in trip having last run over a mile and a half, which asks a fresh question, yet the trainer has a solid record at Windsor. Most of the field are modest types with questions to answer, and while the selection shares top spot on KTB Fit he is taken to come out on top in a race that should be truly-run. The main dangers are the consistent Regulus Black, who has shown placed form in modest company and is suited by the ground, and Goldfinder, who has been reliable at a similar level without winning.
KTB Selection Parc Dosne
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:07 UTC, 29 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| La Kosmos | 22/1 | Midnite |
| Parc Dosne | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| African Gib | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Goldfinder | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Regulus Black | 9/4 | 7Bet |
| Lucky Sevens | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Spinney | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Alkaios | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Living In Hope | 20/1 | Midnite |
| Billingsgate Gold | 20/1 | Midnite |
| Champagne Beau | 30/1 | 7Bet |
| Exquisite Skye | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Mister Pretentious | 7/1 | Midnite |
| Dijon Gone | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Wild Rosie | 22/1 | Midnite |
This is the narrative read of the 7:30 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Windsor results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to set the pace?
Mister Pretentious tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence and is well drawn in stall 14.
How many of the field are unproven on good to firm ground?
La Kosmos, Goldfinder, Alkaios and Exquisite Skye have no runs on good to firm and are therefore unproven on the ground.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Spinney, Living In Hope, Billingsgate Gold, Champagne Beau and Exquisite Skye are all dropping in class.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Windsor among those represented?
James Owen has a 14% strike rate at Windsor with an A/E of 0.82 from 44 runs, matched by Tom Clover who is also 14% from 98 runs with an A/E of 0.94.
Which horses have previous course form at Windsor?
African Gib was eighth on his only visit, Spinney was seventh on his only visit, Billingsgate Gold was sixth on his only visit, Champagne Beau has been eighth and ninth here, Mister Pretentious has been second and 11th, and Dijon Gone was seventh on his only visit.
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