2:12 Windsor
This Class 4 EBF Maiden over the minimum 5f21y at Windsor on good ground features a field of ten juveniles, most of them lightly raced. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Red Blue Point heading the numbers on 56, just ahead of Instant Force and Agent Rose on 54. Several runners are dropping in trip having tried 6f or further, while the race looks set to revolve around an uncontested lead that could prove difficult to overcome.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, pointing to one clear front-runner facing little pressure. Crazee In Havana is the only horse with a pronounced front-running style and is likely to be allowed an easy time on the lead from draw 2. Most of the principals, including the selection Red Blue Point, prefer to be held up and will be aiming to come from off the pace, which poses the key question of whether any of the closers possess the necessary speed to reel in a clear leader over this minimum trip on good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Red Blue Point KTB Selection56/100
Red Blue Point has shown fair ability in two runs so far, finishing second on debut over 6f before a respectable fourth last time. He now drops back to 5f where he has already been placed once, which looks a sensible move for this lightly-raced colt. James Tate has a solid 15% strike rate at Windsor from 73 runs while Rossa Ryan takes the ride, the pair combining with a 33/156 record. The colt has been placed on both starts on good ground and is dropping in class here. Usually held up, he will need to produce his effort late in a race where the leader may get an easy time.
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2Instant Force54/100
Instant Force has shown fair ability in two starts to date, finishing second on both occasions including when stepped up to 6f last time. Dropping back to an untried 5f poses a fresh question while first-time headgear is now added. The Burke yard has a solid 14% strike rate at Windsor from a big sample and their 88/494 record with Pierre-Louis Jamin offers encouragement. The colt has yet to race on good ground and holds no course form. Usually held up, though with limited evidence, he will be coming from off the pace in what is likely to be a strongly run race on the front end.
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3Agent Rose54/100
Agent Rose has shown little in two starts to date, finishing seventh then last over 6f. She now drops back to an untried 5f trip which asks a fresh question of her. The yard's modest 8% strike rate at Windsor from a large sample offers no particular encouragement either, though Marco Ghiani brings a strong 16% strike rate at the track. The filly is unproven on good ground and holds no course form. Usually held up with limited evidence, she will need to improve markedly to feature in a race where the pace may be up front.
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4Crazee In Havana51/100
Crazee In Havana has shown fair form in three runs, finishing second twice including at this trip. The yard posts a 10% strike rate at Windsor from a big sample. Trip looks suitable while the going remains an unknown on this lightly-raced profile. With a front-running style, Crazee In Havana is likely to take up the running in a race with a lone-leader shape and could prove hard to peg back if allowed an easy lead from draw 2. The 233/1990 trainer-jockey combination with Charles Bishop is well established though their Windsor figures are modest.
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5Duchess Of Immatin48/100
Duchess Of Immatin finished fourth on debut over 6f and is now dropped back to 5f. The small sample means little else can be read into that run or her ability on good ground. Trainer George Boughey holds a solid 18% strike rate at Windsor from 138 runs and teams up with Billy Loughnane, whose record reads 171/918. Usually held up with limited evidence, she will be aiming to come from off the pace. This remains an unexposed profile after just one start.
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6Time Teller48/100
Time Teller is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Windsor from a large sample. Data confidence is low so any assessment is tentative and rests mainly on pedigree and sales background.
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7Urumita47/100
Urumita showed fair pace on debut when finishing fourth over 6f. Dropping back to 5f poses a fresh question for this lightly raced 2-year-old. The small sample means any firm conclusions on ability or ground preference would be premature.
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8Go Go Girl46/100
Go Go Girl is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a steady 14% strike rate at Windsor from a large sample. The Clive Cox stable knows this track well and the booking of Joe Leavy adds some confidence on debut. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence available the rest relies on pedigree and sales background which remain untested here.
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9Demonstrate42/100
Demonstrate has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing well beaten on both occasions. Dropping back from 7f to 5f today asks a fresh question of a horse with only two career runs. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate at Windsor from 17 runs while the 7 lb claimer is making his debut at the track.
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10Major Looktwice36/100
Modest performer who has shown ordinary form in two starts, finishing third on course over 6f last time. Drops back to 5f today for the first time which asks a fresh question. The Gary and Josh Moore yard has a 6% strike rate from 79 runs at Windsor while David Probert has limited data at the track.
KTB verdict
Red Blue Point is the KTB Selection. He has shown fair ability in two starts, is dropping to a trip where he has already been placed, and benefits from the booking of Rossa Ryan for a yard with a respectable record at Windsor. The lightly-raced profile and drop in class add to the appeal for a colt who should be suited by the good ground. His main dangers are likely to be Crazee In Havana, who can take the uncontested lead and prove hard to catch, and Instant Force, who brings strong placed form and the first-time headgear factor.
KTB Selection Red Blue Point
This is the narrative read of the 2:12 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Windsor results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Crazee In Havana, whose front-running style and draw 2 make him the natural leader in a lone-leader pace shape.
How many of the principals are dropping back to 5f having raced over further?
Four of the five principals – Red Blue Point, Instant Force, Agent Rose and Duchess Of Immatin – are dropping in trip from 6f.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Windsor among those represented in the principals?
George Boughey with an 18% strike rate at Windsor from 138 runs.
Who rides the KTB Selection and what is their Windsor strike rate?
Rossa Ryan rides Red Blue Point and has a 16% strike rate at Windsor from 368 rides.
Which runner is the only one with previous course form in the entire field?
Major Looktwice, who finished third here over 6f last time.
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