Horse profile
Sure And Stedfast (IRE)
by Calyx (GB) out of Norway (GER) (Nathaniel)
22 runs · 7 courses · from Jul 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Musselburgh, Carlisle & Ayr
Ran 14 days ago · 2nd of 9
Last raced off OR 72
KTB Profile
Sure And Stedfast is a 3 from 22 gelding with all wins at Class 5 level. He won the Brodie Handicap Stakes at Musselburgh in Aug 2026 over 1m5f – 2m on good, the PricedUp Handicap at Carlisle in Sep 2025 over 1m – 1m1f on good, and the Racing TV Handicap at Ayr in Jul 2025 over 1m2f – 1m4f on good. All three wins have come on good ground from 13 starts on that surface. He finished 2 of 9 when last raced off a career-high mark of 72 at Redcar in Oct 2026.
Based on 22 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Wins on good or faster
All wins at Class 5
OR at career high
- 3–22Wins / Runs
- 13.6%Strike rate
- 8 (36.4%)Placed
- +3.50£1 level staken=22 at SP
- 1.63Fair A/E n=21 · 1.36 incl. margin
- 72Highest OR
- 38dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating72At career-high mark
72
63–72
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 119
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 119A | 83 | 5 · 119 / 98 |
| Soft | 3 | 107A | 73 | 2 · 107 / 90 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 77A | 75 | 2 · 75 / 70 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 99A | 80 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 10 | 107A | 82 | 5 · 107 / 75 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 119A | 102.5 | 4 · 119 / 102.5 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 80A | 76 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 76A | 72 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 22 runs · as at 11 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs
- Held up 4 (44%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 2 (22%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (22%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.4% of 1,482 runs since Jan 2008 (172 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 8.4% from 167. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −13.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 210 | 25 | 11.9% | −1.5 | — |
| Good | 375 | 51 | 13.6% | +0.2 | 3 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 167 | 14 | 8.4% | −5 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 183 | 25 | 13.7% | +0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 62 | 15 | 24.2% | +10.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 482 | 68 | 14.1% | +0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 111 | 11 | 9.9% | −3.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 751 | 106 | 14.1% | +0.7 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 358 | 49 | 13.7% | +0.3 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 198 | 23 | 11.6% | −1.8 | 1 from 10 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | +0.2 | 1 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 20 | 3 | 15% | +1.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Norway (GER) (Nathaniel)
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Starlet (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 3 | 23% | +12.50 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 13 | 3 | 23% | +12.50 |
| Class 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ayr | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.00 |
| Musselburgh | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.50 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Scott | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| Aiden Brookes | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Greg Fairley | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Joanna Mason | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| P J McDonald | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Kiely-Marshall | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cam Hardie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 21 | 3 | 14% | +4.50 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.00 |
| 2025 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +7.50 |
| 2024 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 26+12d | Redcar | Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Raced freely early on - sat just behind the front pair - ridden over 2f out - still in contention inside final furlong - outpaced by winner late on to finish 2nd | 2/9 | 2¾ | 9-8 | 72 | 98A | 75A | Greg Fairley | 8/1 |
| 21 Sep 26+45d | Hamilton | Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap Stakes Settled midfield early - nudged for effort with 3f left - unable to challenge from 2f out and held to the line - finished 5th | 5/12 | 3½ | 9-12 | 72 | 107A | 77A | Greg Fairley | 14/1 |
| 07 Aug 26+27d | Musselburgh | Brodie Handicap Stakes Settled with plenty of enthusiasm early - up with the pace - pressed for effort 3f out - closed on the front-runner 2f out - stayed on well in the final furlong - hit the front close home - firmly in command to the line for victory | 1/6 | 9-13 | 68 | 119A | 81B | Greg Fairley | 8/1 | |
| 11 Jul 26+14d | Hamilton | racingtv.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Tracked the pace early - improved into second after three furlongs - hit the front with two furlongs left - driven and overtaken approaching the final furlong but stayed on well | 3/5 | shd | 8-13 | 68 | 70C | 69B | Kevin Stott | 3/1 |
| 27 Jun 26+23d | Newcastle (AW) | Pertemps Network Educational Handicap Settled in the pack - moved into contention 2f out - pressed for a run inside the final furlong but faded to finish fifth | 5/12 | 2¾ | 9-9 | 68 | 65A | 75A | P J McDonald | 13/2 |
| 04 Jun 26+18d | Hamilton | Sodexo Live! Events Handicap Handy early - asked for effort to close on pace-setter 3f out - hit the front inside final 2f before being overtaken in the last furlong - stayed on for second | 2/7 | 1½ | 9-4 | 67 | 107A | 83A | Aiden Brookes | 4/1 |
| 17 May 26+16d | Hamilton | Flutter Proud To Support Young Lives Vs Cancer Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Pulled hard early tracking front group - knocked about repeatedly with 5f left and dropped back - pressed along 3f out - improved position inside final furlong - stayed on at one speed to finish third | 3/10 | ¾ | 9-1 | 67 | 77A | 75A | Tom Kiely-Marshall | 14/1 |
| 01 May 26+177d | Newcastle (AW) | Get Your Free Bets At freebets.com Handicap Held up towards the back - asked for effort with 3f left but hampered for room over 2f out - unable to respond and finished well held | 10/12 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 68 | 75A | 65A | Aiden Brookes | 33/1 |
| 05 Nov 25+34d | Musselburgh | Balfour Beatty Power Handicap Settled off the pace early - improved into contention approaching 2f out under pressure - stayed on well from the furlong marker to finish second | 2/8 | 4¼ | 9-7 | 68 | 73A | 82A | Joanna Mason | 7/2 |
| 02 Oct 25+31d | Nottingham | PricedUp.Bet Grassroots Series Middle Distance Final Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Tracked the front group early - moved into second with over a mile left before being knocked off stride 4f out - dropped away with 2f left - finished well held in 8th | 8/11 | ½ | 8-2 | 68 | 99A | 58A | Cam Hardie | 20/1 |
| 01 Sep 25+23d | Carlisle | PricedUp Handicap (Div 2) Settled at the back early - pushed along approaching 3f out and made ground inside final furlong - powered through close home to score | 1/10 | 9-4 | 64 | 76A | 81A | Rowan Scott | 15/2 | |
| 09 Aug 25+12d | Ayr | Celebration Of Les Dodds Handicap Sat close to the front group early - urged on with over 2f left - dropped away inside the final furlong to finish sixth | 6/12 | 1¾ | 8-10 | 65 | 99A | 59A | Aiden Brookes | 7/2F |
| 28 Jul 25+14d | Ayr | Outcider Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Tracked the pace - moved through around 2f out to briefly go in front - pushed along and put back in front approaching the final furlong - dropped away inside the last 110 yards | 3/9 | 3½ | 7-13 | 65 | 102A | 69A | Aiden Brookes | 18/1 |
| 14 Jul 25+7d | Ayr | Racing TV Handicap Settled in the pack - travelling wide of rivals - pushed along with 3f left - closed on the pacesetter with 2f to run - hit the front a furlong out and kept finding more to win | 1/9 | 8-8 | 63 | 87A | 72A | Joanna Mason | 7/1 | |
| 07 Jul 25+40d | Ayr | racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Sluggish start - held up towards the back - pushed along inside final furlong and stayed on without threatening the front | 8/13 | ¾ | 9-4 | 63 | 68C | 66A | Rowan Scott | 7/1 |
| 28 May 25+30d | Hamilton | Cupa Slates Handicap Held a central position through the race - lost touch under pressure 2f out - found renewed effort to move into fourth inside final 110 yards | 4/11 | 1½ | 9-1 | 64 | 53A | 74A | Rowan Scott | 28/1 |
| 28 Apr 25+173d | Ayr | Coral We're Here For It Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Settled just off midfield near the rail - crept into contention 3f out - driven approaching 2f out but found little room and lost ground inside the final furlong | 8/14 | ½ | 9-2 | 67 | 72C | 66A | Jason Hart | 9/1 |
| 06 Nov 24+8d | Musselburgh | EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Held up in the pack - pushed along with 2f left - kept going closer to home - finished fourth | 4/10 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 67 | 80A | 78A | Rowan Scott | 25/1 |
| 29 Oct 24+62d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Settled towards the back - moved left approaching final 2f - faded inside final furlong - finished 8th | 8/10 | 1 | 9-3 | 69 | 77A | 59A | Rowan Scott | 16/1 |
| 28 Aug 24+15d | Musselburgh | Irish EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Handy with front group early - urged forward around halfway - given a squeeze two out - hemmed in and edged across track a furlong out - stayed on well to take fourth close home | 4/9 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 75B | 73A | Rowan Scott | 50/1 |
| 13 Aug 24+15d | Hamilton | EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Checked back at the start and angled left - took a strong hold but dropped away to the back of the field - out of contention throughout and finished 7th | 7/11 | nk | 9-7 | — | 56B | 61A | Paul Mulrennan | 16/1 |
| 29 Jul 24 | Ayr | Virgin Bet EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/5 | 4¼ | 9-7 | — | 83C | 66B | Paul Mulrennan | 66/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Sure And Stedfast (IRE) won?
- Sure And Stedfast (IRE) won 3 of 22 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 13.6%. Placed 8 times in total (36.4% of starts).
- Who trains Sure And Stedfast (IRE)?
- Sure And Stedfast (IRE) is trained by Ewan Whillans, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 October 2026.
- Who is Sure And Stedfast (IRE)'s sire?
- Sure And Stedfast (IRE) is by Calyx (GB) out of Norway (GER), whose sire is Nathaniel.
- What going does Sure And Stedfast (IRE) prefer?
- Sure And Stedfast (IRE) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 13 starts (23.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Sure And Stedfast (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 3 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Sure And Stedfast (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Calyx (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.4% of 1,482 runs since Jan 2008 (172 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 8.4% from 167. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.
- Who are Sure And Stedfast (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Norway (GER), Sure And Stedfast (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.