What is Mark McDonagh's strike rate?

Mark McDonagh has won 47 of 591 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark McDonagh do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mark McDonagh ride most for?

E J O'Grady, with 75 rides since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8%).

Is Mark McDonagh in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mark McDonagh's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 591 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mark McDonagh

591 rides in the last 5 seasons · 299 individual horses

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

47–591

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=591

130 (22%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=591 · 0.91 incl. margin

−236.27

£1 level stake

n=591 at SP · −40.0%

£910k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 120 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (43 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 591 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Sep 27.9% when favourite E J O'Grady: 8% from 75 LTO winners: 16.3% Claiming: 10.4% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Wexford (2.9% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.32), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=303, Fair A/E 0.95). E J O'Grady supplies 13% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.7% over 169 rides, 3.3pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bulmers Secret Orchard Leopardstown Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Feb 2022, £73,750). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−2.5

n=273 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −159.55

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.3%+8.3

n=43 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +0.83

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8%+0.0

n=137 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −60.85

When favourite

27.9%

n=43 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −2.75

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.4%+2.4

n=414 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −85.01

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−3.4

n=303 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −155.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%−0.9

n=56 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −32.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 8% · n=43

With debutants 0% vs 8% · n=31

With C&D winners 14.9% vs 8% · n=47

At Wexford 2.9% vs 8% · n=35

Over 1m5f – 2m 4.7% vs 8% · n=169

At Fairyhouse 3.2% vs 8% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 432 33 7.6% −171.05

Chase 152 14 9.2% −58.22

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 242 17 7% −111.80

Good 146 11 7.5% −72.71

Good to Soft 116 10 8.6% −19.63

Heavy 87 9 10.3% −32.13

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 59 3 5.1% −20.00

Limerick 50 5 10% −28.43

Wexford 35 1 2.9% −29.50

Kilbeggan 33 4 12.1% −15.92

Cork 32 3 9.4% −11.50

Fairyhouse 31 1 3.2% −22.50

Listowel 28 4 14.3% +14.62

Down Royal 27 1 3.7% −19.50

Downpatrick 25 4 16% −5.00

Killarney 25 2 8% −16.00

Ballinrobe 24 0 0% −24.00

Thurles 23 1 4.3% −10.00

Clonmel 22 3 13.6% −5.50

Naas 22 0 0% −22.00

Tramore 21 1 4.8% −15.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 58 4 6.9% −34.00

Class 2 4 1 25% +9.00

Class 4 4 1 25% +1.50

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 53 13 24.5% 1.05 −8.55

2nd–3rd fav 76 18 23.7% 1.60 +22.28

4th–6th fav 147 10 6.8% 0.99 −55.00

7th+ in betting 315 6 1.9% 0.76 −195.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.7% completed · 584 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 152 78.9% 6 5 19 0 2

Hurdle 432 82.6% 6 6 60 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Gradual Slope (IRE) 23 2 5 7 Jun 26

Little Mixup (IRE) 14 1 2 25 Sep 25

Wouldn't You Agree (IRE) 12 1 1 18 Jul 24

R'evelyn Pleasure (IRE) 12 2 4 25 Apr 24

Any Road (IRE) 11 2 4 9 Mar 25

Mister Persistence (IRE) 10 0 0 17 Mar 26

Jody Ted (IRE) 9 2 3 20 Mar 25

Betty Dutton (IRE) 9 0 2 6 Mar 25

Fill The Tank (IRE) 9 1 1 13 Sep 24

Mr Social (IRE) 9 1 4 6 Oct 23

Nazine (IRE) 8 0 2 22 Jul 25

Glendars Mahler (IRE) 6 1 2 7 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 299 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1359031091614486

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardE J O'Grady

13% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.48

TrainerRWSR£1

E J O'Grady 75 6 8% −41.62

Sean O O'Brien 59 6 10.2% −12.50

Eoin Griffin 45 5 11.1% +0.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.15m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 25 wins

Birchdale (IRE) — Bulmers Secret Orchard Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Feb 2022 · Grade A

£73,750

Banbridge (IRE) — Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2022 · Class 2

£39,023

The Gradual Slope (IRE) — Colm Quinn BMW Handicap Chase (0-145) Punchestown · May 2024

£29,500

Notable horses

Jody Ted (IRE) Wouldn't You Agree (IRE) Nell's Well (IRE) Gwan Tadhg (IRE) The Gradual Slope (IRE) Fill The Tank (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shantou (USA) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,822 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Shirocco (GER) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,171 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Getaway (GER) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,923 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.

Fame And Glory (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,206 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Mahler (GB) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,844 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 840 · newest first

The latest 50 of 840 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 December 2017 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Marian Place (IRE)T: C Byrnes Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 6th 100/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Way Horn (GB)T: Sean O O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle19f · Good · 6 ran 6th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Did Tell (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Co-Op Superstores 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 400/1

20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Did Tell (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Kinisla Charleville Cheese 3-Y-O Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 150/1

10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Likeyouhaveplenty (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Bay Leaf Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 300/1

02 Jul 26 Limerick Capri Gear (IRE)T: C Byrnes Eddie Noonan Groundworks Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 18 ran 9th 66/1

02 Jul 26 Limerick Youlita (IRE)T: C Byrnes Cappawhite Civil Engineering Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 12/1

07 Jun 26 Punchestown Likeyouhaveplenty (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Lily & Wild Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 17th 250/1

07 Jun 26 Punchestown The Gradual Slope (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien K-Mech Mechanical Handicap Chase20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 16/1

19 Apr 26 Tramore Likeyouhaveplenty (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 12 ran PU 66/1

04 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Seek A Richer Life (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Tom Quinlan Electrical Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran RO 150/1

17 Mar 26 Down Royal Herja (IRE)T: Patrick Griffin Bluegrass High Performance Rated Novice Chase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 25/1

17 Mar 26 Down Royal The Gradual Slope (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Bluegrass Racehorse Cube Chase26f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 4th 66/1

17 Mar 26 Down Royal Mister Persistence (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Bluegrass Respire Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)20.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 50/1

02 Mar 26 Leopardstown The Gradual Slope (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Dublin National Handicap Chase28.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 10th 20/1

02 Mar 26 Leopardstown Mister Persistence (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Novice Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 5th 300/1

07 Dec 25 Cork Mister Persistence (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Greenvalley Transport Novice Handicap Hurdle (In Memory Of M.J. O'Connor) (0-100)20f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran F 40/1

14 Nov 25 Cheltenham Heads Up (GB)T: John C McConnell Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Hyde Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

27 Sep 25 Listowel Head To Capri (IRE)T: John C McConnell John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran PU 25/1

26 Sep 25 Listowel Jollybops (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark McDonagh's strike rate?: Mark McDonagh has won 47 of 591 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark McDonagh do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mark McDonagh ride most for?: E J O'Grady, with 75 rides since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8%).
Is Mark McDonagh in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark McDonagh's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 591 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.