What is Phil Dennis's strike rate?

Phil Dennis has won 76 of 980 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Phil Dennis do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 9 wins from 56 rides (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Phil Dennis ride most for?

Katie Scott, with 156 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (9%).

What is Phil Dennis's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 971 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Phil Dennis

980 rides in the last 5 seasons · 366 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2024 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

76–980

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=980

264 (27%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=971 · 0.75 incl. margin

−158.19

£1 level stake

n=980 at SP · −16.1%

£802k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 980 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 25% when favourite Katie Scott: 9% from 156 Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (16.1%, n=56), clear of the rider's 7.8% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (2.9% over 139 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=91, Fair A/E 0.57). Katie Scott supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 0.90). The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (13.5%, n=111) and off a 0-7-day break (12.6%, n=111). The standout partner of the record: Ornate (GB) — 8 wins from 44 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.9%−0.9

n=319 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −79.22

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

8.1%+0.3

n=74 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −52.24

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−0.7

n=126 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −18.50

When favourite

25%

n=64 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −17.56

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.3%−4.5

n=91 · A/E 0.57 · £1 +69.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Tim Easterby 16% vs 7.8% · n=75

At Hamilton 16.1% vs 7.8% · n=56

On Good to Soft going 13.5% vs 7.8% · n=111

At Wolverhampton (AW) 2.9% vs 7.8% · n=139

Off a 0-7-day break 12.6% vs 7.8% · n=111

On Soft going 12.8% vs 7.8% · n=86

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 455 22 4.8% −121.65

Good 171 18 10.5% −15.13

Good to Firm 139 9 6.5% −13.42

Good to Soft 111 15 13.5% +8.96

Soft 86 11 12.8% −7.45

Heavy 18 1 5.6% −9.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 183 11 6% +34.56

Wolverhampton (AW) 139 4 2.9% −81.00

Southwell (AW) 114 5 4.4% −69.71

Catterick 59 7 11.9% −15.37

Hamilton 56 9 16.1% −20.12

Carlisle 47 5 10.6% +16.50

Ayr 44 5 11.4% +27.00

Redcar 39 3 7.7% −21.75

Thirsk 36 2 5.6% +4.00

Pontefract 34 1 2.9% −30.00

Doncaster 34 1 2.9% −29.50

Ripon 31 3 9.7% −4.67

Beverley 27 2 7.4% +16.62

Haydock 21 3 14.3% +19.00

Musselburgh 16 2 12.5% +22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 493 40 8.1% −69.98

Class 5 283 18 6.4% −83.21

Class 4 162 12 7.4% −30.33

Class 3 27 5 18.5% +33.33

Class 2 11 1 9.1% −4.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 80 20 25% 0.99 −16.81

2nd–3rd fav 176 21 11.9% 0.74 −61.38

4th–6th fav 316 20 6.3% 0.81 −93.00

7th+ in betting 408 15 3.7% 1.18 +13.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rockley Point (GB) 29 1 12 26 Apr 24

Peachey Carnehan (GB) 28 4 14 10 Apr 24

Nellie French (IRE) 21 3 8 16 Dec 23

Slainte Mhath (GB) 19 4 11 13 Jul 24

Shesadabber (GB) 16 3 8 20 Aug 23

Variety Island (GB) 15 1 3 16 Jul 24

Round The Island (GB) 15 1 6 4 Dec 23

Warminster (GB) 14 1 5 28 Jun 24

Ornate (GB) 14 1 3 23 Jan 23

Elladora (GB) 12 2 7 5 Sep 23

Wheres The Crumpet (GB) 11 2 4 7 Jul 24

Liberty Breeze (GB) 11 2 4 5 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 366 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

461081161198465

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKatie Scott

16% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 0.90

TrainerRWSR£1

Katie Scott 156 14 9% −54.00

Scott Dixon 116 6 5.2% −63.00

Simon Whitaker 109 6 5.5% −57.75

Michael Dods 91 8 8.8% −4.25

Tim Easterby 75 12 16% +28.54

Michael Mullineaux 64 8 12.5% +11.75

Tristan Davidson 44 3 6.8% +0.00

David Evans 36 3 8.3% +1.38

David C Griffiths 35 2 5.7% +101.00

Rebecca Menzies 33 4 12.1% −24.36

David Thompson 32 3 9.4% −2.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

272

Archived wins

£2.49m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 47 wins

Ornate (GB) — Investec 'Dash' Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2019 · Class 2

£61,590

Que Amoro (IRE) — Sky Bet Apprentice Handicap York · Aug 2019 · Class 2

£43,575

Excellent Times (GB) — British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap York · Aug 2019 · Class 2

£43,575

Notable horses

Ornate (GB) Peachey Carnehan (GB) Pearl Of Qatar (GB) Shesadabber (GB) Dawn Breaking (GB) Rockley Point (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mayson (GB) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,391 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Spill The Beans (AUS) 3% · 1–33

Progeny have won 5.7% of 141 runs since 2021 (8 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Canford Cliffs (IRE) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2015 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.

Foxwedge (AUS) 14.3% · 4–28

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2016 (131 horses).

Equiano (FR) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,542 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,679 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,679 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 July 2013 to 16 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Jul 24 Beverley Park Street (GB)T: Tina Jackson Racing Again On Monday Evening HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/4F

16 Jul 24 Beverley Variety Island (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Malcolm Greenslade Doncaster LVA Stalwart Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 8/1

15 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Rebel Redemption (GB)T: Scott Dixon Download The Raceday Ready App Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 28/1

15 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Coconut Bay (GB)T: Tristan Davidson Download The Raceday Ready App Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 4/1

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Penelope's Sister (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Follow Us On X at hamiltonparkrc HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 7/2J

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Jumeira Vision (IRE)T: Katie Scott Jfm Electrical HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 9/4F

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Beltane (IRE)T: Mark Walford DX Home Improvements Ltd, Bellshill HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 14/1

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Tafsir (USA)T: Jim Goldie Dx Home Improvements HandicapClass 4 · 13f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 5/1

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Slainte Mhath (GB)T: Katie Scott Buy Tickets For The Races At hamilton-park.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 5/2J

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Joshuas Dream (GB)T: Jim Goldie John & Margaret McCluskey Memorial Celebrations EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

12 Jul 24 York Golden Pharaoh (IRE)T: Scott Dixon George Blades Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 16/1

12 Jul 24 York Visibility (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Azets HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 50/1

11 Jul 24 Doncaster Spear Fir (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Summer Saturday Series At Doncaster HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 25/1

11 Jul 24 Doncaster Spellbinding (IRE)T: Alex French PPM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 150/1

08 Jul 24 Ayr One Of Our Own (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Luxury Breaks At Western House Hotel HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 9/1

08 Jul 24 Ayr Berry Edge (IRE)T: David Thompson Book For The Ayr Gold Cup HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 15/2

08 Jul 24 Ayr Albanach (IRE)T: Katie Scott EBF Stallions Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 22/1

07 Jul 24 Ayr Pol Roger (IRE)T: Michael Dods Kimberly Wyatt At Scottish Sun Ladies Night HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

07 Jul 24 Ayr Wheres The Crumpet (GB)T: David Thompson Book For Scottish Sun Ladies Night Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 1st 12/1

06 Jul 24 Carlisle Little Ted (GB)T: Tim Easterby Eden Animal Rescue 'Rescue Care Rehome' HandicapClass 6 · 9f · Good · 10 ran 8th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Phil Dennis's strike rate?: Phil Dennis has won 76 of 980 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Phil Dennis do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 9 wins from 56 rides (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Phil Dennis ride most for?: Katie Scott, with 156 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (9%).
What is Phil Dennis's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 971 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.