The Gradual Slope (IRE)
The Gradual Slope is a gelding with four wins from 41 starts on turf. He won the Blackrock College AFC Ladies National Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse in Apr 2026 over 2m5f – 3m on soft ground off an official rating of 105, and has also scored at Punchestown, Down Royal and Kilbeggan. All four wins came on soft or good to soft going. He last ran at Punchestown in Jun 2026 off an official rating of 110, 11lb below his highest ever mark of 121.
- 4–41Wins / Runs
- 9.8%Strike rate
- 12 (29.3%)Placed
- +6.25£1 level staken=41 at SP
- 1.17Fair A/E n=41 · 0.93 incl. margin
- 121Highest OR
- 24dBetween runs (median)longest 233 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 121
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 15 | 129B | 96 | 3 runs · 121 / 109 |
| Heavy | 5 | 155B | 97 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 117A | 104.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good | 4 | 143B | 108.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 143B | 112 | — |
| Over 3m | 6 | 121B | 109.5 | 3 runs · 121 / 109 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 128B | 93.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 155B | 96 | 1 run · — |
Of 41 runs looked at, 13 have no figure: did not complete (8) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 28 figures from 41 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 7 (54%) · 0 wins
- Held up 4 (31%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 2 (15%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since Feb 2008 (539 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +36.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 158 | 32 | 20.3% | +6.7 | — |
| Good | 2,297 | 312 | 13.6% | 0 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 1,438 | 176 | 12.2% | −1.4 | 1 from 6 |
| Soft | 2,612 | 363 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 3 from 20 |
| Heavy | 1,283 | 178 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 10 |
| Standard (AW) | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | −3.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −13.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −13.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | −3.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,031 | 276 | 13.6% | 0 | 0 from 7 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,717 | 379 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 2 from 18 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,348 | 334 | 14.2% | +0.6 | 1 from 9 |
| Over 3m | 669 | 72 | 10.8% | −2.8 | 1 from 7 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Feb 2008 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Getaway King (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 2m4f–2m5½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Getaway King (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getaway King (IRE) | 11 | 3 | 2m4f–2m5½f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 20 | 3 | 15% | +24.50 |
| Heavy | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.25 |
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown | 5 | 1 | 20% | +18.00 |
| Down Royal | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.50 |
| Leopardstown | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cork | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Navan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Limerick | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Killarney | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 18 | 2 | 11% | −10.75 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 1 | 11% | +8.00 |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14% | +16.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark McDonagh | 27 | 2 | 7% | −1.25 |
| Barry Browne | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss N Lockhead Anderson | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Calum Hogan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel King | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gavin Brouder | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Donagh Meyler | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cian Quirke | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie O'Dwyer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 32 | 3 | 9% | −1.75 |
| Cheekpieces | 6 | 1 | 17% | +11.00 |
| Hood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +12.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +16.00 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.50 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.25 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 21 | 2 | 10% | −13.75 |
| Chase | 20 | 2 | 10% | +20.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Jun 26+64d | Punchestown | K-Mech Mechanical Handicap Chase Sat close up on inside early - hit the 4th awkwardly - dropped towards back after error at the 7th and another blunder at the following fence - lost ground and pulled up before the 9th | PU/12 | — | 10-5 | 110 | — | — | Mark McDonagh | 16/1 |
| 04 Apr 26+18d | Fairyhouse | Blackrock College AFC Ladies National Handicap Chase Settled towards the back early - still in the pack with six furlongs left - urged into eighth after an untidy leap - up into third after two out - in second but wandering right at the last two obstacles - swung across a furlong from home - kept on strongly - closed on the front-runner near the finish - got up in the final strides | 1/17 | 9-12 | 105 | 80B | 124A | Miss N Lockhead Anderson | 16/1 | |
| 17 Mar 26+15d | Down Royal | Bluegrass Racehorse Cube Chase Settled towards the back early - still in 4th and not closing before 2 out - pushed along and stayed on same speed from the last - finished 4th beaten 8 lengths | 4/4 | 1¼ | 11-0 | 105 | 69C | 125B | Mark McDonagh | 66/1 |
| 02 Mar 26+22d | Leopardstown | Dublin National Handicap Chase Settled towards the back of the pack - jumping error 3rd dropped further back - briefly improved before 2 out - faded in straight to finish 10th | 10/13 | 2¾ | 11-5 | 108 | 109B | 99A | Mark McDonagh | 20/1 |
| 08 Feb 26+42d | Navan | William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Chase Settled just behind the pace - stumbled at the opening fence - dropped away soon after - drifted towards the back from the third - under pressure with nothing left 4 out - eased and withdrawn from the contest shortly after | PU/17 | — | 11-2 | 110 | — | — | Danny Mullins | 18/1 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 25+8d | Limerick | Infinity Lifts Handicap Hurdle Sat behind the front group early - disputing second at halfway - dropped away under pressure 5 out - stopped making progress and taken out of the contest before 3 out | PU/16 | — | 11-2 | 110 | — | — | Danny Mullins | 20/1 |
| 20 Dec 25+14d | Thurles | Molony Cup Handicap Chase Sat close to front early - shared control for a spell before the 4th - held 3rd at halfway - asked for effort after two out but unable to close and stayed on same gear to finish third | 3/16 | 2¾ | 11-12 | 110 | 121B | 130A | Sean O'Keeffe | 40/1 |
| 06 Dec 25+180d | Navan | Download The Tote App Foxrock Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed) Tracked front pack early - 5th at halfway - pressed for effort but found nothing more - blundered before 4 out and lost jockey | UR/9 | — | 9-7 | 110 | — | — | Calum Hogan | 25/1 |
| 09 Jun 25+29d | Roscommon | Tote Connacht National Handicap Chase Held a forward position early - under pressure and lost ground with 5 to jump - eased and taken out of the race after the next | PU/15 | — | 11-0 | 114 | — | — | Mark McDonagh | 12/1 |
| 11 May 25+8d | Killarney | Tote Killarney National Handicap Chase Settled midfield early - improved into 5th by the 12th before being pushed along with no real threat entering the straight - stayed on same gear to finish 5th | 5/14 | 8½ | 10-0 | 114 | 110B | 107A | Mark McDonagh | 18/1 |
| 03 May 25+41d | Punchestown | Oaklodgelandscapes.ie Handicap Chase (0-145) Settled in the pack early - pushed along in 11th 3 out - unable to close - well held at the finish | 8/23 | 4½ | 10-0 | 117 | 90C | 104C | Mark McDonagh | 20/1 |
| 23 Mar 25+233d | Limerick | SIS Handicap Chase Prominent early - dropped back after 7th - fell further adrift heading to 3 out - well off the pace before 2 out - stayed on late for minor gains - finished 7th | 7/9 | 4½ | 11-1 | 119 | 34B | 99A | Mark McDonagh | 11/1 |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Aug 24+61d | Galway | Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase Held up towards the back - down among the tail near halfway - pulled up after the 5th | PU/20 | — | 10-8 | 120 | — | — | Mark McDonagh | 22/1 |
| 02 Jun 24+29d | Kilbeggan | Cooke's Bar & Restaurant Caragh Handicap Chase (0-123) | 4/11 | 6½ | 12-0 | 120 | 74A | 126A | Mark McDonagh | 12/1 |
| 04 May 24+42d | Punchestown | Colm Quinn BMW Handicap Chase (0-145) | 1/21 | 9-13 | 114 | 116B | 124A | Mark McDonagh | 22/1 | |
| 23 Mar 24+13d | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Chase Final (Listed) | 3/10 | 13 | 10-10 | 114 | 66B | 116A | Mark McDonagh | 20/1 |
| 10 Mar 24+24d | Limerick | Parade Ring Bar Novice Handicap Chase | 2/8 | 13 | 11-4 | 114 | 77A | 114B | Mark McDonagh | 8/1 |
| 15 Feb 24+22d | Clonmel | Monksgrange Beginners Chase | 3/7 | 1 | 11-9 | — | — | 116A | Daniel King | 15/2 |
| 24 Jan 24+29d | Fairyhouse | Fairyhouse For Fundraisers Beginners Chase | 4/9 | 7½ | 11-9 | — | 97A | 117A | Mark McDonagh | 10/1 |
| 2023 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 23+30d | Down Royal | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Beginners Chase | PU/13 | — | 11-9 | — | — | — | Mark McDonagh | 9/1 |
| 26 Nov 23+195d | Cork | I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Beginners Chase | PU/14 | — | 11-7 | — | — | — | Gavin Brouder | 20/1 |
| 15 May 23+19d | Killarney | M.D. O'Shea & Sons Handicap Hurdle | 8/16 | nse | 10-10 | 119 | 133B | 119A | Mark McDonagh | 11/2 |
| 26 Apr 23+18d | Punchestown | Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle (95-123) | 10/25 | 1½ | 11-9 | 120 | 84B | 123A | Mark McDonagh | 22/1 |
| 08 Apr 23+22d | Fairyhouse | I.n.h. Stallion Owners Ebf Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final (grade B) | 7/12 | 8 | 10-5 | 121 | 106A | 103A | Mark McDonagh | 18/1 |
| 17 Mar 23+5d | Down Royal | Powered By Bluegrass Novice Handicap Hurdle | PU/11 | — | 11-5 | 121 | — | — | Mark McDonagh | 9/2 |
| 12 Mar 23+36d | Naas | Bar One Racing 'Mobile Betting At Cheltenham' Handicap Hurdle | 6/11 | 3 | 10-2 | 121 | 126A | 114A | Mark McDonagh | 16/5 |
| 04 Feb 23+11d | Leopardstown | Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Grade B) | 4/17 | 1¼ | 10-8 | 116 | 96B | 121A | Donagh Meyler | 25/1 |
| 24 Jan 23+26d | Down Royal | Franciscan Well Rated Novice Hurdle | 1/9 | 11-0 | 116 | 129B | 120A | Cian Quirke | 7/2 | |
| 2022 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 22+207d | Leopardstown | I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-130) | 6/12 | hd | 11-3 | 116 | — | 124A | Aidan Coleman | 13/2 |
| 05 Jun 22+20d | Kilbeggan | Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle | 1/16 | 11-8 | 108 | 112B | 132A | Mark McDonagh | 7/4F | |
| 16 May 22+28d | Killarney | Broderick Plumbing Maiden Hurdle | 4/16 | 2¼ | 10-11 | 108 | 143B | 116A | Mark McDonagh | 7/2 |
| 18 Apr 22+17d | Cork | Coolagown Stud Maiden Hurdle | 5/18 | 2¼ | 11-12 | 109 | 155B | 117A | Barry Browne | 10/3 |
| 01 Apr 22+33d | Wexford | Tomcoole Farm Ltd Maiden Hurdle | 3/12 | 5 | 10-11 | 109 | 117A | 114A | Charlie O'Dwyer | 5/2 |
| 27 Feb 22+31d | Naas | Naas Racecourse Handicap Hurdle | UR/21 | — | 9-12 | 109 | — | — | Mark McDonagh | 10/3F |
| 27 Jan 22+10d | Gowran Park | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-123) | 2/18 | 1¼ | 10-10 | 106 | 70B | 125A | Mark McDonagh | 7/2F |
| 17 Jan 22+22d | Punchestown | Hollywoodbets Daily Boosts Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 5/20 | 7½ | 11-12 | 106 | — | 119A | Barry Browne | 17/2 |
| 2021 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 21+21d | Leopardstown | TRI Equestrian Novice Handicap Hurdle | 4/26 | ¾ | 10-6 | 105 | 90B | 131A | Barry Browne | 66/1 |
| 05 Dec 21+129d | Cork | Follow Us On Instagram Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 13/18 | 1½ | 11-7 | 105 | 53C | 104C | Mark McDonagh | 33/1 |
| 29 Jul 21+20d | Galway | Guinness Novice Hurdle | 6/12 | 3 | 10-9 | — | 84A | 104A | Mark McDonagh | 66/1 |
| 09 Jul 21+45d | Cork | Fermoy Maiden Hurdle | 6/18 | nk | 11-2 | — | 97B | 107A | Mark McDonagh | 11/1 |
| 25 May 21 | Tipperary | Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) | 3/16 | 4 | 11-1 | — | 128B | 107A | Mark McDonagh | 5/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has The Gradual Slope won?
- The Gradual Slope (IRE) won 4 of 41 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 9.8%. Placed 12 times in total (29.3% of starts).
- Who trains The Gradual Slope?
- The Gradual Slope (IRE) is trained by Sean O O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 June 2026.
- Who is The Gradual Slope's sire?
- The Gradual Slope (IRE) is by Shantou (USA) out of Caltras Theatre (IRE), whose sire is King's Theatre.
- What going does The Gradual Slope prefer?
- The Gradual Slope (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Gradual Slope's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 110, from the run on 7 June 2026. The highest on record is 121.
- What is The Gradual Slope's sire's record?
- Shantou (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since Feb 2008 (539 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
- Who are The Gradual Slope's siblings?
- Out of Caltras Theatre (IRE), The Gradual Slope (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Getaway King (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Getaway King (IRE)). The wins came over 2m4f–2m5½f. As at Nov 2026.