5:25 Stratford

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Ashdown Forest KTB Selection64/100

   Form 76-133 · Dan Skelton · Miss Heidi Palin(5)

   Ashdown Forest is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He has won over today's trip and goes well on good ground with a solid record of one win from four starts. Dropping back from 2m3½f should suit and he arrives in decent form having shown placed efforts on his last three starts. The Dan Skelton yard posts a 22% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 0.87 from 371 runs, while the 5lb claimer Miss Heidi Palin has a 25% strike rate at the track from just four rides and an A/E of 2.33. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in a race where the leader may get an easy time of it.

2. 2Made All61/100

   Form P-3351 · Sam England · Rebecca Hitchen(7)

   Made All is a useful performer on the balance of ratings and race history. Dropping back to 2m looks a fair move having placed once at the trip from three attempts, while his good-ground record of one win from sixteen starts is solid enough without being dominant. He arrives with recent form of P-3351 that includes a win on his latest outing. The Sam England yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 0.63 from 33 runs, and the 7lb claimer Rebecca Hitchen has no prior course experience. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to bridge any gap that the uncontested leader sets in this race.

3. 3Mojo Ego60/100

   Form 616314 · Fergal O'Brien · Fern O'Brien(5)

   Mojo Ego is a useful performer who has won over this trip and on this ground. He has already scored at Stratford from just one visit and arrives in decent form having won two of his last four starts. The Fergal O'Brien yard has a 15% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.8 from 271 runs, and the 5lb claimer Fern O'Brien posts a 13% strike rate here with an A/E of 1.05 from 15 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he will be looking to come from off the pace against a likely clear leader. His course win adds a strong positive to his claims.

4. 4Mayday Games60/100

   Form 0-1731 · Shaun Lycett · Miss Gina Andrews

   Mayday Games is a useful performer who has won two of his three starts at Stratford and arrives in solid form after a recent win. He has shown he handles good ground and this trip well enough with two wins from six runs at each. The Shaun Lycett yard records a respectable 13% strike rate here with an A/E of 1.22 from 102 runs, while jockey Miss Gina Andrews operates at a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.6 from 58 rides. His front-running style, in which he tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence, looks ideally suited to the projected lone-leader pace shape and could prove hard to peg back.

5. 5Ballyearl58/100

   Form 60-P8P · L J Morgan · Alice Stevens(3)

   Ballyearl is a useful performer who has been struggling for form lately with a string of poor efforts including pulled up on his last two starts. He drops back in trip today having failed to make the frame in three previous tries at 2m while his record on good ground is also modest with three runs yielding no win or place. Both trainer and jockey have solid strike rates at Stratford, and he is dropping in class.

6. 6Lucky Sevens57/100

   Form 214 · James Owen · Lilly Pinchin

   Lucky Sevens is a useful performer who has already won over this trip and at this track. Recent form of 214 shows consistency at this level and the course win from just two visits is a clear plus. The trainer posts a solid 20% strike rate at Stratford while the jockey's 6% record is more modest, and he usually races handily on or close to the lead.

7. 7Raffles Nobu37/100

   Form 353525 · Nick Scholfield · Anna McGuinness(7)

   Raffles Nobu is a useful performer on his best days and has shown consistent form this year with a string of placed efforts. He has run well enough at Stratford before without winning and handles good ground, though he remains winless in eight attempts at this trip. The trainer's modest 7% strike-rate here adds a note of caution, and he typically settles in midfield.