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Jockey profile

Calum Hogan

375 rides in the last 5 seasons · 229 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
28–375
Wins / Runs
7.5%
Strike rate
n=375
77 (21%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=375 · 0.81 incl. margin
−170.02
£1 level stake
n=375 at SP · −45.3%
£368k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (35 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 375 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug E McNamara: 8.7% from 127 LTO winners: 11.4% Claiming: 7.7%
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.4% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.90), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=76, Fair A/E 0.50). E McNamara supplies 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (13.3%, n=128) and off a 15-30-day break (11.7%, n=120). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 1.4% over 74 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.41 across 96 rides (3.1% strike, −83.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7%−0.5
n=230 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −79.62
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.4%+3.9
n=35 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −13.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.6%−4.9
n=76 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −66.50
When favourite
30.4%
n=23 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −0.02
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.7%+0.2
n=366 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −161.02
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.6%−1.9
n=215 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −123.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 13.3% vs 7.5% · n=128
On Good to Soft going 1.4% vs 7.5% · n=74
With C&D winners 13.5% vs 7.5% · n=37
Off a 15-30-day break 11.7% vs 7.5% · n=120
Over 2m5f – 3m 3.1% vs 7.5% · n=96
In Chase races 3.7% vs 7.5% · n=54
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 257 23 8.9% −115.02
Flat 55 3 5.5% −0.50
Chase 54 2 3.7% −45.50
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 107 11 10.3% −6.62
Good 104 8 7.7% −58.30
Good to Soft 74 1 1.4% −67.00
Heavy 64 6 9.4% −32.60
Standard (AW) 24 2 8.3% −3.50
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 52 5 9.6% −5.22
Killarney 28 4 14.3% −1.50
Listowel 27 1 3.7% −16.00
Punchestown 25 2 8% −16.50
Dundalk (AW) 23 2 8.7% −2.50
Wexford 22 1 4.5% −15.00
Cork 18 0 0% −18.00
Ballinrobe 17 0 0% −17.00
Kilbeggan 16 1 6.3% −13.80
Galway 15 2 13.3% +5.50
Fairyhouse 14 1 7.1% −1.00
Sligo 12 2 16.7% +0.50
Clonmel 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Roscommon 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 2 1 50% +6.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 11 34.4% 1.50 +8.48
2nd–3rd fav 60 8 13.3% 0.98 −15.50
4th–6th fav 96 6 6.3% 0.84 −34.00
7th+ in betting 187 3 1.6% 0.62 −129.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.2% completed · 311 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 54 66.7% 3 5 10 0 0
Hurdle 257 87.9% 6 5 19 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tir Og (IRE) 14 3 6 3 Sep 26
Dream In The Park (IRE) 7 1 3 22 Mar 26
Cahirdown Boy (IRE) 6 0 1 25 Sep 26
Kasper Hauser (GB) 6 2 4 28 Aug 26
Hees Dynamite (IRE) 6 1 2 22 Aug 26
Decimation (IRE) 6 0 2 4 Aug 26
Glitz And Glamour (IRE) 6 1 2 4 Aug 26
Calzaghi (IRE) 6 0 0 3 Aug 26
The Sugarhill Lady (IRE) 6 0 0 27 Dec 25
Gaoithe Glory (IRE) 6 0 0 27 Dec 25
Illtakehimmyself (IRE) 5 1 4 20 Aug 26
Storm Mahler (IRE) 5 0 1 20 Aug 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 229 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
050003119771711
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardE McNamara
34% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.99
TrainerRWSR£1
E McNamara 127 11 8.7% −39.22
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
28
Archived wins
£368k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 14 wins
Tir Og (IRE) — Overlander Fishery Lane Novice Hurdle Naas · Nov 2025
£13,275
Scotcantou (IRE) — Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Galway · Oct 2024
£11,800
Mercury Mission (GB) — Neville Hotels Handicap Hurdle Wexford · Aug 2025
£11,800
Notable horses
Tir Og (IRE) Kasper Hauser (GB) Say It So (IRE) Dream In The Park (IRE) Hees Dynamite (IRE) Glitz And Glamour (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Ocovango (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,009 runs since 2019 (307 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,024 runs since 2011 (703 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,873 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Tirwanako (FR) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 16.7% of 294 runs since 2012 (46 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,953 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Mahler (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,871 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 375 · newest first

The latest 50 of 375 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 February 2023 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Worcester Katie's Melody (IRE)T: Harry Derham Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 12/1
22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Escapeandevade (IRE)T: Harry Derham bettingsites.co.uk Fast Withdrawal Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 6/1
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Dundeelin (IRE)T: Harry Derham Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 80/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Cahirdown Boy (IRE)T: E McNamara Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran UR 22/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Lil Soldier (IRE)T: E McNamara Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 17 ran 7th 100/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Aboras Mahler (IRE)T: E McNamara Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 8th 16/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Individualism (GB)T: E McNamara McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 5th 66/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Urra Mass Rock (IRE)T: E Seymour Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 16 ran PU 300/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Jeaniemacaroney (IRE)T: E McNamara Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 17th 80/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Custers Mistake (IRE)T: Peter McCreery Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase17f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 40/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Camlin Park (IRE)T: John C McConnell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran PU 13/2
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Mia In Milan (IRE)T: D E Fitzgerald Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 100/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Wills History (IRE)T: Brian M McMahon Burke's Clonbur 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 40/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Tir Og (IRE)T: E Seymour Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 9/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Three County Star (IRE)T: Brian Mortell Racing Again October 25th & 26th Handicap Steeplechase25f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 33/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Kasper Hauser (GB)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Dan & Breda Byrne Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 7/2J
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Nukie's Artic (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Visitwexford.ie Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran UR 18/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Don't Tell Paddy (GB)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 6th 14/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Leva Deva (IRE)T: Darren Collins Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 300/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Hees Dynamite (IRE)T: E McNamara Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 22 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Calum Hogan's strike rate?
Calum Hogan has won 28 of 375 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Calum Hogan do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 5 wins from 52 rides (9.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Calum Hogan ride most for?
E McNamara, with 127 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8.7%).
Is Calum Hogan in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Calum Hogan's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 375 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).