Astelia (IRE)
Astelia is 1 from 21 with 11 places. The win came in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle at Killarney in Oct 2026 over 2m1f – 2m4f on good ground off an official rating of 102. She has raced 12 times over 1m5f – 2m without success. The mare led in six of nine analysed runs and finished second of five at Punchestown in Oct 2026 off an official rating of 106.
- 1–21Wins / Runs
- 4.8%Strike rate
- 11 (52.4%)Placed
- −18.38£1 level staken=21 at SP
- 0.32Fair A/E n=21 · 0.26 incl. margin
- 113Highest OR
- 79dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 128
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 24 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 128B | 108 | 5 · 128 / 107 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 95B | 77 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 24 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 128B | 95 | 4 · 128 / 101 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 111A | 108 | 2 · 111 / 107.5 |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 24 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 99C | 58 | 1 · — |
| Good | 3 | 110A | 78 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 24 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 99C | 69.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 110A | 80 | 1 · — |
Of 21 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 18 figures from 21 runs · as at 22 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 15 analysed runs since Jun 2025
- Led 8 (53%) · 1 win
- Prominent 5 (33%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (7%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (7%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,945 runs since Jan 2008 (1,112 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.2% from 455. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,503 | 284 | 18.9% | +3.2 | — |
| Good | 2,646 | 421 | 15.9% | +0.2 | 1 from 12 |
| Good to Soft | 1,238 | 205 | 16.6% | +0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,527 | 186 | 12.2% | −3.5 | 0 from 6 |
| Heavy | 455 | 42 | 9.2% | −6.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,557 | 423 | 16.5% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | −0.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 772 | 113 | 14.6% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,100 | 335 | 16% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4,411 | 757 | 17.2% | +1.5 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,891 | 263 | 13.9% | −1.8 | 0 from 12 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 584 | 73 | 12.5% | −3.2 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 139 | 16 | 11.5% | −4.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 23 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them My Margie (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (My Margie (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Margie (IRE) | 19 | 4 | 1m–1m½f | Class 3 |
| Chelsea Green (IRE) | 10 | 2 | 7f–1m | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 12 | 1 | 8% | −9.38 |
| Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscommon | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Down Royal | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Curragh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Listowel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Listowel (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ewing | 9 | 1 | 11% | −6.38 |
| Jake Coen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Shane Foley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tom Madden | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ethan O'Sullivan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gary Carroll | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Scott McCullagh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 20 | 1 | 5% | −17.38 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 13 | 1 | 8% | −10.38 |
| Flat | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 26+10d | Punchestown (IRE) | Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle raced prompt in 4th - moved into runner-up spot 2 out but made no inroads turning in - plugged on to finish 2nd | 2/5 | 12 | 10-12 | 106 | 93C | 115B | Sam Ewing | 11/4 |
| 04 Oct 26+13d | Killarney (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle Away in front early - overtaken after 2nd and sat second - back in front 6th - small error 2 out then urged for more - three lengths clear at the last - tapped with whip on run-in - kept going strongly to win | 1/8 | 10-13 | 102 | 111A | 120B | Sam Ewing | 13/8 | |
| 21 Sep 26+17d | Listowel (IRE) | Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap Settled with the pack early - up in 4th at halfway before dropping back into the straight - dropped away 1 1/2f out and finished well held | 13/15 | 2¼ | 9-11 | 67 | 50C | 64C | Declan McDonogh | 12/1 |
| 04 Sep 26+37d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle Sat second early - error at the second-last - hit front soon after - pushed along and overtaken before the final fence then stayed on same rate to finish 2nd | 2/13 | 4½ | 11-5 | 102 | 95B | 118A | Sam Ewing | 5/2 |
| 29 Jul 26+23d | Galway (IRE) | Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle Set the pace early - lost the advantage under pressure three out and faltered rapidly - eased and pulled up before the last | PU/20 | — | 10-4 | 103 | — | — | Sam Ewing | 8/1 |
| 06 Jul 26+41d | Roscommon | Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) in front early - driven after 2 out - soon under a vigorous drive - lost that spot at the last - held at one speed with no threat to the winner near the finish | 2/15 | 4 | 10-11 | 103 | 128B | 127A | Sam Ewing | 5/2 |
| 26 May 26+22d | Ballinrobe | Monroe's Live John & Margaret Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle Went clear early - driven out approaching final two furlongs and lost lead at the last - held on for second without extra up the run-in | 2/9 | 8 | 10-0 | 103 | 107A | 120A | Sam Ewing | 3/1 |
| 04 May 26+169d | Down Royal | Ballygowan Maiden Hurdle Set the early gallop then drifted left after clearing the first - lost the front spot for a moment after the third-last - error at the second-last let rival get back upside - clipped and lost top spot soon after - driven out but couldn't find more approaching the final fence - stayed on same gait to finish second | 2/19 | 5½ | 10-4 | 106 | 104B | 107A | Ethan O'Sullivan | 12/1 |
| 16 Nov 25+53d | Cheltenham | mallardjewellers.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled just behind the front-runner - held a forward spot but slipped back a couple of places after the 5th - driven along and faded from two out to finish 10th | 10/14 | 1¼ | 10-11 | 113 | — | 94C | Jonathan Burke | 50/1 |
| 24 Sep 25+26d | Listowel | McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle Sat close to the front pair - clipped a hurdle in 2nd - 4th at halfway - unbalanced again in 5th - driven with no gain after the following flight - down the field into 2 out and held on for 7th | 7/18 | ¾ | 11-5 | 108 | 72C | 97C | Sam Ewing | 8/1 |
| 29 Aug 25+20d | Down Royal | Hovis Ireland Mares Maiden Hurdle Went straight to front and travelled keenly - clear by five lengths past 3rd - margin shrunk by halfway - challenged before 3 out then pushed along - overtaken 2 out - driven along into second before last - held that position to the finish | 2/7 | 2¾ | 10-13 | 110 | 108A | 121A | Sam Ewing | 9/4 |
| 09 Aug 25+9d | Kilbeggan | Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Maiden Hurdle Sat close to the pace early - third at the midway point - improved into second after two out - driven up to challenge at the last - drifted right under pressure and bothered a runner near 100 yards out - went ahead but found nothing more and was overtaken close home | 2/7 | 1½ | 10-11 | — | 59B | 109B | Sam Ewing | 8/15F |
| 31 Jul 25+24d | Galway | Guinness 0.0 Handicap Held up towards the back - pushed along with 2f left then made headway into 8th - continued on same gear to the line | 6/18 | nk | 9-13 | 69 | 99C | 83A | Chris Hayes | 25/1 |
| 07 Jul 25+16d | Roscommon | Frenchpark Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) Set the pace early - driven from two out and again after the last - stayed on without finding more late - overtaken in the final strides to lose out by a short head | 2/12 | ½ | 10-8 | — | — | 127A | Jake Coen | 2/1 |
| 21 Jun 25+19d | Down Royal | Eventco Marquees Maiden Held a share of 4th early - driven wide to improve into 3rd approaching final two furlongs - unable to find more late and finished 5th beaten 4 lengths | 5/6 | nk | 9-4 | 69 | 110A | 73B | Gary Carroll | 8/1 |
| 02 Jun 25+962d | Listowel | Nora Canty Mares Maiden Hurdle Set the pace early - lost the front by the 3rd then rallied into 2nd by halfway - regained command turning into the straight - driven on but overtaken before 2 out - kept trying but couldn't close on the winner up the run-in | 2/18 | 5 | 11-4 | — | 116B | 121A | Jake Coen | 28/1 |
| 14 Oct 22+19d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Claiming Race | 12/14 | 5½ | 9-12 | 71 | 73C | 56C | Scott McCullagh | 8/1 |
| 25 Sep 22+27d | Curragh | William Hill Play Responsibly Maiden | 5/24 | 2½ | 9-3 | 73 | 66C | 76A | Shane Foley | 9/1 |
| 29 Aug 22+9d | Roscommon | Sigmar Recruitment Consultants Ltd Maiden | 6/14 | ¾ | 9-3 | — | 78C | 66A | Shane Foley | 5/1 |
| 20 Aug 22+55d | Curragh | William Fry Neville O'Byrne Tribute Maiden | 2/14 | 1¼ | 9-3 | — | 63C | 81A | Tom Madden | 40/1 |
| 26 Jun 22 | Curragh | Arioneo Irish Ebf Maiden | 10/13 | 1¾ | 9-3 | — | 19C | 56C | Tom Madden | 28/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Astelia (IRE) won?
- Astelia (IRE) won 1 of 21 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 4.8%. Placed 11 times in total (52.4% of starts).
- Who trains Astelia (IRE)?
- Astelia (IRE) is trained by Peter Fahey, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
- Who is Astelia (IRE)'s sire?
- Astelia (IRE) is by Sea The Stars (IRE) out of Agapantha (USA), whose sire is Dynaformer.
- What going does Astelia (IRE) prefer?
- Astelia (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 12 starts (8.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Astelia (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 106, from the run on 14 October 2026. The highest on record is 113.
- What is Astelia (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Sea The Stars (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,945 runs since Jan 2008 (1,112 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.2% from 455. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
- Who are Astelia (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Agapantha (USA), Astelia (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: My Margie (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (My Margie (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.