Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glancePhilip Armson: 6.6% from 76Claiming riders: 7.1%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%+0.8
n=70 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −47.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Chase races10.8% vs 6.3% · n=37
On Good going2.4% vs 6.3% · n=41
In Hurdle races2.5% vs 6.3% · n=40
In Class 58.2% vs 6.3% · n=61 · A/E 1.23
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4012.5%−34.50
Chase37410.8%−20.00
NH Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good4112.4%−35.50
Good to Soft19210.5%−10.50
Soft16212.5%−7.50
Heavy300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter2114.8%−15.50
Market Rasen17211.8%−6.00
Sedgefield500%−5.00
Hexham5120%−2.00
Southwell400%−4.00
Stratford400%−4.00
Huntingdon400%−4.00
Doncaster400%−4.00
Wetherby200%−2.00
Worcester200%−2.00
Hereford200%−2.00
Ffos Las100%−1.00
Ludlow100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Musselburgh100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 56158.2%−38.50
Class 41600%−16.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5240%1.39+1.00
2nd–3rd fav7228.6%1.79+4.00
4th–6th fav2114.8%0.68−15.50
7th+ in betting4600%0.00−46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f2813.6%−22.50
2m5f – 3m26311.5%−12.00
1m5f – 2m1800%−18.00
Over 3m7114.3%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20221218.3%−6.50
2023700%−7.00
20243113.2%−25.50
20251600%−16.00
202613323.1%−1.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6957.2%−46.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners3126.5%−22.50
11-13 runners2015%−14.50
5-7 runners16212.5%−7.50
14-16 runners1200%−12.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 9 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 3 had their first archived run for this yard.
1 has since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0131720017000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£87,102
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Scottish King (IRE) — Holiday At Hexham Racecourse Caravan Park Novices' Handicap Chase Hexham · Mar 2026 · Class 5
£6,344
Scottish King (IRE) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Feb 2026 · Class 5
£4,758
Texard (FR) — Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Now Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Apr 2024 · Class 5
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Kapgarde (FR)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,613 runs since 2008 (723 horses).
War Of Will (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 5.6% of 54 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,171 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 207 · newest first
The latest 50 of 207 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2005 to 7 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Richard Armson's strike rate?
Richard Armson has won 5 of 79 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Richard Armson?
Philip Armson, with 76 runners since 2022 — 96% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.6%).
What is Richard Armson's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 79 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Richard Armson·SR 6.3%·A/E 0.95
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