Skip to content
Trainer profile

Michael Butler

164 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–164
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=164
21 (13%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=163 · 0.65 incl. margin
−102.00
£1 level stake
n=164 at SP · −62.2%
£115k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 164 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.4%
The read

The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (11.8%, n=34) and off a 15-30-day break (7.6%, n=66). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 0% over 35 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Akinspirit (IRE) — 8 wins from 58 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.3
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.4%+1.1
n=93 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −51.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 11.8% vs 4.3% · n=34
In Chase races 0% vs 4.3% · n=35
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 4.3% · n=30
Off a 15-30-day break 7.6% vs 4.3% · n=66
In Flat races 6.8% vs 4.3% · n=73
On Soft going 7.1% vs 4.3% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 73 5 6.8% −29.00
Hurdle 53 2 3.8% −35.00
Chase 35 0 0% −35.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 62 4 6.5% −29.50
Soft 42 3 7.1% −12.50
Good to Soft 30 0 0% −30.00
Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 19 3 15.8% +12.50
Dundalk (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Limerick 14 1 7.1% −9.00
Roscommon 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 10 0 0% −10.00
Tramore 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 7 1 14.3% +6.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 5 1 20% +2.50
Curragh 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 20 3 15% 1.06 −2.50
4th–6th fav 37 2 5.4% 0.75 −22.50
7th+ in betting 104 2 1.9% 0.78 −74.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rion Rubette (GB) 23 3 7 11 Oct 26
Steps Match (IRE)then Daragh Bourke 20 1 5 25 Jul 24
Repeat That (IRE)then David Harry Kelly 11 0 0 25 Aug 23
Zaur (IRE)then Francois Monfort 11 1 1 18 Oct 22
Bobby Kirova (GB)from P J F Murphy 9 1 3 22 Oct 26
Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) 9 1 3 20 Sep 26
Cholo (IRE)from Josh Halley 6 0 1 9 Jun 26
Practical Move (IRE)then James Dowling 6 0 0 13 Jan 26
Optical Confusion (IRE) 6 0 1 1 Oct 22
Ask Mike (IRE) 5 0 0 27 Nov 25
Hit The Button (IRE)then Eoin Doyle 5 0 0 1 May 23
Ask The Bishop (IRE) 5 0 0 13 Mar 23
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Henry De Bromhead (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Eoin Doyle (3) and John Butler (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0006015800700
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Condon 14 0 0% −14.00
Paddy Harnett 11 2 18.2% +13.50
Kieren Buckley 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Wayne Hassett 8 1 12.5% −3.00
Phillip Enright 8 0 0% −8.00
Gavin Ryan 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Daniel Holden 6 0 0% −6.00
Julian Pietropaolo 5 0 0% −5.00
Cian Horgan 5 0 0% −5.00
Donagh Meyler 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr J C Barry 4 0 0% −4.00
Ryan Treacy 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
40
Archived wins
£413k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rion Rubette (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Gowran Park · Apr 2026
£17,670
Rion Rubette (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Gowran Park · Jun 2026
£14,136
Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) — Roscommon On-course Vets Handicap Chase Roscommon · Sep 2013
£10,350
Notable horses
Akinspirit (IRE) Optical Confusion (IRE) Preswell Lad (IRE) Florimund (GB) Rion Rubette (GB) Steps Match (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
New Bay (GB) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,946 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Court Cave (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Requinto (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,456 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,820 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,215 runs since 2008 (283 horses).
Alkumait (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 4.3% of 161 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 689 · newest first

The latest 50 of 689 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Bobby Kirova (GB)J: Daniel King Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 15/2
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Rion Rubette (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Irish Stallion Farms EBF Garnet Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 80/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Destiny Calls (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 8th 28/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Bobby Kirova (GB)J: Daniel King Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 1st 12/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Wipeawayyourtears (IRE)J: Alan King Kinisla Charleville Cheese 3-Y-O Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 20/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Rion Rubette (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 6th 3/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Destiny Calls (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 9th 150/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Mary's Miracle (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Sean Cleary Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Soft · 17 ran 16th 100/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Venerini (IRE)J: Orla Tynan BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap12f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 80/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Destiny Calls (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden6f · Good · 13 ran 6th 66/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Bobby Kirova (GB)J: Daniel King Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 40/1
31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Wipeawayyourtears (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 14/1
21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Rion Rubette (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 25/1
18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Venerini (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett District Speciality Coffee Maiden12f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 250/1
16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Bobby Kirova (GB)J: Paddy Cody Tramore Directors Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 33/1
07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Rion Rubette (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap7f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 12/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Bobby Kirova (GB)J: Joshua Halford Tote Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 6th 16/1
13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Wipeawayyourtears (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Heights Hotel, Killarney Handicap11.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 8/1
12 Jul 26 Sligo (IRE) Bobby Kirova (GB)J: Joshua Halford Durkin Bros. Electrical Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 50/1
27 Jun 26 Curragh Rion Rubette (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Neville Homes Summer Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Butler's strike rate?
Michael Butler has won 7 of 164 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Michael Butler in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Butler's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).