3:50 Sedgefield
This Class 5 Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier over 2m0f178y at Sedgefield on good ground features a field of ten where the KTB numbers identify a clear top two. Cadillac Ranch tops the Fit ratings on the back of a course-and-distance success while Littletown Lad is only narrowly behind after two recent wins and a flawless record at the venue. The pace shape points to an uncontested lead which will ask serious questions of the closers in the field.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader likely to have the race to itself early, the pace shape is strongly in favour of anything able to race prominently or on the pace. Character Testing is the only confirmed front-runner while Natural Ability tends to race prominently, so those two should track or share the running. The majority of the field, headed by the selection Cadillac Ranch and Littletown Lad, are held-up types who will be asked to come from off the pace; the key question is whether the uncontested leader can be reeled in on this stiff track.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Cadillac Ranch KTB Selection66/100
Cadillac Ranch is a useful performer who showed improved form when winning over course and distance on good ground last time. He has a solid 1-from-1 record at Sedgefield and has won once from three starts on this going. Dropping in class looks a positive, and the trainer records a 13% strike-rate at the track from 56 runs while the jockey has a 100% strike rate at Sedgefield from one ride. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is ideally suited to a race where the leader may get an easy time in front. The recent form figures of PP-P15 underline the step forward he took when successful here last time out.
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2Littletown Lad61/100
Littletown Lad is a useful performer who arrives in excellent order after two recent wins. He has a strong record at Sedgefield, winning both starts here, and has also won twice from four runs at today's trip. The yard and jockey both hold solid records at the track while he handles good ground, recording two wins from seven starts on it. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the leader to come back to him but his course form gives every confidence he can do so. Recent form figures of 87U211 show the progressive nature of his current campaign.
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3Character Testing58/100
Character Testing is a useful performer who has been knocking on the door without winning lately and arrives here in solid recent form. He has placed both starts at Sedgefield and is proven at the trip, though he remains winless on good ground from 16 attempts. The yard's modest record at the track is offset by the jockey's strong 40% strike-rate here from a small sample. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is perfectly placed to take advantage of the expected uncontested lead. Recent form figures of 524424 reflect his consistent level without quite getting his head in front.
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4Natural Ability52/100
Natural Ability is a fair performer with solid course connections, including a win here from six runs. He has been consistent in recent starts and steps back up to a trip he has won over before, though his last run was a pulled-up effort. The trainer's modest 9% strike-rate at Sedgefield is offset by the jockey's stronger 17% record at the track. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is well positioned to track the expected lone leader. Recent form figures of 4532-P show the prior consistency before that latest disappointment.
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5American Empire52/100
American Empire is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this year but has been below that level on his last two starts. He drops back to a trip he has won at before and has already run creditably over this course and distance. The first-time headgear is an unknown but the trainer and jockey both hold solid records at Sedgefield. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be hoping the leader does not get too far out of reach. Recent form figures of -33758 reflect the dip in form after earlier promise.
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6The Poet's Way47/100
The Poet's Way has struggled since switching to handicaps with two pulled-ups and a pair of remote finishes. He is a fair performer on the balance of his earlier efforts and now drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried. Trainer Micky Hammond has an 11% strike rate from 974 runs here while Brian Hughes posts a solid 20% from 1278 rides at Sedgefield.
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7Clean Getaway46/100
Clean Getaway is a fair nine-year-old who has won five times at Sedgefield from 17 starts and also has six wins from 25 runs at today's trip. He drops back from 2m3½f having shown consistent placed form this season, though the first-time headgear is now added after a string of modest efforts. Trainer Philip Kirby holds a solid 14% strike rate here from 376 runs while jockey Joe Williamson is 11% from 135 rides at the track.
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8Mr Globalist39/100
Mr Globalist is a modest performer who has been a regular at Sedgefield without winning in eight runs here. He has shown enough to be competitive on good ground and at this trip but his overall strike-rate remains poor. The yard's record at the track is also weak.
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9Sweet Cicely34/100
Sweet Cicely is a modest performer who has shown very little in three runs this year. She has been beaten a long way on both visits to Sedgefield and has failed to place in ten runs on good ground. The yard's modest record here adds no encouragement.
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10Battle Stride34/100
Battle Stride is a modest performer who has shown very little lately and arrives on the back of a pulled-up and two poor finishes. He drops back to 2m having failed to trouble the judge in two previous tries at the trip while six runs on good ground have produced no win or place. The yard is still seeking its first Sedgefield winner from 17 attempts and the 3 lb claimer has a modest 6% strike rate here.
KTB verdict
Cadillac Ranch is the KTB Selection. A useful performer who showed improved form when winning over course and distance on good ground last time, he has a solid 1-from-1 record at Sedgefield and is dropping in class. Usually held up, he is well suited to a race where the leader may get an easy lead. Littletown Lad, with his excellent recent form and perfect record at the track, is the obvious danger, while Character Testing's prominent run-style could see him prove hard to pass if allowed to dictate.
KTB Selection Cadillac Ranch
This is the narrative read of the 3:50 Sedgefield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sedgefield racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sedgefield results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Sedgefield?
Littletown Lad has won both of his two starts at Sedgefield while Cadillac Ranch is 1-from-1 and Clean Getaway is 5-from-17.
How does the expected pace shape affect the held-up runners?
The lone leader with little pressure means held-up horses such as Cadillac Ranch, Littletown Lad and American Empire will need to come from off the pace against an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.
What is the significance of the first-time headgear on American Empire and Clean Getaway?
The first-time headgear on both American Empire and Clean Getaway is an unknown factor according to the KTB Intelligence.
Which jockey has the best strike rate at Sedgefield in this field?
Rebecca Hitchen has a 40% strike rate at Sedgefield from five rides while Miss Ellie Callwood is 100% from one ride.
Why is Character Testing considered well suited to the race shape?
As the only confirmed front-runner in a race with a lone leader and little to pressure it, Character Testing is ideally placed to take the uncontested lead.
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