As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Newcastle (AW)Last run 13 Oct 2026 · 7th of 10Last raced off OR 57
KTB Profile
Thestral is 1 from 10 with the win at Class 5 level in a 6f-7f novice at Newcastle on standard all-weather in Dec 2025. He has never won on turf from four starts and is 0 from six over 1m-1m1f. His last run came at Wolverhampton in Oct 2026 when he finished 7 of 10 in a Class 6 handicap off an official rating of 57, 11lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 10 archived runs · run-style from 10 commented runs since Nov 2025 · updated 26 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceWon on AW, 0 on turfWin at Class 5OR ↓ 11lb off peak
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating57↓ 11lb off peak
5757–68
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed83the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Wolverhampton (AW), 13 Oct 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 10 figures · best 101C · median 77
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 26 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
6
83A
77
6 runs · 83 / 77
Good
2
82A
69.5
2 runs · 82 / 69.5
Soft
1
—
—
1 run · —
Good to Firm
1
—
—
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 26 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f
6
101C
70.5
6 runs · 101 / 70.5
6f – 7f
4
83A
82
4 runs · 83 / 82
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 21 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating63Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Ffos Las, 4 Aug 2026Official rating 57at the last run, 13 Oct 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 10 figures · best 79A · median 55.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 26 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
6
79A
55.5
6 runs · 79 / 55.5
Good
2
63A
56
2 runs · 63 / 56
Soft
1
—
—
1 run · —
Good to Firm
1
—
—
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 26 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f
6
71A
49.5
6 runs · 71 / 49.5
6f – 7f
4
79A
70.5
4 runs · 79 / 70.5
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 21 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ranMissed the break and raced freely - travelling in the pack from 6f out - challenged over 2f out before fading inside the final furlong to finish 7th
Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ranracing towards the back - came under pressure passing the 2f marker and was in trouble long before fading inside the final furlong
Heineken 0.0 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ranKnocked at the off and forced wide early - tracked the front group - roused along with 3f left - closed to dispute matters 2f out - drifted left under pressure inside final furlong - held on for third at the finish
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ranSat close to the pace - pushed along with 2f left - found extra to take second close home
Enter ITV7 For Free HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ranSettled midpack early - pressed for effort with 2f left - dropped away and finished distant tenth
Virgin Bet A Good Bet HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ranPulled hard early - sat close to the front group - driven with 2f left before fading quickly
Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ranSet the pace from the off - lost the advantage by a short margin approaching 2f out - found more when pressed a furlong out - regained command close home and kept going to the line
Thestral (GB) won 1 of 10 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 3 times in total (30% of starts).
Who trains Thestral?
Thestral (GB) is trained by Tony Carroll, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 13 October 2026.
Who is Thestral's sire?
Thestral (GB) is by Dream Ahead (USA) out of Vasilia (GB), whose sire is Dansili.
What going does Thestral prefer?
Thestral (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Thestral's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 57, from the run on 13 October 2026. The highest on record is 68.
What is Thestral's sire's record?
Dream Ahead (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 5,682 runs since Jan 2008 (528 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Who are Thestral's siblings?
Out of Vasilia (GB), Thestral (GB) has 10 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Dream Of Dreams (IRE) (9). Highest grade won: Group 1 (Dream Of Dreams (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.
Thestral (GB)·1–10·SR 10%
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