Northern Chancer (GB)
Northern Chancer is a gelding who was yet to win from 12 starts. He recorded his best effort when fourth of seven at Wolverhampton in May 2023. All nine runs under 6f and three runs at 6f to 7f proved fruitless, as did six starts on the all-weather and six on turf. Aged 3 at his last run in Jul 2023, he finished seventh of seven at Brighton in a Class 6 race off an official rating of 41.
- 0–12Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=12 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 45Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 88
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 88A | 79 | — |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 51B | 42.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 9 | 88A | 51 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 79A | 69 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 2,474 runs since Jan 2008 (186 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | +27.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 404 | 44 | 10.9% | +0.7 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 451 | 31 | 6.9% | −3.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 162 | 6 | 3.7% | −6.5 | — |
| Soft | 158 | 13 | 8.2% | −2 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | −0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,259 | 153 | 12.2% | +2 | 0 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 717 | 76 | 10.6% | +0.4 | 0 from 9 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,290 | 127 | 9.8% | −0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 278 | 24 | 8.6% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 158 | 25 | 15.8% | +5.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | −4.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 0 | 0% | −10.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Fircombe Hall (GB) (10 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Please Please Me (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fircombe Hall (GB) | 91 | 10 | 6f–7f | Class 6 |
| Cool Spirit (GB) | 50 | 7 | 5f–6f | Class 5 |
| Indy's Angel (GB) | 26 | 1 | 6f | Class 6 |
| Please Please Me (GB) | 7 | 1 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Container Express (GB) | 12 | 1 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Puffthemagicdragon (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Beverley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Swift | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cam Hardie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Phil Dennis | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thore Hammer Hansen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Graham Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Madi Patzelt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Northern Chancer won?
- Northern Chancer (GB) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2022 and 2023.
- Who trained Northern Chancer?
- Northern Chancer (GB) was trained by Philip Kirby on the most recent run on record, at Brighton on 11 July 2023.
- Who is Northern Chancer's sire?
- Northern Chancer (GB) is by Brazen Beau (AUS) out of Marmot Bay (IRE), whose sire is Kodiac.
- What is Northern Chancer's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 41, from the run on 11 July 2023. The highest on record is 45.
- What is Northern Chancer's sire's record?
- Brazen Beau (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 2,474 runs since Jan 2008 (186 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
- Who are Northern Chancer's siblings?
- Out of Marmot Bay (IRE), Northern Chancer (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Fircombe Hall (GB) (10). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Please Please Me (GB)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.