As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · Nottingham, Newbury & Southwell (AW)Last run 27 Oct 2026 · 8th of 8Last raced off OR 74
KTB Profile
Shady Bay is a mare with four wins from 25 starts, all over 1m2f – 1m4f. She won a Class 5 handicap at Nottingham in Apr 2026 off an official rating of 69, having earlier scored at Newbury and Southwell (AW) in 2025 and 2024. Ridden prominently in 15 of 22 analysed runs, she last ran at Wolverhampton (AW) in Oct 2026, finishing 8 of 8 off an official rating of 74.
Based on 25 archived runs · run-style from 22 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 2 Nov 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating74↓ 2lb off peak
7462–76
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed108the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Windsor, 10 Aug 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 25 figures · best 116A · median 83
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 2 Nov 2025
Good to Firm
10
116A
105
5 runs · 109 / 107
Standard (AW)
9
99A
82
2 runs · 99 / 93.5
Good
4
111A
79.5
2 runs · 111 / 93.5
Good to Soft
2
94C
82.5
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 2 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f
21
116A
83
7 runs · 111 / 107
1m – 1m1f
4
99A
80.5
2 runs · 99 / 93.5
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 25 figures from 25 runs · as at 2 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating78Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Goodwood, 28 Aug 2026Official rating 74at the last run, 27 Oct 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 25 figures · best 88A · median 70
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 2 Nov 2025
Good to Firm
10
88A
78
5 runs · 86 / 78
Standard (AW)
9
76A
67
2 runs · 76 / 66.5
Good
4
87A
80.5
2 runs · 87 / 85.5
Good to Soft
2
63B
62.5
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 2 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f
21
88A
74
7 runs · 87 / 84
1m – 1m1f
4
76A
62.5
2 runs · 76 / 66.5
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 25 figures from 25 runs · as at 2 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Jdl Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 10 ranRaced in the pack - dropped away under pressure over 3f out - soon adrift - completely detached late on - crossed 10th and promoted to 9th
White & Brooks Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 12 ranWent straight to the front - lost the advantage after a furlong but stayed close up - pressed along with over 2f left - edged forward inside the final furlong - lost momentum near the finish and held on for seventh
Find Us At Fitzdares.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 6 ranUp with the pace early - pushed along 2f out - moved through to hit the front over a furlong out but drifted right - stayed on strongly in the closing stages - caught in the final strides to be beaten a short head
Pertemps Network HandicapClass 5 · 1m2f · Good · 5 ranSettled just behind the pace - hit the front looking strongest 2f out - nudged along a furlong later - pulled away inside the last - won comfortably
Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 5 · 1m1½f · Standard · 11 ranHeld up towards the back - bumped by fading runner approaching final 3f - kept going inside final furlong - finished 6th
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 1m1½f · Standard · 9 ranHandy early - hit front after 1f - pushed along and challenged 2f out before giving way approaching final furlong - faded quickly and finished seventh
Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 1m2f · Good To Soft · 12 ranSat close to pace early - asked for effort with over 3f left - dropped away quickly after and well held at the finish
British EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 1m2f · Good · 6 ranSettled at the back early - urged into contention approaching 2f out - asked for effort inside the final furlongs - eased across to the right with 1f remaining - stayed on without threatening the front runners - finished fifth beaten 3.5 lengths
Racing League Race 23 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 12 ranHandy in the pack early - hit the front over 2f out and pushed along - lost advantage inside the last - stayed on for third
Country And Town House HandicapClass 5 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 6 ranTracked front pair early - moved up into second with 7f left - pushed to the front inside the final furlong - edged away and kept going strongly to the line
Derek Shaw Racing HandicapClass 6 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 8 ranSettled just behind the front group early - made progress wide to move into second approaching final 2f - driven into command inside the last and pulled clear to score
New Hall Hospital HandicapClass 5 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 7 ranKnocked at the off - settled third early - pushed along 2f out - lost touch late and finished well held
Star Sports 'Confined' HandicapClass 5 · 1m4f · Good · 9 ranHeld up handy in front rank - edged off line and slipped back a place over 1f out - dropped away inside final furlong to finish fifth
Royal Windsor Horse Show Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 1m3½f · Good To Firm · 4 ranSat close to the pace early - urged forward on the outside approaching final 2f - stayed on inside the closing furlong - improved into second near the line
Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 1m3f · Standard To Slow · 7 ranMade the running - lost command inside the last two furlongs - unable to find more approaching the line - finished fourth
30 In Free Bets With BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 1m3f · Standard · 11 ranSat handy on inner - pressed for effort straightening up - dropped away in a hurry - finished 8th
Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 1m4f · Standard · 6 ranSat close to pace early - pushed along and slipped back into third rounding the home bend - dropped away in the closing stages to finish fifth
Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 1m3f · Standard · 8 ranSettled in second early - hit the front 3f out - pressed for effort inside final furlong and stayed on strongly - clear at the line
Minerva Innovation Group Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 1m3f · Standard To Slow · 14 ranHeld in the pack early - pushed along with 3f left but unable to close 2f out - stayed on at the same rate into the last furlong to finish ninth
Shady Bay (IRE) won 4 of 25 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 16%. Placed 7 times in total (28% of starts).
Who trains Shady Bay?
Shady Bay (IRE) is trained by Tom Ward, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 27 October 2026.
Who is Shady Bay's sire?
Shady Bay (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Soft Lips (GB), whose sire is Rahy.
What going does Shady Bay prefer?
Shady Bay (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Shady Bay's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 74, from the run on 27 October 2026. The highest on record is 76.
What is Shady Bay's sire's record?
New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,991 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Who are Shady Bay's siblings?
Out of Soft Lips (GB), Shady Bay (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Argentic (FR) (2). The wins came over 6f–1m½f. As at Nov 2026.
Shady Bay (IRE)·4–25·SR 16%
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