Optical Confusion (IRE)
Optical Confusion (IRE) is 4 from 29. Hasn't won since May 2021.
- 4–29Wins / Runs
- 13.8%Strike rate
- 10 (34.5%)Placed
- −13.38£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 1.33Fair A/E n=29 · 1.11 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 68dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 130
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 105B | 86 | — |
| Good | 8 | 130A | 86.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 113B | 100.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 152B | 118 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 116A | 83 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 152B | 106 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 29 runs looked at, 9 have no figure: did not complete (5) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (4).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 29 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.5% of 1,319 runs since Jan 2008 (81 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 127.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −8.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 141 | 11 | 7.8% | −0.7 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 415 | 41 | 9.9% | +1.4 | 1 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 128 | 13 | 10.2% | +1.7 | 1 from 5 |
| Soft | 323 | 24 | 7.4% | −1.1 | 1 from 12 |
| Heavy | 115 | 7 | 6.1% | −2.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 192 | 16 | 8.3% | −0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 109 | 15 | 13.8% | +5.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 260 | 21 | 8.1% | −0.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 191 | 20 | 10.5% | +2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 127 | 7 | 5.5% | −3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 286 | 18 | 6.3% | −2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 215 | 23 | 10.7% | +2.2 | 3 from 18 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 109 | 7 | 6.4% | −2.1 | 1 from 10 |
| Over 3m | 22 | 1 | 4.5% | −4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Make It Happen (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m2f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Make It Happen (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Make It Happen (IRE) | 26 | 3 | 2m2f | Class 3 |
| Fazbee (IRE) | 28 | 3 | 6f–7f | Class 5 |
| Staplehurst (IRE) | 11 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 6 |
| Hard To Resist (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 12 | 1 | 8% | −5.50 |
| Good | 9 | 1 | 11% | −6.38 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.50 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinrobe | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Tipperary | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wexford | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Roscommon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 18 | 3 | 17% | −5.88 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −6.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J J Slevin | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Danny Mullins | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| L P Dempsey | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| David Mullins | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Richard Condon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Donagh Meyler | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Holden | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr E P O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J J Codd | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Ms K Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Derek O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 28 | 4 | 14% | −12.38 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2021 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +0.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.00 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 19 | 2 | 11% | −9.00 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.00 |
| Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Oct 22+76d | Gowran Park | Hospitality At Gowran Park Handicap Chase | PU/6 | — | 11-12 | 122 | — | — | Danny Mullins | 14/1 |
| 17 Jul 22+16d | Tipperary | Tipperary Town Plate Handicap Chase | PU/6 | — | 11-2 | 123 | — | — | Danny Mullins | 10/3J |
| 01 Jul 22+17d | Wexford | Molloy Metals Wexford GAA Raceday Handicap Chase | 2/11 | 15 | 11-1 | 123 | 90A | 122A | Danny Mullins | 11/1 |
| 14 Jun 22+14d | Roscommon | Tote Connacht National Handicap Chase | 4/9 | 7 | 10-11 | 124 | 130A | 111A | Richard Condon | 16/1 |
| 31 May 22+28d | Ballinrobe | McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Grade B) | PU/15 | — | 10-6 | 124 | — | — | Donagh Meyler | 18/1 |
| 03 May 22+213d | Ballinrobe | KPMG Handicap Chase | 6/11 | 3¾ | 11-0 | 125 | 69A | 106A | Daniel Holden | 9/1 |
| 2021 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Oct 21+17d | Gowran Park | Barry Moloney Transport Handicap Chase | 2/12 | ½ | 11-10 | 123 | 73A | 132A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 8/1 |
| 15 Sep 21+11d | Sligo | Frank O'Beirne Memorial Handicap Chase | 2/11 | 2¾ | 11-10 | 122 | 116A | 126A | J J Slevin | 12/1 |
| 04 Sep 21+48d | Wexford | MOKKA-E At Ferrybank Motors Rated Novice Chase | 4/5 | 28 | 11-12 | 123 | 77C | 112C | Darragh O'Keeffe | 8/1 |
| 18 Jul 21+16d | Tipperary | Tipperary Town Plate Handicap Chase | 5/12 | 4¾ | 11-1 | 124 | 83C | 108C | Darragh O'Keeffe | 7/1 |
| 02 Jul 21+33d | Wexford | Good Enuf To Eat Catering Handicap Chase | 5/9 | ½ | 10-2 | 124 | 92A | 116A | L P Dempsey | 7/1 |
| 30 May 21+5d | Punchestown | Ladbrokes Handicap Chase | F/10 | — | 10-2 | 123 | — | — | L P Dempsey | 13/2 |
| 25 May 21+21d | Ballinrobe | McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Grade B) | UR/13 | — | 10-8 | 123 | — | — | J J Slevin | 11/2 |
| 04 May 21+21d | Ballinrobe | Supermac's Handicap Chase | 1/14 | 10-12 | 111 | 105B | 124A | L P Dempsey | 11/2 | |
| 13 Apr 21+36d | Fairyhouse | Free Racecourse Wi-Fi At Fairyhouse Handicap Chase (0-116) | 1/14 | 11-5 | 107 | 113B | 119A | J J Slevin | 5/2F | |
| 08 Mar 21+69d | Leopardstown | John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Chase | 2/14 | 3¾ | 11-11 | 106 | 88B | 121B | Mr E P O'Brien | 4/1 |
| 2020 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 20+37d | Leopardstown | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123) | 11/20 | 1 | 10-9 | 107 | 54B | 99A | Richard Condon | 25/1 |
| 22 Nov 20+19d | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Beginners Chase | 11/14 | 11 | 12-0 | — | 8C | 112C | Sean O'Keeffe | 200/1 |
| 03 Nov 20+744d | Fairyhouse | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase | 7/14 | 1½ | 12-0 | — | 99C | 103C | J J Slevin | 20/1 |
| 2018 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Oct 18+28d | Cork | I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Novice Hurdle | 3/6 | 4½ | 11-10 | 118 | 123A | 121B | David Mullins | 4/1 |
| 23 Sep 18+23d | Navan | Baroneracing.com Sign Up Bonus Hurdle | 2/6 | ½ | 11-1 | — | 152B | 121B | David Mullins | 7/2 |
| 31 Aug 18+30d | Down Royal | PepsiCo Maiden Hurdle | 1/11 | 11-12 | — | 84A | 121A | David Mullins | 2/1 | |
| 01 Aug 18+64d | Galway | Win Big With Tote Maiden Hurdle | 6/19 | 12 | 11-12 | — | 89C | 105A | J J Slevin | 33/1 |
| 29 May 18+19d | Ballinrobe | McHale F5500 Baler Maiden Hurdle | 4/15 | 4¼ | 11-12 | — | 81B | 129A | J J Slevin | 40/1 |
| 10 May 18+184d | Tipperary | Hotel Minella Maiden Hurdle | 7/20 | 25 | 11-12 | — | 63C | 100C | Danny Mullins | 50/1 |
| 2017 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Nov 17+73d | Fairyhouse | Book Your Christmas Party At Fairyhouse December 16th Maiden Hurdle | 13/16 | 13 | 11-12 | — | — | 106C | Danny Mullins | 33/1 |
| 26 Aug 17+19d | Killarney | Ml Lynch Civil Engineering Flat Race | 1/10 | 12-0 | — | — | 78A | Mr J J Codd | 13/8F | |
| 07 Aug 17+27d | Cork | Ticket Sales Online At corkracecourse.ie Flat Race | 2/15 | 5 | 12-0 | — | — | 80A | Ms K Walsh | 6/1 |
| 11 Jul 17 | Roscommon | roscommonracecourse.ie Flat Race | 4/14 | 3¾ | 12-0 | — | — | 79A | Mr Derek O'Connor | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Optical Confusion won?
- Optical Confusion (IRE) won 4 of 29 archived starts between 2017 and 2022, a strike rate of 13.8%. Placed 10 times in total (34.5% of starts).
- Who trained Optical Confusion?
- Optical Confusion (IRE) was trained by Michael Butler on the most recent run on record, at Gowran Park on 1 October 2022.
- Who is Optical Confusion's sire?
- Optical Confusion (IRE) is by Windsor Knot (IRE) out of Kelpie (IRE), whose sire is Kahyasi.
- What going does Optical Confusion prefer?
- Optical Confusion (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Optical Confusion's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 122, from the run on 1 October 2022. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Optical Confusion's sire's record?
- Windsor Knot (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.5% of 1,319 runs since Jan 2008 (81 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 127.
- Who are Optical Confusion's siblings?
- Out of Kelpie (IRE), Optical Confusion (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Make It Happen (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Make It Happen (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–2m2f. As at Oct 2026.