What is L P Dempsey's strike rate?

L P Dempsey has won 32 of 485 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does L P Dempsey do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does L P Dempsey ride most for?

Gavin Cromwell, with 153 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.5%).

What is L P Dempsey's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 485 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

L P Dempsey

485 rides in the last 5 seasons · 264 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 312 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

32–485

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=485

87 (18%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=485 · 0.80 incl. margin

−299.82

£1 level stake

n=485 at SP · −61.8%

£636k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (40 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 485 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Gavin Cromwell: 8.5% from 153 LTO winners: 12.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Naas (12.5%, n=40), clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.00). Gavin Cromwell supplies 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (12.1%, n=124). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 81 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.50 across 94 rides (3.2% strike, −70.17 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Thetote.com Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2019, £177,000). The standout partner of the record: Dinnie's Vinnie (IRE) — 7 wins from 22 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5%−1.6

n=218 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −160.14

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+5.9

n=40 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −8.13

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.1%−2.5

n=97 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −79.85

When favourite

39.3%

n=28 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +4.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−1.8

n=273 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −178.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−2.8

n=79 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −62.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 0% vs 6.6% · n=81

Off a 31-60-day break 12.1% vs 6.6% · n=124

At Naas 12.5% vs 6.6% · n=40

On last-time-out winners 12.5% vs 6.6% · n=40

With J P Dempsey 10.1% vs 6.6% · n=89

Over 2m5f – 3m 3.2% vs 6.6% · n=94

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 320 17 5.3% −228.78

Chase 164 15 9.1% −70.04

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 243 19 7.8% −169.87

Good to Soft 86 6 7% −23.75

Heavy 81 0 0% −81.00

Good 75 7 9.3% −25.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 79 5 6.3% −56.50

Punchestown 49 3 6.1% −19.00

Naas 40 5 12.5% −1.50

Navan 33 2 6.1% −29.33

Leopardstown 30 1 3.3% −27.38

Limerick 25 2 8% −17.17

Cork 21 1 4.8% −19.47

Thurles 21 1 4.8% −16.50

Kilbeggan 21 2 9.5% −9.38

Clonmel 20 1 5% +1.00

Galway 18 1 5.6% −15.80

Gowran Park 15 0 0% −15.00

Downpatrick 15 3 20% +7.25

Down Royal 13 2 15.4% −6.77

Wexford 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 83 3 3.6% −66.50

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 12 37.5% 1.31 +3.50

2nd–3rd fav 61 13 21.3% 1.29 −9.32

4th–6th fav 106 4 3.8% 0.58 −67.00

7th+ in betting 286 3 1% 0.47 −227.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.5% completed · 484 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 164 73.2% 6 4 32 2 0

Hurdle 320 81.3% 4 5 50 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Clonbury Bridge (IRE) 12 1 4 28 Dec 25

Handsworth (IRE) 9 1 3 15 Apr 23

Steppenwolf (FR) 8 1 2 20 Apr 23

Low Mileage (IRE) 8 0 0 10 Apr 23

Broomfields Jeremy (IRE) 8 0 0 22 Jan 23

Darasso (FR) 7 1 3 15 Apr 23

Broomfield Hall (IRE) 7 3 4 8 Apr 23

Broomfield Bijou (IRE) 6 2 4 27 Apr 23

Brides Hill (IRE) 6 1 3 9 Apr 23

Neveradullmoment (IRE) 6 0 3 9 Apr 23

Arverne (FR) 6 1 2 24 Jan 23

Mica Malpic (FR) 6 1 3 30 Oct 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 264 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

749670188115112

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGavin Cromwell

32% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

Gavin Cromwell 153 13 8.5% −71.63

J P Dempsey 89 9 10.1% −30.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

186

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.39m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 30 wins

Borice (FR) — Thetote.com Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade A) Galway · Jul 2019 · Grade A

£177,000

Spider Web (IRE) — Jt Mcnamara Ladbrokes Munster National Handicap Chase (grade A) Limerick · Oct 2018 · Grade A

£59,000

Darasso (FR) — Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2) Fairyhouse · Apr 2022 · Grade 2

£35,400

Notable horses

Dinnie's Vinnie (IRE) Teacher's Pet (IRE) Persian Wind (IRE) Kilkeaskins First (IRE) Mr Diablo (IRE) Clonbury Bridge (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,076 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Jeremy (USA) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.

Presenting (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,871 runs since 2009 (946 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,496 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Yeats (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,855 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,903 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,903 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 August 2012 to 3 January 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Jan 26 Cork Missus Beeton (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 4th 10/1

03 Jan 26 Cork Ray Gun (USA)T: J P Flavin Happy New Year From All At Cork Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 13th 20/1

01 Jan 26 Tramore Fighting Fit (GB)T: J P Dempsey Jimmy Shanahan Memorial Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 11/1

29 Dec 25 Limerick Harty Cup (IRE)T: Robert Tyner Limerick Racecourse Vets Maiden Hurdle (In Memory Of Andrew McNamara)19f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 9th 40/1

29 Dec 25 Limerick Combs (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle (Listed)16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

29 Dec 25 Limerick Getaways Charm (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Focus Capital Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 6th 100/1

28 Dec 25 Leopardstown Must Go Now (IRE)T: Edward Cawley Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier)23.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 16th 33/1

28 Dec 25 Leopardstown Clonbury Bridge (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Mercedes Benz South Dublin Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran PU 50/1

27 Dec 25 Leopardstown Nara (FR)T: Henry De Bromhead Paddy Power Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (0-150) (Listed)24.5f · Yielding · 28 ran F 25/1

27 Dec 25 Leopardstown Matt Connor (IRE)T: J P Dempsey National Maternity Hospital Foundation Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 17 ran 4th 20/1

26 Dec 25 Leopardstown Seskin Flash (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Racing Post Handicap Chase17f · Yielding · 20 ran 4th 9/1

26 Dec 25 Leopardstown Jacko Star (IRE)T: J P Dempsey E-Auctions Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 13th 9/1

26 Dec 25 Leopardstown Umpire's Call (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Thorntons Recycling Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 22 ran 10th 150/1

26 Dec 25 Leopardstown Thankyouforthedays (IRE)T: J P Dempsey TRI Equestrian Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 21 ran 13th 100/1

20 Dec 25 Thurles Zolpharine (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Molony Cup Handicap Chase25.5f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 50/1

15 Dec 25 Naas Dee's Lady (GB)T: J P Dempsey Care At Home Services Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 19 ran 9th 25/1

14 Dec 25 Navan Quornofamonday (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Chase20.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran PU 40/1

13 Dec 25 Fairyhouse Lejolicoeur Du Mou (FR)T: J P Dempsey William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Soft · 20 ran 16th 40/1

30 Mar 25 Downpatrick Wine An Dine (GB)T: Gordon Elliott Randox Ulster National Handicap Chase28.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 16/1

30 Mar 25 Downpatrick Kilda Kelle (FR)T: J P Dempsey Download The Tote App Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran PU 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is L P Dempsey's strike rate?: L P Dempsey has won 32 of 485 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does L P Dempsey do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does L P Dempsey ride most for?: Gavin Cromwell, with 153 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.5%).
What is L P Dempsey's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 485 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.