Cian Horgan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 150 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (45 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.91). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −212.80 to a £1 stake over 713 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Andrew Slattery supplies 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.7% vs 5.4%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (9.6%, n=83) and in Class 4 (9.2%, n=65). The market has also underrated the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 1.17 across 171 rides (8.2% strike, +24.70 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 46 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 747 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 747 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2021 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Cian Horgan's strike rate?
- Cian Horgan has won 40 of 742 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Cian Horgan do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 129 rides (7.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Cian Horgan ride most for?
- Andrew Slattery, with 220 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (7.7%).
- Is Cian Horgan in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Cian Horgan's Fair A/E?
- 0.85, from 740 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.