Paddy's Fancy (GB)
Paddy's Fancy won a Class 3 fillies juvenile hurdle at Leicester in Nov 2022 on good to firm ground. The filly, by New Bay out of a Mizzen Mast mare, recorded one win and three places from 17 starts overall with her sole success coming over 1m5f – 2m. She raced on turf in 15 of those starts. Her last run came at Hexham in Oct 2023 off an official rating of 100.
- 1–17Wins / Runs
- 5.9%Strike rate
- 3 (17.6%)Placed
- −11.50£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 0.70Fair A/E n=17 · 0.59 incl. margin
- 101Highest OR
- 48dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 85
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 84A | 74 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 94C | 69 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 85B | 73 | — |
| Good | 2 | 76C | 74 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 76C | 62.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 94C | 80 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 85B | 72 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 76C | 60 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 97B | 87.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 110B | 99 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 97B | 87.5 | — |
Of 17 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 17 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,968 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 994 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 466 | 69 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 618 | 80 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 182 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,113 | 161 | 14.5% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,180 | 182 | 15.4% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,269 | 164 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,088 | 165 | 15.2% | +0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 271 | 40 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Shes Got A Brother (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Shes Got A Brother (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shes Got A Brother (GB) | 10 | 2 | 5f | Class 3 |
| Future History (GB) | 6 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Caballine (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Incidental (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Price Tag (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Hamilton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Redcar | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 1 | 17% | −0.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Brooke | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Toby Wynne | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Billy Garritty | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Andrew Mullen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Joe Williamson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Curtis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Graham Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Sullivan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Allan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 12 | 1 | 8% | −6.50 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.50 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Paddy's Fancy won?
- Paddy's Fancy (GB) won 1 of 17 archived starts between 2021 and 2023, a strike rate of 5.9%. Placed 3 times in total (17.6% of starts).
- Who trained Paddy's Fancy?
- Paddy's Fancy (GB) was trained by Philip Kirby on the most recent run on record, at Hexham on 6 October 2023.
- Who is Paddy's Fancy's sire?
- Paddy's Fancy (GB) is by New Bay (GB) out of Likelihood (USA), whose sire is Mizzen Mast.
- What going does Paddy's Fancy prefer?
- Paddy's Fancy (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Paddy's Fancy's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 6 October 2023. The highest on record is 101.
- What is Paddy's Fancy's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,968 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Paddy's Fancy's siblings?
- Out of Likelihood (USA), Paddy's Fancy (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Shes Got A Brother (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Shes Got A Brother (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.