Horse profile
Capital Guarantee (IRE)
44 runs · 19 courses · from Nov 2022
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
7 wins · 5 courses
Last run 10 Oct 2026 · 4th of 20
Last raced off OR 77
KTB Profile
Capital Guarantee is a gelding with seven wins from 44 starts, all on turf and all on good or faster ground. He has won three times at Thirsk, including a Class 5 handicap over 1m – 1m1f on good to firm in Jul 2026 off an official rating of 75, and has also scored at Ripon, Catterick, Epsom Downs and Musselburgh. Raced prominently when fourth of 20 in a Class 4 handicap at York in Oct 2026 off 77, he is now 9lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 44 archived runs · run-style from 30 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins on turf
Wins on good or faster
OR ↓ 9lb off peak
- 7–44Wins / Runs
- 15.9%Strike rate
- 13 (29.5%)Placed
- −6.40£1 level staken=44 at SP
- 1.37Fair A/E n=44 · 1.18 incl. margin
- 86Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating77↓ 9lb off peak
77
68–86
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 87
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 113B | 82 | 4 runs · 87 / 77 |
| Good to Firm | 15 | 120A | 101 | 5 runs · 120 / 105 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 93A | 81 | 2 runs · 81 / 77.5 |
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 89A | 74 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 95C | 87 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 2 | 111C | 78.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 29 | 120A | 90 | 5 runs · 120 / 97 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 14 | 113C | 87.5 | 7 runs · 113 / 83 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 44 figures from 44 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 30 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 11 (37%) · 2 wins
- Mid-division 7 (23%) · 0 wins
- Held up 6 (20%) · 1 win
- Led 6 (20%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 12,170 runs since Jan 2008 (1,102 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 956.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | +8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,559 | 238 | 15.3% | +1.5 | 4 from 15 |
| Good | 2,753 | 383 | 13.9% | +0.1 | 3 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 1,556 | 183 | 11.8% | −2 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 1,871 | 252 | 13.5% | −0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 715 | 84 | 11.7% | −2.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 3,696 | 532 | 14.4% | +0.6 | 0 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 476 | 71 | 14.9% | +1.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3,596 | 511 | 14.2% | +0.4 | 4 from 29 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3,589 | 515 | 14.3% | +0.5 | 3 from 14 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3,275 | 466 | 14.2% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 956 | 89 | 9.3% | −4.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 245 | 24 | 9.8% | −4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 32 | 1 | 3.1% | −10.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −13.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Fivethousandtoone (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Fivethousandtoone (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fivethousandtoone (IRE) | 54 | 5 | 6f | Class 2 |
| Age Of Gold (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 6f | Class 2 |
| Miss Mach One (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 3 | 20% | −6.15 |
| Good to Firm | 15 | 4 | 27% | +13.75 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 26 | 4 | 15% | −6.15 |
| Class 5 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +9.75 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thirsk | 8 | 3 | 38% | +10.50 |
| Beverley | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| York | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ripon | 3 | 1 | 33% | +8.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Musselburgh | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.10 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 29 | 4 | 14% | −16.90 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 14 | 3 | 21% | +11.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Tudhope | 9 | 3 | 33% | +2.35 |
| Mark Winn | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Cian Horgan | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| David Nolan | 5 | 1 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Jason Watson | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ben Robinson | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Rhys Clutterbuck | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Garritty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor Whiteley | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Alistair Rawlinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aiden Brookes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 38 | 7 | 18% | −0.40 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 1 | 8% | −3.50 |
| 2025 | 13 | 3 | 23% | +7.25 |
| 2024 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +1.85 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 26+23d | York | Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap Stakes Handy position in the pack - under pressure over 2f out - stayed on at an even rate for 4th | 4/20 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 77 | 79C | 97A | Daniel Tudhope | 40/1 |
| 17 Sep 26+12d | Pontefract | Matty Bown Handicap Stakes Held up at the back throughout - never able to challenge - finished well held in 10th | 10/10 | 1½ | 9-12 | 78 | 87A | 68A | Rhys Clutterbuck | 40/1 |
| 05 Sep 26+21d | Thirsk | Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II) Held up towards the back - urged forward with over 2f left - stayed on with a furlong to go - improved into third close home | 3/8 | ½ | 9-7 | 78 | 81A | 90A | Billy Garritty | 4/1 |
| 15 Aug 26+7d | Ripon | William Hill World Free From MND Handicap Stakes Handy early - driven approaching final 3f - stayed on terms 2f out before fading over 1f out - dropped away late finishing sixth | 6/10 | 1½ | 9-10 | 79 | 83A | 74A | Mark Winn | 18/1 |
| 08 Aug 26+23d | Redcar | Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.) Settled in the pack early - pushed along and made progress with 3f to run - stayed on inside the last furlong to finish sixth | 6/14 | shd | 10-1 | 79 | 113C | 85A | Mark Winn | 12/1 |
| 16 Jul 26+12d | Thirsk | Thirsk Sky Bet Summer Festival Day Friday 24th July Handicap Stakes tracked in second early - closed on pace-setter 1f out - battled to the front and got up close home | 1/6 | 9-4 | 75 | 102B | 95B | Conor Whiteley | 15/2 | |
| 04 Jul 26+21d | Beverley | Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Held up at the back - driven with a furlong left - edged forward and stayed on to finish sixth | 6/8 | 1 | 9-6 | 77 | 120A | 78A | Mark Winn | 25/1 |
| 13 Jun 26+14d | York | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap Settled in the pack early - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away soon after - well held in 14th | 14/16 | ½ | 9-3 | 79 | 71C | 61A | Ben Robinson | 80/1 |
| 30 May 26+14d | Beverley | Happy Birthday Colin 'Spud' Stamford Handicap Handy with the front group early - travelled on the far flank and pressed for effort with 2f left - found little and squeezed for room inside the last furlong - dropped away quickly and allowed to finish in own time | 9/11 | 8½ | 8-13 | 80 | 105A | 55A | Cian Horgan | 18/1 |
| 16 May 26+23d | Thirsk | Sky Bet Club Handicap Held up in midfield on the wide side - nudged for effort with just over 2f to run - soon dropped away and finished well held | 12/13 | 3¼ | 9-0 | 81 | 60C | 54A | Mark Winn | 12/1 |
| 23 Apr 26+25d | Beverley | Alan McGuinness And Robin Lunness Memorial Handicap Settled in the pack early - urged forward with a furlong and a half left and made headway - kept responding into the closing furlong to close on the front-runner - narrowly failed to get up in a photo finish | 2/10 | shd | 9-3 | 79 | 97A | 87A | Cian Horgan | 12/1 |
| 29 Mar 26+169d | Doncaster | William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (Div 2) Held up in midfield on the far rail - driven approaching 2f out - dropped away soon after - finished 14th | 14/15 | 4 | 9-5 | 81 | 74C | 59C | Cian Horgan | 33/1 |
| 2025 · 13 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Oct 25+13d | York | Coral 'Committed To Safer Gambling' Finale Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Travelled wide throughout - held no better than midfield position - finished well beaten in 8th | 8/19 | 1¾ | 9-3 | 81 | 82C | 75A | Cian Horgan | 125/1 |
| 28 Sep 25+15d | Newcastle (AW) | Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap Handy early - pressed for effort with over a furlong left - dropped away steadily to finish 13th | 13/13 | 4¾ | 9-11 | 82 | 65C | 55C | David Nolan | 18/1 |
| 13 Sep 25+19d | Chester | Oktoberfest Season Finale Saturday 20th September Handicap Held a handy spot on the outside - urged forward and lost ground 2f out - dropped away to finish 9th | 9/11 | 1¾ | 9-12 | 83 | 87A | 79A | Ben Robinson | 20/1 |
| 25 Aug 25+9d | Ripon | Ripon Rowels Handicap Settled behind the front group early - pushed to hit the front two out before being overtaken a furlong out - unable to find more late and held for third | 3/7 | 1 | 9-7 | 83 | 101A | 84A | Daniel Tudhope | 7/2 |
| 16 Aug 25+13d | Ripon | William Hill World Free From MND Handicap Handy early - held up for space out wide 3f out - moved left approaching final furlong - strong late burst to force a way clear near the line - kept going to win | 1/8 | 10-1 | 81 | 93A | 89A | David Nolan | 10/1 | |
| 03 Aug 25+13d | Chester | Oktoberfest Season Finale On 20th September Classified Claiming Stakes Sat handy on the wide side early - hit front approaching 2f gone - asked for effort down the home turn - lost command inside final furlong and dropped away to finish fifth | 5/10 | ¾ | 9-1 | 83 | 90A | 82A | Jason Watson | 17/2 |
| 21 Jul 25+23d | Beverley | Skybet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap Set the pace early - pressed and lost command inside final furlong - unable to find more - held on for third | 3/3 | 1¼ | 10-2 | 84 | 95C | 78C | David Nolan | 3/1 |
| 28 Jun 25+14d | York | Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Mile Handicap Set the pace early - overtaken past 5f out - stayed in touch with front group - still holding a shot approaching final furlong - unable to sustain effort and slipped back close home | 4/12 | nse | 9-11 | 84 | 59A | 91A | Daniel Tudhope | 16/1 |
| 14 Jun 25+23d | York | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap Settled towards rear on the outer - improved into contention over 2f out - pushed along and lost ground inside the final furlong | 5/11 | 4 | 9-9 | 85 | 88A | 87A | Daniel Tudhope | 12/1 |
| 22 May 25+5d | Yarmouth | Gold And Silver Exchange Handicap Settled midfield early - dropped back approaching 5f out - driven on with 2f left - improved slightly inside final furlong but not a threat - finished 5th | 5/8 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 75 | 98B | 79A | Cian Horgan | 6/4F |
| 17 May 25+15d | Thirsk | Sky Bet, For The Fans Handicap Hesitant start - poised outside front-runner - stride strengthening over a furlong out - soon disputed and ran out easy winner | 1/12 | 9-9 | 75 | 98A | 102A | Daniel Tudhope | 5/1 | |
| 02 May 25+9d | Musselburgh | Ian Dewar Memorial Handicap Sharp early advantage - eased back into the pack - squeezed for space with 3f left - unable to threaten and faded through the last furlong | 6/7 | ¾ | 9-8 | 69 | 90A | 74A | David Nolan | 7/2 |
| 23 Apr 25+211d | Catterick | Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Set the early pace - sat handy through midrace - regained front with a furlong to go - drew away to score comfortably | 1/9 | 9-4 | 69 | 107A | 91A | Daniel Tudhope | 9/4F | |
| 2024 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 24 Sep 24+8d | Beverley | Ward Homes Yorkshire Handicap (Div 1) Went straight to front and dictated things - pushed along and drifted right approaching final furlong then overtaken - dropped away in closing stages to finish fifth | 5/7 | 3½ | 9-2 | 68 | 97A | 61A | Daniel Tudhope | 5/2F |
| 16 Sep 24+9d | Thirsk | racingtv.com Handicap Up with the pace - advanced to challenge over 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - ran on strongly through the final furlong - caught near the line - went down by a length | 2/12 | 1 | 9-9 | 68 | 93A | 94A | Daniel Tudhope | 11/4F |
| 07 Sep 24+13d | Thirsk | Moody Construction Handicap (Div 2) Took a strong hold early - edged in front for a couple of furlongs then stayed on terms with the front-runner - driven approaching final 2f and faded fast to finish ninth | 9/11 | ½ | 9-0 | 71 | 65A | 69A | Alistair Rawlinson | 16/1 |
| 25 Aug 24+16d | Beverley | 25 Years Trouble & Strife Martin & Anne Handicap Held handy in the pack early - briefly up to third with 3f left before slipping back and being urged on approaching 2f out - faded steadily through the final furlong to finish ninth | 9/10 | 3½ | 10-1 | 74 | 101B | 61A | David Nolan | 12/1 |
| 09 Aug 24+18d | Haydock | Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Sluggish start - settled midfield and improved over 2f out - lost momentum inside the final furlong to finish 9th | 9/10 | nk | 9-8 | 77 | 104B | 71A | Mark Winn | 12/1 |
| 22 Jul 24+17d | Beverley | Skybet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap | 5/10 | 1 | 9-10 | 79 | 109A | 82A | Jason Watson | 20/1 |
| 05 Jul 24+21d | Haydock | Barrie Wells Trust Box4Kids Handicap | 11/11 | 11 | 9-11 | 81 | 73C | 54C | Clifford Lee | 28/1 |
| 14 Jun 24+27d | York | Andy Thornton Hospitality Furniture Apprentice Handicap | 12/16 | 1¾ | 9-4 | 83 | 81C | 71A | Aiden Brookes | 28/1 |
| 18 May 24+187d | Thirsk | Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap | 10/10 | 2½ | 9-7 | 85 | 69A | 70A | Ben Robinson | 18/1 |
| 2023 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Nov 23+51d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap | 9/10 | 4¼ | 9-2 | 86 | 89A | 49A | Mark Winn | 16/1 |
| 23 Sep 23+26d | Newmarket | Turners Handicap | 5/5 | 8 | 9-10 | 86 | 72C | 62B | Jason Watson | 11/4 |
| 28 Aug 23+10d | Epsom Downs | Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Handicap | 1/7 | 9-9 | 80 | 113B | 95A | Oisin Murphy | 7/4F | |
| 18 Aug 23+24d | Thirsk | Great Prices On bresbet.com Handicap | 1/9 | 9-9 | 78 | 102A | 89A | Jason Watson | 3/1J | |
| 25 Jul 23+81d | Musselburgh | British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 9-7 | 75 | 80C | 81B | Daniel Tudhope | 11/10F | |
| 05 May 23+40d | Cork | Cork Maiden | 13/15 | nk | 9-8 | 79 | 46C | 54A | Declan McDonogh | 11/2 |
| 26 Mar 23+102d | Naas | Kuroshio At Compas Stallions Maiden | 5/15 | ½ | 9-8 | 79 | 111C | 82A | Declan McDonogh | 4/1 |
| 2022 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Dec 22+33d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden | 3/14 | nk | 9-7 | — | 74B | 82A | Declan McDonogh | 6/1 |
| 11 Nov 22+9d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race | 2/8 | 5 | 9-5 | — | 73A | 82A | Declan McDonogh | 7/2 |
| 02 Nov 22 | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden | 6/13 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 79B | 78A | Colin Keane | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Capital Guarantee won?
- Capital Guarantee (IRE) won 7 of 44 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 15.9%. Placed 13 times in total (29.5% of starts).
- Who trains Capital Guarantee?
- Capital Guarantee (IRE) is trained by David O'Meara, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 October 2026.
- Who is Capital Guarantee's sire?
- Capital Guarantee (IRE) is by Lope De Vega (IRE) out of Promised Money (IRE), whose sire is Dark Angel.
- What going does Capital Guarantee prefer?
- Capital Guarantee (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 4 wins from 15 starts (26.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Capital Guarantee's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 10 October 2026. The highest on record is 86.
- What is Capital Guarantee's sire's record?
- Lope De Vega (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 12,170 runs since Jan 2008 (1,102 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 956.
- Who are Capital Guarantee's siblings?
- Out of Promised Money (IRE), Capital Guarantee (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Fivethousandtoone (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Fivethousandtoone (IRE)). The wins came over 6f. As at Oct 2026.