What is Tom Ward's strike rate?

Tom Ward has won 87 of 998 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Ward do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 77 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tom Ward?

Sean Levey, with 205 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (10.7%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tom Ward's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 991 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tom Ward

998 runners in the last 5 seasons · 133 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.1% of 218 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

87–998

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=998

277 (28%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=991 · 0.77 incl. margin

−412.62

£1 level stake

n=998 at SP · −41.3%

£1.49m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 998 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 9.6% 32.4% when favourite Sean Levey: 10.7% from 205 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (15.6%, n=77), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. It is weakest at Chelmsford City (AW) (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=90, Fair A/E 0.00). Sean Levey rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.7% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2023, £81,165). The stable star of the record: Diamond Bay (GB) — 9 wins from 58 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.6%+0.9

n=146 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −60.88

New recruits · first run for the yard

8%−0.7

n=25 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −14.75

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.7

n=90 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −90.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3%−5.7

n=67 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −55.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.9%−1.8

n=29 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −15.50

When favourite

32.4%

n=68 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −8.11

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−2.9

n=52 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −15.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.4%−1.3

n=27 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −9.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 0% vs 8.7% · n=90

On last-time-out winners 15.7% vs 8.7% · n=83

At Chelmsford City (AW) 0% vs 8.7% · n=32

At Bath 0% vs 8.7% · n=32

At Southwell (AW) 15.6% vs 8.7% · n=77

With first-time headgear 3% vs 8.7% · n=67

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 987 87 8.8% −401.62

Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 496 49 9.9% −147.75

Good 187 11 5.9% −126.38

Good to Firm 162 18 11.1% −42.90

Good to Soft 85 4 4.7% −56.25

Soft 43 4 9.3% −19.34

Heavy 20 1 5% −15.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 197 16 8.1% −102.96

Wolverhampton (AW) 109 10 9.2% −26.80

Windsor 84 6 7.1% −48.13

Newbury 78 5 6.4% −48.10

Lingfield (AW) 78 11 14.1% +0.95

Southwell (AW) 77 12 15.6% +16.06

Goodwood 67 9 13.4% −13.67

Chelmsford City (AW) 32 0 0% −32.00

Bath 32 0 0% −32.00

Nottingham 28 5 17.9% +11.83

Salisbury 26 1 3.8% −23.75

Ascot 21 1 4.8% −15.00

Sandown 17 0 0% −17.00

Epsom 15 0 0% −15.00

Chepstow 15 0 0% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 333 31 9.3% −139.42

Class 4 239 20 8.4% −115.07

Class 6 232 23 9.9% −61.63

Class 3 95 6 6.3% −52.00

Class 2 72 5 6.9% −35.00

Class 1 27 2 7.4% −9.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 81 23 28.4% 1.01 −15.61

2nd–3rd fav 228 34 14.9% 0.91 −49.51

4th–6th fav 347 25 7.2% 0.96 −85.50

7th+ in betting 342 5 1.5% 0.49 −262.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Diamond Bay (GB) 49 6 15 18 Aug 26

Capote's Dream (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy 38 1 11 23 May 26

Lady Dreamer (IRE) 31 6 15 30 Jun 25

Shady Bay (IRE) 24 4 7 29 Sep 26

Farasi Lane (IRE)then Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 23 2 8 16 Oct 23

Crystal Flyer (GB)then Ben Haslam 18 3 6 20 Nov 25

Our Golden One (IRE) 16 2 6 12 Oct 25

Woodhay Wonder (GB) 16 5 8 11 Oct 25

Whizz By (GB) 15 4 9 7 Oct 25

Sneaky Blinder (FR)then Robert Stephens 15 1 5 29 Aug 24

Zing Up (IRE)from A Oliver 15 1 4 27 Jul 24

Typewritten (USA)from Andrew Balding · then Ewan Whillans 15 3 9 27 Jan 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 133 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Ben Haslam (2) and Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

811131279101010554

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Levey

21% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Levey 205 22 10.7% −82.79

Tom Marquand 96 4 4.2% −69.25

Trevor Whelan 52 4 7.7% −15.25

Daniel Muscutt 51 4 7.8% −31.92

Alec Voikhansky 47 5 10.6% −3.00

Richard Kingscote 43 6 14% −7.25

Rob Hornby 38 2 5.3% −22.50

Hector Crouch 38 5 13.2% +11.50

Hollie Doyle 36 3 8.3% −22.05

David Probert 34 1 2.9% −29.00

Kieran Shoemark 32 2 6.3% −20.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

131

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.92m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 30 wins

Woodhay Wonder (GB) — 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) Newmarket · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£81,165

Woodhay Wonder (GB) — 100,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction Stakes (GBB Race) Newmarket · Aug 2023 · Class 2

£54,110

Woodhay Wonder (GB) — Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Newmarket · May 2024 · Class 2

£38,655

Notable horses

Diamond Bay (GB) Capote's Dream (IRE) Lady Dreamer (IRE) Farasi Lane (IRE) Roman Mist (IRE) Woodhay Wonder (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

New Bay (GB) 15.9% · 14–88

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Dream Ahead (USA) 3.6% · 2–55

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,678 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Magna Grecia (IRE) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,466 runs since 2008 (170 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 169.

Belardo (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,700 runs since 2008 (280 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 19.4% · 6–31

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Golden Horn (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,732 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,413 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,413 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 August 2019 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Bath Knights Gold (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 13/2

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lola (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 22/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ruby's Profit (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Heno (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 16/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Glenna (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 2nd 11/4F

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Magnatura (IRE)J: Sean Levey Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 6th 13/2

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Lieutenant Kije (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 20/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Singing Blues (IRE)J: Sean Levey British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 150/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Melody De Vega (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 4/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Constella (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Triple Time Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 4th 22/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lady Nenaz (GB)J: Rob Hornby Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 22/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Perfect Location (GB)J: Rob Hornby Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 40/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Blue Orbit (IRE)J: Luke Morris Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 17/2

06 Oct 26 Leicester So Tempting (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 16/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Galileo Island (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 40/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blue Orbit (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 16/1

03 Oct 26 Newmarket Woodhay Wayfarer (IRE)J: Nicola Currie £200,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 6th 20/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Perfect Hope (GB)J: Jason Hart H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 7/2J

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lowcountry (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 100/30F

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Bejewel (GB)J: Sean Levey Ebf Oh So Sharp Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Ward's strike rate?: Tom Ward has won 87 of 998 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Ward do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 77 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Ward?: Sean Levey, with 205 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (10.7%).
Is Tom Ward in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Ward's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 991 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.