Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.74).
Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026
The read
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Connacht Hotel Handicap at Galway (Jul 2016, £47,200).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−4.6
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.3%+0.7
n=19 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −13.50
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 2.81 · £1 +4.83
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.6%+0.0
n=65 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −51.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.6
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse0% vs 4.6% · n=32
With Oliver McKiernan8.3% vs 4.6% · n=48
Over 1m5f – 2m7.5% vs 4.6% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle8256.1%−52.67
Chase2700%−27.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft5135.9%−32.00
Good to Soft2713.7%−21.00
Good2015%−15.67
Heavy1100%−11.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown2015%−16.50
Naas11218.2%+0.50
Fairyhouse1000%−10.00
Clonmel900%−9.00
Limerick8112.5%−3.67
Navan800%−8.00
Thurles700%−7.00
Leopardstown700%−7.00
Cork600%−6.00
Downpatrick6116.7%+4.00
Ballinrobe500%−5.00
Tramore400%−4.00
Down Royal200%−2.00
Wexford200%−2.00
Kilbeggan200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 11100%−11.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3266.7%2.81+4.83
2nd–3rd fav17211.8%0.71−5.50
4th–6th fav2514%0.56−15.00
7th+ in betting6400%0.00−64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m4037.5%−25.00
2m1f – 2m4f3825.3%−23.67
2m5f – 3m2700%−27.00
Over 3m400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4712.1%−42.67
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners4037.5%−26.67
11-13 runners2700%−27.00
14-16 runners2500%−25.00
8-10 runners9111.1%+1.00
5-7 runners8112.5%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 57 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
759050······
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→
66
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.10m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 12 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Swamp Fox (IRE) — Connacht Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap (70-100) Galway · Jul 2016
£47,200
Swamp Fox (IRE) — Mchale Coranna Handicap Hurdle Ballinrobe · May 2017
£18,450
Gallant John Joe (IRE) — Irish Racing Writers Kingsfurze Novice Hurdle (Listed) Naas · Mar 2019 · Listed
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,161 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,244 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,248 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,248 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2007 to 3 June 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Barry Browne's strike rate?
Barry Browne has won 5 of 109 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Barry Browne's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 109 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Barry Browne·SR 4.6%·A/E 0.74
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