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Trainer profile

Matt Crawley

369 runners in the last 5 seasons · 55 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
28–369
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=369
95 (26%)
Placed
0.81
n=368 · 0.69 incl. margin
−126.97
£1 level stake
n=369 at SP · −34.4%
£266k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 369 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 8.2% Jack Quinlan: 9.4% from 64
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.7% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.51). Jack Quinlan rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 0.80). The yard also reads well on Good going (13.3%, n=75). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 32 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.18 across 74 runners (1.4% strike, −65.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.2%+0.6
n=73 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +1.33
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.6%−2.0
n=36 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +10.00
Debutants · first career start
5.9%−1.7
n=17 · A/E 2.78 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.7%+1.1
n=23 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −8.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.3%−1.3
n=16 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
24.1%
n=29 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −8.68
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%−3.9
n=81 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −31.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 1.4% vs 7.6% · n=74
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 7.6% · n=32
On Good going 13.3% vs 7.6% · n=75
Off a 8-14-day break 2.3% vs 7.6% · n=43
With claiming riders up 3.7% vs 7.6% · n=81
With Jonny Peate 2.9% vs 7.6% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 269 19 7.1% −88.03
Hurdle 58 6 10.3% −21.19
Chase 23 2 8.7% −11.75
NH Flat 19 1 5.3% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 194 14 7.2% −64.41
Good 75 10 13.3% +4.44
Good to Soft 43 2 4.7% −32.00
Good to Firm 32 0 0% −32.00
Soft 22 1 4.5% −9.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 55 5 9.1% −12.50
Kempton (AW) 40 2 5% −16.67
Wolverhampton (AW) 37 4 10.8% −10.12
Southwell (AW) 35 2 5.7% −24.12
Yarmouth 28 3 10.7% +12.00
Fakenham 26 4 15.4% −11.69
Huntingdon 22 0 0% −22.00
Lingfield (AW) 22 1 4.5% +4.00
Southwell 15 1 6.7% −5.50
Newmarket 13 0 0% −13.00
Windsor 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Lingfield 10 1 10% −7.62
Doncaster 8 1 12.5% −5.25
Warwick 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 6 2 33.3% +20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 183 17 9.3% −33.03
Class 5 124 8 6.5% −65.69
Class 4 53 3 5.7% −19.25
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 7 20% 0.68 −14.68
2nd–3rd fav 74 9 12.2% 0.75 −29.29
4th–6th fav 119 6 5% 0.66 −59.00
7th+ in betting 141 6 4.3% 1.76 −24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Prefer The Sister (IRE)from Jack Jones · then James Owen 18 1 4 2 Mar 26
Respectable Jack (GB) 17 0 5 30 Sep 26
Alvesta (GB)from Andrew Balding · then George Bewley 16 0 1 13 Feb 26
Local Music (IRE)from K J Condon 16 3 8 20 Sep 25
Argentum (IRE)then George Bewley 15 0 2 4 Jul 26
Pottersjetamay (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 15 0 4 11 May 26
Stranger Things (GB)from Joseph Parr 15 0 5 24 Feb 23
Pottersmattyeeehaa (GB) 14 1 3 4 May 26
Dubai Magic (IRE)from James Tate 14 2 4 24 Feb 26
Alice Kitty (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 14 1 2 9 Feb 24
Dartmouth Rose (GB)from Pam Sly 12 4 8 4 May 26
Potters Prince (GB) 11 1 4 20 Oct 26
All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charlie Longsdon (4) and Dylan Cunha (4); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for George Bewley (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
31410161244401163
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Quinlan
17% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.80
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Quinlan 64 6 9.4% −33.27
Jonny Peate 35 1 2.9% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
29
Archived wins
£270k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 10 wins
Local Music (IRE) — 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 6
£7,851
Potters Margot (GB) — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div II) Lingfield (AW) · Aug 2026 · Class 4
£5,940
Star Of St Louis (FR) — Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes (Div 2) Southwell (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 6
£5,862

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bobby's Kitten (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 8% of 1,668 runs since 2008 (144 horses).
Eqtidaar (IRE) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 8% of 436 runs since 2008 (49 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.5% from 117. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.7% from 232.
Time Test (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,109 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 324. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.7% from 313.
National Defense (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 7.6% of 581 runs since 2008 (50 horses).
Study Of Man (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 14.5% of 1,156 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.3% from 247.
U S Navy Flag (USA) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,397 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 181.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 377 · newest first

The latest 50 of 377 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2021 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Sep 26 Windsor Shabu Shabu (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Nsi Fire & Security Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 14/1
08 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Parc Dosne (FR)J: Kyle McHugh Bay Gardens Handicap StakesClass 6 · 13f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matt Crawley's strike rate?
Matt Crawley has won 28 of 369 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matt Crawley do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 runners (10.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Matt Crawley?
Jack Quinlan, with 64 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.4%).
Is Matt Crawley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Matt Crawley's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 368 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).