3:21 Listowel
The 3.21 at Listowel is a six-runner Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle over 2m4f on good ground. A small but competitive field features several high-class performers on recent ratings and form, led by the top-rated Roc Dino who arrives with strong recent efforts. The KTB Fit scores range from 63 down to 44, underlining a race where class and trip suitability will be decisive, with the Mullins yard particularly well represented.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is that of a lone leader with high confidence, pointing to one clear front-runner enjoying an uncontested lead that can prove difficult for closers to reel in. Roc Dino tends to make the running or race prominently, so he is ideally placed to dictate matters. The held-up runners, including Rosie's Wings, Clay Pigeons and I Can Find Em, will be asked to come from off the pace, while the mid-division types Dad Sez and Goeasyonme sit in between. The key question is whether anything can close the gap on an uncontested leader over this trip on good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Roc Dino KTB Selection63/100
Roc Dino is high-class on the back of strong recent form that includes two wins and two seconds from his last four starts. He drops back in trip today having already shown he can place at this distance, while the good ground looks suitable given his record of one win from two on it. The 5-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace, which fits the race shape perfectly as the likely lone leader. W. P. Mullins has a 19% strike rate at Listowel from 780 runs and Paul Townend is operating at 23% from 253 rides here, with the pair combining at a 31% strike rate overall. Recent form figures of 220-12 underline his consistency at a high level, making him the clear KTB selection.
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2Rosie's Wings48/100
Rosie's Wings is a high-class performer on recent ratings and form with three placed efforts from her last four starts. She steps up in trip today having shown little when tried at this distance previously, so that aspect carries a question mark. The 6-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late, which could leave her with plenty to do if the leader is allowed an easy time out front. Trainer Ross O'Sullivan has a modest 7% strike-rate at Listowel from 68 runs while jockey Danny Gilligan records a solid 10% from 42 rides. Recent form figures of 6-3133 reflect her competitiveness without quite getting her head in front lately.
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3Clay Pigeons47/100
Clay Pigeons is a high-class performer who looked the part when winning a maiden hurdle here last year before a solid placed effort in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham. Dropping back from 3m to a trip he has already placed at should suit, while the first-time headgear is an interesting addition for a horse that is usually held up and produces his effort late. W. P. Mullins has a strong 19% strike rate at Listowel from a huge sample of 780 runs, though Brian Hayes is operating at a modest 5% from 110 rides here. The 6-year-old's recent form reads /12-14 and he has yet to show his hand on good ground.
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4Goeasyonme46/100
Goeasyonme has shown promise with two seconds from as many starts and now steps up markedly in trip as a lightly-raced 5-year-old. The longer distance is an entirely new question so expectations must be cautious given the low data confidence and small sample. He typically settles in midfield, though evidence is limited. Trainer John Patrick Ryan holds a 9% strike rate here from 178 runs while jockey Daniel King is operating at 5% from 76 rides at Listowel. With no previous runs on good ground he remains unproven on the surface.
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5Dad Sez45/100
Dad Sez has shown ability with a win on good ground from just two completed starts and now drops back in trip to 2m4f for the first time. The longer 3m1f distance last time may have stretched him so this is a fresh question rather than a negative. Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy both have solid records at Listowel, though the overall sample remains small enough to treat this 6-year-old with some caution.
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6I Can Find Em44/100
I Can Find Em has shown fair placed form on two of his three starts but was well beaten on both outings this year. The drop back in trip today asks a fresh question while the small overall sample means his true level remains unclear. Trainer Gary McGill has only had two runners at Listowel so that is too small a sample to judge while the jockey has a solid 20% strike rate from five rides here.
KTB verdict
Roc Dino stands out as the KTB selection. He is high-class on the back of strong recent form, drops back to a suitable trip where he has already placed, and the good ground is in his favour. With his front-running style he is set to enjoy an uncontested lead according to the pace shape, a big advantage in a race of this nature. The main dangers are likely to come from the other high-class performers Rosie's Wings and Clay Pigeons, both of whom bring strong recent form though they face different questions on trip and run-style.
KTB Selection Roc Dino
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:24 UTC, 26 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Roc Dino | 5/6 | BetTom |
| Rosie's Wings | 5/1 | William Hill |
| Clay Pigeons | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Goeasyonme | 14/1 | BetTom |
| Dad Sez | 3/1 | BetTom |
| I Can Find Em | 125/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 3:21 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to make the running?
Roc Dino tends to make the running or race on the pace and the pace shape indicates a lone leader with an uncontested lead.
How does the first-time headgear apply to one of the contenders?
Clay Pigeons is fitted with first-time headgear having previously won a maiden hurdle here last year before a solid placed effort in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham.
Which runner is stepping up markedly in trip as a lightly-raced 5-year-old?
Goeasyonme steps up markedly in trip having shown two seconds from as many starts.
What is the going record for the selection Roc Dino?
One win from two on good ground with two placed efforts overall on the surface.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Listowel among those represented?
W. P. Mullins has a 19% strike rate at Listowel from 780 runs.
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