Conor Whiteley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 29% (48 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 29.2% (n=48, Fair A/E 1.64), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.3% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.34). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 15.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +21.86 to a £1 stake over 168 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David O'Meara supplies 26% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.2%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (22.2%, n=45). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 7% over 57 rides, 7.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.61 across 101 rides (7.9% strike, −73.57 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 258 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 258 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 March 2024 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Conor Whiteley's strike rate?
- Conor Whiteley has won 37 of 258 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Conor Whiteley do best at?
- Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 44 rides (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Conor Whiteley ride most for?
- David O'Meara, with 68 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.2%).
- Is Conor Whiteley in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Conor Whiteley's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 257 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.