What is Patrick Chamings's strike rate?

Patrick Chamings has won 47 of 639 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Chamings do best at?

Salisbury by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Patrick Chamings?

David Probert, with 136 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.8%).

Is Patrick Chamings in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Patrick Chamings's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 634 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Patrick Chamings

639 runners in the last 5 seasons · 55 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

47–639

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=639

132 (21%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=634 · 0.84 incl. margin

−256.97

£1 level stake

n=639 at SP · −40.2%

£453k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 639 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug David Probert: 11.8% from 136

The read

The record is strongest at Salisbury (13.3%, n=30), clear of the yard's 7.4% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (2.2% over 92 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=128, Fair A/E 0.54). David Probert rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.8% vs 7.4%, A/E 1.60) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (17.1%, n=76) and on Good to Firm going (12.1%, n=116). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Cantorspreadfair.com Heritage Handicap at Goodwood (Jul 2005, £49,300). The stable star of the record: Scottish Glen (GB) — 12 wins from 61 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.4%−2.0

n=129 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −82.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%+0.3

n=26 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +4.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.4

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+3.7

n=18 · A/E 2.11 · £1 +8.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.4

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

When favourite

40%

n=20 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +7.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.9%−3.5

n=128 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −78.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 17.1% vs 7.4% · n=76

On last-time-out winners 14.6% vs 7.4% · n=48

At Kempton (AW) 2.2% vs 7.4% · n=92

On Good to Firm going 12.1% vs 7.4% · n=116

With David Probert 11.8% vs 7.4% · n=136

At Salisbury 13.3% vs 7.4% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 635 47 7.4% −252.97

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 288 16 5.6% −158.55

Good to Firm 116 14 12.1% +0.75

Good 112 5 4.5% −61.50

Soft 54 4 7.4% −24.75

Good to Soft 48 6 12.5% −2.67

Heavy 17 2 11.8% −6.25

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 126 8 6.3% −80.55

Kempton (AW) 92 2 2.2% −63.00

Windsor 60 4 6.7% −26.25

Brighton 57 4 7% −24.00

Bath 40 3 7.5% −5.00

Salisbury 30 4 13.3% −1.25

Chelmsford City (AW) 30 2 6.7% −15.50

Chepstow 29 4 13.8% +4.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 28 2 7.1% −9.50

Lingfield 27 4 14.8% −1.00

Newbury 22 1 4.5% −13.50

Goodwood 20 2 10% −11.67

Epsom 16 2 12.5% +7.00

Leicester 14 2 14.3% +6.00

Southwell (AW) 12 2 16.7% +10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 319 28 8.8% −113.55

Class 5 217 11 5.1% −92.00

Class 4 76 5 6.6% −45.75

Class 3 21 2 9.5% −12.67

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 9 28.1% 1.31 +0.08

2nd–3rd fav 99 15 15.2% 0.99 −10.05

4th–6th fav 191 16 8.4% 1.05 −44.00

7th+ in betting 317 7 2.2% 0.68 −203.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Amathus (IRE)from Sylvester Kirk 48 6 13 19 Oct 26

Darvel (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 46 7 14 15 Oct 26

Raqraaq (USA) 42 2 10 19 Oct 26

Diamond Dreamer (GB)from Andrew Balding 39 6 12 28 Sep 26

Spanish Star (IRE) 37 4 10 30 Sep 25

Little Miss Magic (IRE)from Charles Hills 27 2 7 21 Jul 26

Dourado (IRE)from Richard Hannon 25 2 5 17 Mar 25

Francisco (GB)from Andrew Balding 23 2 9 10 Sep 26

Magical Dragon (IRE)from Clive Cox 22 1 5 10 Sep 24

Artavian (GB) 21 2 6 6 Oct 26

Ship To Shore (GB) 21 2 7 13 Jun 26

Bhubezi (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 21 1 4 8 Oct 24

All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (7) and Clive Cox (3); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

90516779103630

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Probert

21% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.60

RiderRWSR£1

David Probert 136 16 11.8% +2.45

Hector Crouch 41 3 7.3% −5.00

Charles Bishop 37 2 5.4% −21.50

Rhys Clutterbuck 36 1 2.8% −23.00

Daniel Muscutt 30 2 6.7% −18.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

268

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.22m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Foxhaven (GB) — Cantorspreadfair.com Heritage Handicap Goodwood · Jul 2005 · Class 2

£49,300

Spanish Star (IRE) — Winners Wear Cavani Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2023 · Class 2

£38,655

Binanti (GB) — Buckingham Palace Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2007 · Class 2

£34,276

Notable horses

Scottish Glen (GB) Spanish Star (IRE) Millfield (IRE) Foxhaven (GB) Eager To Bow (IRE) What A Welcome (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.7% · 9–71

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

War Front (USA) 6% · 3–50

Progeny have won 15.7% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.9% from 923. Weakest on Good going: 10.9% from 533. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 19.3% from 1,009.

Anjaal (GB) 12.5% · 6–48

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,214 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 161.

Requinto (IRE) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,456 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.

Oasis Dream (GB) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,999 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Tasleet (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,172 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.9% from 107. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 354.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,926 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,926 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Bath Amathus (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Raqraaq (USA)J: William Cox Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 100/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Darvel (IRE)J: David Probert bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 6th 7/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Bonnita (GB)J: David Probert Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 8th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Vannessa (GB)J: Charles Bishop Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 300/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Back To Me (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 28/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Perzaaneh (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 300/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Cuban Lady (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 6th 16/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Artavian (GB)J: Mr Frederick Tett bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 12/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Goldfinder (GB)J: David Probert Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 7/2F

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Vannessa (GB)J: David Probert bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 150/1

02 Oct 26 Ascot The Bitter Moose (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 17th 33/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Amathus (IRE)J: David Probert Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 40/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Darvel (IRE)J: David Probert The Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Diamond Dreamer (GB)J: David Probert The Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 22/1

21 Sep 26 Leicester The Bitter Moose (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 6th 11/1

16 Sep 26 Sandown Champagne Beau (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 9th 28/1

14 Sep 26 Windsor Artavian (GB)J: David Probert Nsi Fire & Security Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Francisco (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 5/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Bonnita (GB)J: William Cox Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Chamings's strike rate?: Patrick Chamings has won 47 of 639 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Chamings do best at?: Salisbury by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Chamings?: David Probert, with 136 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.8%).
Is Patrick Chamings in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick Chamings's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 634 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.