Cian Quirke
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 210 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (80 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.88), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.6% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.27). A. Slattery supplies 19% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.1% vs 8%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.5% over 79 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the WillowWarm Gold Cup at Fairyhouse (Apr 2026, £58,900).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,124 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,124 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 July 2019 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Cian Quirke's strike rate?
- Cian Quirke has won 85 of 1,057 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Cian Quirke do best at?
- Gowran Park by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Cian Quirke ride most for?
- A. Slattery, with 205 rides since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (16.1%).
- Is Cian Quirke in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Cian Quirke's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 1,057 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.