Paddy The Optimist (IRE)
Paddy The Optimist (IRE) is 3 from 29. Hasn't won since Jun 2006. Every win has come on good or faster ground (0 from 11 on softer). All 3 wins have come over trips beyond 3m. Last raced off 89, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 3–29Wins / Runs
- 10.3%Strike rate
- 14 (48.3%)Placed
- −11.17£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 0.81Fair A/E n=29 · 0.69 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 38dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 7% of 398 runs since Jan 2008 (43 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 44 | 3 | 6.8% | −0.2 | 2 from 11 |
| Good | 115 | 9 | 7.8% | +0.8 | 1 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 59 | 2 | 3.4% | −3.6 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 102 | 9 | 8.8% | +1.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 72 | 5 | 6.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 47 | 2 | 4.3% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 120 | 6 | 5% | −2 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 171 | 14 | 8.2% | +1.2 | 0 from 7 |
| Over 3m | 60 | 6 | 10% | +3 | 3 from 19 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 11 | 2 | 18% | −1.17 |
| Good | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 22 | 2 | 9% | −12.17 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 15 | 2 | 13% | −5.17 |
| Taunton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Warwick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chepstow | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leicester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 19 | 3 | 16% | −1.17 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Stephens | 9 | 2 | 22% | +0.83 |
| Tom Messenger | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.00 |
| William Kennedy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tom O'Brien | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Liam Heard | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tony Evans | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wayne Kavanagh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Merrigan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr R McCarthy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 28 | 3 | 11% | −10.17 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2006 | 12 | 1 | 8% | −4.00 |
| 2005 | 13 | 2 | 15% | −3.17 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 17 Dec 07+26d | Plumpton | Thanks To The Loki Team Handicap Chase | 6/9 | hd | 10-5 | 89 | 75C | Tony Evans | 16/1 |
| 21 Nov 07+16d | Warwick | Turftv Handicap Chase | PU/12 | — | 11-7 | 89 | — | Tony Evans | 11/1 |
| 05 Nov 07+15d | Warwick | Warwick For Conferences Conditionals' Handicap Chase | 3/8 | 5 | 11-3 | 90 | 100C | Tom Messenger | 4/1 |
| 21 Oct 07+473d | Hereford | Francesca's Birthday Handicap Chase | 4/12 | 1¾ | 9-13 | 90 | 86C | Wayne Kavanagh | 12/1 |
| 2006 · 12 runs | |||||||||
| 05 Jul 06+16d | Worcester | Irish Night 12th July Handicap Chase | 6/16 | 1¾ | 10-5 | 93 | 67C | Tom Messenger | 5/1 |
| 19 Jun 06+7d | Hereford | Charles Dawson Memorial Handicap Chase | 2/12 | nk | 9-13 | 80 | 80C | Tom Messenger | 10/3J |
| 12 Jun 06+8d | Newton Abbot | Racecourse For Ideal Party Handicap Chase | 1/17 | 10-10 | 80 | 110C | Tom Messenger | 7/1 | |
| 04 Jun 06+18d | Hereford | Margaret Slough Handicap Chase | 3/15 | 9 | 9-9 | 80 | 70C | Tom Messenger | 4/1F |
| 17 May 06+13d | Hereford | Connolly's Redmills Happy Retirement Vic Handicap Chase | 2/17 | 1 | 9-13 | 73 | 94C | Tom O'Brien | 9/2F |
| 04 May 06+26d | Hereford | Steve Gibbs Memorial Handicap Chase | 4/13 | nk | 9-9 | 74 | 54C | Tom O'Brien | 5/1 |
| 08 Apr 06+19d | Chepstow | John Smith's Premier Club Handicap Chase | PU/15 | — | 10-7 | 76 | — | Paddy Merrigan | 5/1J |
| 20 Mar 06+9d | Hereford | Bartestree Handicap Chase | 3/15 | 7 | 10-8 | 77 | 109C | Tom O'Brien | 6/1 |
| 11 Mar 06+27d | Chepstow | 32Red Online Casino Handicap Chase | PU/8 | — | 10-7 | 79 | — | Liam Heard | 4/1 |
| 12 Feb 06+19d | Hereford | Herefordshire Handicap Chase | 3/10 | 3 | 9-11 | 79 | 67C | William Kennedy | 13/2 |
| 24 Jan 06+15d | Leicester | Rabbit Handicap Chase | 6/15 | 2½ | 10-6 | 83 | 80C | William Kennedy | 20/1 |
| 09 Jan 06+26d | Taunton | Orchard Restaurant Handicap Chase | 8/15 | hd | 9-11 | 86 | 72C | William Kennedy | 14/1 |
| 2005 · 13 runs | |||||||||
| 14 Dec 05+15d | Bangor-on-Dee | Bangorondeeraces.co.uk Handicap Chase | 7/12 | hd | 10-2 | 88 | 82C | Liam Heard | 7/1 |
| 29 Nov 05+12d | Hereford | Famous Grouse Handicap Chase | 3/12 | 15 | 9-6 | 89 | — | Liam Heard | 7/1 |
| 17 Nov 05+156d | Hereford | Xmas Party At The Racecourse Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase | 5/7 | 1¼ | 11-0 | 92 | 45C | Mr R McCarthy | 7/2 |
| 14 Jun 05+9d | Hereford | HFT - Collins Engineering Ltd Handicap Chase | 4/16 | 16 | 10-6 | 94 | 73C | Lee Stephens | 11/2 |
| 05 Jun 05+14d | Stratford | Allens Caravans Handicap Chase | 4/9 | ¾ | 9-9 | 98 | 56C | Lee Stephens | 4/1 |
| 22 May 05+43d | Hereford | Charles Dawson Memorial Handicap Chase Class E | 3/11 | 1¼ | 11-2 | 96 | 60C | Lee Stephens | 7/2F |
| 09 Apr 05+19d | Hereford | Handicap Chase | 1/9 | 9-8 | 88 | 101C | Lee Stephens | 9/2 | |
| 21 Mar 05+7d | Hereford | Handicap Chase | 1/8 | 10-5 | 79 | — | Lee Stephens | 10/3 | |
| 14 Mar 05+13d | Taunton | Classified Chase | 3/7 | 10 | 10-7 | 79 | 94C | Lee Stephens | 7/2 |
| 01 Mar 05+16d | Leicester | Handicap Chase | 3/9 | 5 | 9-6 | 81 | 76C | Lee Stephens | 7/1 |
| 13 Feb 05+7d | Hereford | Handicap Chase | 3/12 | 30 | 10-4 | 85 | 61C | Lee Stephens | 9/1 |
| 06 Feb 05+27d | Hereford | Weatherbys Bank Handicap Chase | 5/13 | 2½ | 9-8 | 85 | — | Lee Stephens | 12/1 |
| 10 Jan 05 | Taunton | Handicap Chase | 6/12 | 7 | 9-1 | 87 | 53C | William Kennedy | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Paddy The Optimist won?
- Paddy The Optimist (IRE) won 3 of 29 archived starts between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 10.3%. Placed 14 times in total (48.3% of starts).
- Who trained Paddy The Optimist?
- Paddy The Optimist (IRE) was trained by David Evans on the most recent run on record, at Plumpton on 17 December 2007.
- Who is Paddy The Optimist's sire?
- Paddy The Optimist (IRE) is by Leading Counsel (USA) out of Erne Duchess (IRE), whose sire is Duky.
- What going does Paddy The Optimist prefer?
- Paddy The Optimist (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 11 starts (18.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Paddy The Optimist's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 89, from the run on 17 December 2007. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Paddy The Optimist's sire's record?
- Leading Counsel (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 7% of 398 runs since Jan 2008 (43 horses), Flat and jumps together.