Horse profile
Causin A Commotion (IRE)
by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Malea (IRE) (Oratorio)
19 runs · 8 courses · from Jun 2024
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Wolverhampton (AW)
Last run 5 Feb 2026 · 12th of 12
Last raced off OR 45
KTB Profile
Causin A Commotion is 2 from 19, both wins at Class 6 level on the all-weather. He won a 6f – 7f handicap at Wolverhampton in Feb 2025 off an official rating of 53 and a trip under 6f nursery at the same track in Nov 2024 off 51. Both successes came on Standard going. Aged 4 at his last run at Southwell in Feb 2026, he finished 12 of 12 in a Class 6 race off an official rating of 45.
Based on 19 archived runs · run-style from 17 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
All wins on AW
All wins at Class 6
OR ↓ 10lb off peak
- 2–19Wins / Runs
- 10.5%Strike rate
- 3 (15.8%)Placed
- −10.90£1 level staken=19 at SP
- 1.14Fair A/E n=19 · 0.98 incl. margin
- 55Highest OR
- 23dBetween runs (median)longest 114 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating45↓ 10lb off peak
45
45–55
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 13 | 98A | 75 | 4 runs · 97 / 60 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 88C | 44 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 98A | 74 | 2 runs · 97 / 65 |
| Under 6f | 7 | 76A | 61 | 2 runs · 61 / 60 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 19 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 17 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Held up 10 (59%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 4 (24%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 3 (18%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 3,954 runs since Mar 2021 (389 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.6% from 1,420. Weakest on soft going: 7% from 427.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | +27.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 621 | 78 | 12.6% | +1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 1,051 | 92 | 8.8% | −2.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 318 | 29 | 9.1% | −2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 427 | 30 | 7% | −4.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 104 | 11 | 10.6% | −0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,420 | 207 | 14.6% | +3.2 | 2 from 13 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 813 | 111 | 13.7% | +2.3 | 1 from 7 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,036 | 225 | 11.1% | −0.3 | 1 from 12 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 727 | 77 | 10.6% | −0.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 304 | 35 | 11.5% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 50 | 1 | 2% | −9.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | +1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Malea (IRE) (Oratorio)
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Chimeric (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m1f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Chimeric (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chimeric (IRE) | 47 | 3 | 1m | Class 6 |
| Garrison Commander (IRE) | 32 | 1 | 1m1f | — |
| Peig Sayers (IRE) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 13 | 2 | 15% | −4.90 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 16 | 2 | 13% | −7.90 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 5 | 2 | 40% | +3.10 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Thirsk | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 1 | 8% | −6.00 |
| Under 6f | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.90 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Eaves | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Oisin McSweeney | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Sean Kirrane | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Alex Jary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Sexton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.10 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Gray | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.00 |
| None | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.90 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −4.00 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.90 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Feb 26+9d | Southwell (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Classified Stakes Settled with the pack early - pushed for effort at the back approaching 3f out - drifted left and dropped away with 2f left - well held at the finish | 12/12 | 3½ | 9-9 | 45 | 33C | 27C | Sean Kirrane | 80/1 |
| 27 Jan 26+68d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Classified Stakes Held up towards the back - lost touch approaching final 2f before nudging into contention with 1f left - unable to sustain it and faded close home | 5/8 | 3¼ | 9-9 | 45 | 61A | 47A | Sean Kirrane | 40/1 |
| 2025 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Nov 25+14d | Newcastle (AW) | Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap Held up towards the back - moved into 4th with 2f left - pressed for effort and dropped away late - finished 6th | 6/8 | 2¼ | 8-7 | 47 | 59A | 36A | Alex Jary | 16/1 |
| 06 Nov 25+114d | Newcastle (AW) | Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 2) Tracked the front group early - pressed for effort with 2f left - lost ground inside final furlong - finished 10th | 10/14 | hd | 9-3 | 49 | 97B | 64A | Sean Kirrane | 80/1 |
| 15 Jul 25+9d | Thirsk | Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference Venue Handicap Held up towards the back early - never a threat through the contest - well held at the finish | 8/12 | hd | 9-2 | 53 | 62A | 55A | Daniel Tudhope | 100/1 |
| 06 Jul 25+49d | Ayr | Sunday Roast At westernhousehotel Available Now Handicap Held up rear throughout - never able to challenge - finished well held in 13th | 13/14 | 3 | 9-2 | 53 | 44C | 39C | Ryan Sexton | 100/1 |
| 18 May 25+61d | Ripon | Racing Welfare Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap Held up rear of field throughout - never a factor - finished ninth | 9/10 | 1½ | 9-5 | 54 | 64A | 40A | Tom Eaves | 33/1 |
| 18 Mar 25+6d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap Struggled for pace from the off - held towards the back throughout - well held at the finish | 11/11 | 2¼ | 9-6 | 55 | 81A | 28A | Oisin McSweeney | 4/1 |
| 12 Mar 25+22d | Newcastle (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Modest interference at the start - settled in the back half - driven forward past 2f out - met a wall of horses inside the final furlong and never able to get through | 4/9 | nk | 8-10 | 55 | 98A | 57A | Oisin McSweeney | 17/2 |
| 18 Feb 25+17d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 2) Settled towards the back - pushed along under a furlong out then surged through on the inner - powered clear late to win | 1/9 | 8-11 | 53 | 83A | 63A | Oisin McSweeney | 5/1 | |
| 01 Feb 25+15d | Newcastle (AW) | 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap Fought for control early - travelled close to the pace - moved in front with a furlong left - overtaken entering the final furlong but stayed on well to finish 3rd | 3/7 | ½ | 9-3 | 53 | 79A | 57A | Tom Eaves | 5/1 |
| 17 Jan 25+29d | Southwell (AW) | Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap Hesitant start - held up towards back - progress on far flank inside final 2f - driven and battled on late - climbed to third close home but never troubling winner | 3/12 | nk | 9-7 | 53 | 69A | 60A | Tom Eaves | 8/1 |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 19 Dec 24+26d | Southwell (AW) | Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Up with the pace on the outer - lost ground from halfway - faded on the bend and well held in 9th | 9/11 | nk | 9-2 | 53 | 50A | 38A | Tom Eaves | 13/2 |
| 23 Nov 24+36d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM Nursery Held up towards the back early - moved up on the inner rounding the bend - driven to the front inside the last 150 yards and got up close home | 1/7 | 9-0 | 51 | 76A | 61A | David Probert | 11/10F | |
| 18 Oct 24+18d | Newcastle (AW) | Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Sluggish start - quickly settled into rhythm behind the pace on the far flank - dropped away in the last furlong - finished seventh | 7/10 | 2¾ | 8-11 | 53 | 75A | 48A | Tom Eaves | 9/1 |
| 30 Sep 24+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Nursery Bumped and delayed start - settled midpack near rail - urged into effort inside final 2f - stayed on close home but lacked the finishing speed of those in front - fourth beaten just over a length | 4/10 | ¾ | 9-4 | 53 | 67A | 56A | Jason Hart | 11/5F |
| 07 Sep 24+47d | Thirsk | Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - urged forward with over 2f left - dropped away in a hurry soon after - finished well held in 16th | 16/17 | nk | 8-13 | — | 88C | 50A | Oisin McSweeney | 125/1 |
| 22 Jul 24+26d | Beverley | Racing TV EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 9/12 | 1¼ | 9-5 | — | 41A | 53A | Shane Gray | 25/1 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Carlisle | Alan Jennings Last Orders Memorial Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/8 | shd | 9-5 | — | 44A | 49A | Tom Eaves | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Causin A Commotion won?
- Causin A Commotion (IRE) won 2 of 19 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 10.5%. Placed 3 times in total (15.8% of starts).
- Who trains Causin A Commotion?
- Causin A Commotion (IRE) is trained by Noel Wilson, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 February 2026.
- Who is Causin A Commotion's sire?
- Causin A Commotion (IRE) is by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Malea (IRE), whose sire is Oratorio.
- What going does Causin A Commotion prefer?
- Causin A Commotion (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 13 starts (15.4%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Causin A Commotion's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 5 February 2026. The highest on record is 55.
- What is Causin A Commotion's sire's record?
- Cotai Glory (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 3,954 runs since Mar 2021 (389 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.6% from 1,420. Weakest on soft going: 7% from 427.
- Who are Causin A Commotion's siblings?
- Out of Malea (IRE), Causin A Commotion (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Chimeric (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Chimeric (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–1m1f. As at Nov 2026.