David Menuisier
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 210 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 15% (53 runs, true-first definition). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2.8% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 15.1% (n=53, Fair A/E 1.73), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.3% (n=221, Fair A/E 0.68). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 10.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +43.83 to a £1 stake over 102 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 18 runners in the last 14 days (22.2%, 10.9pts above the 11.3% baseline). Oisin Murphy rides 7% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.4% vs 11.3%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (21.2%, n=66). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 4.4% over 91 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. 25 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2020, £198,485). The stable star of the record: Nuits St Georges (IRE) — 7 wins from 31 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,893 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,893 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 April 2014 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is David Menuisier's strike rate?
- David Menuisier has won 116 of 1,029 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David Menuisier do best at?
- Goodwood by strike rate: 17 wins from 98 runners (17.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for David Menuisier?
- Oisin Murphy, with 73 runners since 2022 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (16.4%).
- Is David Menuisier in form?
- In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 22.2%. That is above the baseline of 11.3% since 2022.
- What is David Menuisier's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 1,028 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.