Conor Whiteley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 30% (47 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 29.8% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.67), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.5% (n=38, Fair A/E 1.37). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 15.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +23.86 to a £1 stake over 166 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David O'Meara supplies 26% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.4%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (22.7%, n=44). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 7.1% over 56 rides, 7.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.61 across 99 rides (8.1% strike, −71.57 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 253 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 253 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 March 2024 to 6 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Conor Whiteley's strike rate?
- Conor Whiteley has won 37 of 253 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Conor Whiteley do best at?
- Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 41 rides (19.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Conor Whiteley ride most for?
- David O'Meara, with 67 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.4%).
- What is Conor Whiteley's Fair A/E?
- 1.11, from 252 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.