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Jockey profile

Cian Horgan

742 rides in the last 5 seasons · 378 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
40–742
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=742
133 (18%)
Placed
0.85
n=740 · 0.69 incl. margin
−187.55
£1 level stake
n=742 at SP · −25.3%
£471k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (45 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 742 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Andrew Slattery: 7.7% from 220 LTO winners: 13.3%
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.91). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −212.80 to a £1 stake over 713 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Andrew Slattery supplies 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.7% vs 5.4%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (9.6%, n=83) and in Class 4 (9.2%, n=65). The market has also underrated the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 1.17 across 171 rides (8.2% strike, +24.70 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 46 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.8%−0.6
n=376 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −105.13
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.3%+7.9
n=45 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −15.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.5%−0.9
n=89 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −33.50
When favourite
21.4%
n=28 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −7.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.3%−0.1
n=713 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −212.80
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.6%+0.2
n=288 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −36.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 13.3% vs 5.4% · n=45
On Heavy going 0% vs 5.4% · n=46
With debutants 0% vs 5.4% · n=34
At trips under 6f 9.6% vs 5.4% · n=83
In Class 4 9.2% vs 5.4% · n=65
Off a 8-14-day break 8.2% vs 5.4% · n=171
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 242 15 6.2% −46.42
Good 200 12 6% −14.50
Soft 123 8 6.5% −42.75
Good to Firm 75 3 4% +0.12
Good to Soft 56 2 3.6% −38.00
Heavy 46 0 0% −46.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 129 10 7.8% +28.33
Newcastle (AW) 54 2 3.7% −37.50
Gowran Park 44 2 4.5% −10.00
Curragh 43 1 2.3% −30.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 27 2 7.4% −6.75
Navan 25 1 4% −18.50
Naas 25 1 4% +16.00
Cork 24 2 8.3% −11.00
Southwell (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Doncaster 22 0 0% −22.00
Ayr 20 0 0% −20.00
Limerick 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Redcar 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Leopardstown 17 0 0% −17.00
Roscommon 17 1 5.9% −14.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 149 11 7.4% +48.25
Class 5 88 2 2.3% −69.00
Class 4 65 6 9.2% −14.88
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 6 17.1% 0.75 −14.00
2nd–3rd fav 81 9 11.1% 0.71 −33.05
4th–6th fav 195 14 7.2% 0.92 −51.50
7th+ in betting 431 11 2.6% 0.97 −89.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Senado Square (GB) 17 3 6 18 Dec 24
On Our Radar (IRE) 11 1 6 22 Jun 24
Young Fire (FR) 10 0 1 9 Oct 25
Corballis Flyer (IRE) 10 1 1 17 Jun 24
Rock Etoile (IRE) 9 2 2 1 Nov 24
Lady Arwen (GB) 9 0 0 5 Oct 24
Khafaaq (GB) 9 3 7 22 Aug 23
Cosmos Raj (GB) 8 1 2 29 Apr 26
Exceeding (IRE) 8 0 0 27 Nov 24
Ceres Ring (GB) 8 0 0 22 Nov 23
Dare To Flare (IRE) 8 1 1 7 Dec 22
Lord Bertie (FR) 7 0 2 9 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 378 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
98011765523215
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
30% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 1.31
TrainerRWSR£1
Andrew Slattery 220 17 7.7% −11.42
David O'Meara 78 3 3.8% −50.88
Edward Bethell 31 2 6.5% −15.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
40
Archived wins
£471k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 13 wins
Independent Expert (IRE) — Treacy Group Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Handicap Curragh · May 2022
£13,865
Bells On Her Toes (IRE) — caulfieldindustrial.com Handicap (50-80) Galway · Aug 2023
£10,030
Tarsus (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2023
£8,850

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Mayson (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,396 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Belardo (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,751 runs since 2020 (279 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,533 runs since 2016 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,997 runs since 2020 (391 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 263.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 747 · newest first

The latest 50 of 747 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2021 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Oct 26 Ayr Cisco Disco (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith San Miguel Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Cian Horgan's strike rate?
Cian Horgan has won 40 of 742 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cian Horgan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 129 rides (7.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Cian Horgan ride most for?
Andrew Slattery, with 220 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (7.7%).
Is Cian Horgan in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Cian Horgan's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 740 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).