Surely This Time (IRE)
Surely This Time (IRE) is 1 from 15, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Sep 2011. Last raced off 62, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–15Wins / Runs
- 6.7%Strike rate
- 5 (33.3%)Placed
- −11.25£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.52Fair A/E n=15 · 0.45 incl. margin
- 71Highest OR
- 40dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since Jan 2008 (1,161 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 198 | 41 | 20.7% | +8.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,251 | 399 | 12.3% | +0.4 | 0 from 8 |
| Good | 3,146 | 328 | 10.4% | −1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 1,310 | 130 | 9.9% | −2 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,194 | 94 | 7.9% | −4 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 273 | 25 | 9.2% | −2.7 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 6,653 | 882 | 13.3% | +1.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3,860 | 521 | 13.5% | +1.6 | 1 from 14 |
| 6f – 7f | 8,004 | 950 | 11.9% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,752 | 289 | 10.5% | −1.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,025 | 102 | 10% | −1.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 273 | 26 | 9.5% | −2.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 102 | 10 | 9.8% | −2.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −0.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Escapade (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.25 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beverley | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Nottingham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 14 | 1 | 7% | −10.25 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Makin | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.25 |
| Tom Eaves | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cathy Gannon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darryll Holland | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Graham Gibbons | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Neil Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.25 |
| 2010 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Surely This Time (IRE) won?
- Surely This Time (IRE) won 1 of 15 archived starts between 2010 and 2011, a strike rate of 6.7%. Placed 5 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trained Surely This Time (IRE)?
- Surely This Time (IRE) was trained by Kevin Ryan on the most recent run on record, at Catterick on 25 October 2011.
- Who is Surely This Time (IRE)'s sire?
- Surely This Time (IRE) is by Exceed and Excel (AUS) out of Heart Of Svetlana (IRE), whose sire is Linamix.
- What is Surely This Time (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 62, from the run on 25 October 2011. The highest on record is 71.
- What is Surely This Time (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Exceed and Excel (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since Jan 2008 (1,161 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
- Who are Surely This Time (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Heart Of Svetlana (IRE), Surely This Time (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.