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Jockey profile

Bauyrzhan Murzabayev

465 rides in the last 5 seasons · 277 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 6 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
55–465
Wins / Runs
11.8%
Strike rate
n=465
118 (25%)
Placed
1.03
n=464 · 0.86 incl. margin
−141.80
£1 level stake
n=465 at SP · −30.5%
£1.94m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (50 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 465 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 14.3% 36.1% when favourite A Fabre: 20% from 145 LTO winners: 18% Rides the favourite in 13% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (15.1%, n=73), clear of the rider's 11.8% baseline. It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (8.5% over 129 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.96), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.8% (n=161, Fair A/E 0.97). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 9.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −61.70 to a £1 stake over 123 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. A Fabre supplies 31% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20% vs 11.8%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 61-180-day break (16.5%, n=85) and over 6f – 7f (15.9%, n=126). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic at Ascot (Aug 2024, £39,344). Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.8%+0.0
n=272 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −49.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
18%+6.2
n=50 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −7.40
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.3%+2.5
n=126 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −0.20
When favourite
36.1%
n=61 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −1.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−11.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.8%−5.0
n=161 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −50.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.8%−2.0
n=123 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −61.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With A Fabre 20% vs 11.8% · n=145
On last-time-out winners 18% vs 11.8% · n=50
Off a 61-180-day break 16.5% vs 11.8% · n=85
Over 6f – 7f 15.9% vs 11.8% · n=126
At Longchamp (FR) 8.5% vs 11.8% · n=129
At Deauville (FR) 15.1% vs 11.8% · n=73
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 161 20 12.4% −44.60
Soft 143 17 11.9% −60.00
Standard (AW) 82 9 11% −4.50
Heavy 39 4 10.3% −24.60
Good 37 4 10.8% −18.10
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Longchamp (FR) 129 11 8.5% −71.60
Chantilly (FR) 128 17 13.3% −33.50
Saint-Cloud (FR) 109 13 11.9% −39.70
Deauville (FR) 73 11 15.1% +10.40
Ascot 6 1 16.7% +7.00
Compiegne (FR) 5 1 20% −2.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 2 1 50% +0.60
Baden-Baden (GER) 2 0 0% −2.00
San Siro (ITY) 2 0 0% −2.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Hamburg (GER) 1 0 0% −1.00
Dusseldorf (GER) 1 0 0% −1.00
Cologne (GER) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 123 12 9.8% −61.70
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 1 1 100% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 67 22 32.8% 1.08 −7.50
2nd–3rd fav 96 17 17.7% 1.10 −5.30
4th–6th fav 138 12 8.7% 1.04 −32.50
7th+ in betting 164 4 2.4% 0.67 −96.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ciccio Boy (FR) 10 0 5 7 Oct 23
L'Ienissei (FR) 9 1 3 7 Oct 23
Principe (GER) 7 1 1 17 May 24
Belbek (FR) 6 1 2 22 Oct 23
Kamiyah (IRE) 6 1 2 22 Sep 23
Ashdel (FR) 5 0 2 12 Oct 23
Ottery (GB) 5 1 2 30 Sep 23
Bravais (GB) 5 1 3 10 Sep 23
Tremblant (GB) 5 1 2 17 Aug 23
Rathmore (IRE) 5 0 1 29 Jun 23
Saint Fiacre (FR) 4 1 1 17 May 24
Sea The Sky (GER) 4 0 0 22 Oct 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 277 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·051615121017590·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardA Fabre
31% of all rides
20% SR · A/E 1.14
TrainerRWSR£1
A Fabre 145 29 20% −13.50
P Schiergen 46 4 8.7% −27.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
59
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£2.13m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 47 wins
Going Remote (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) Ascot · Aug 2024 · Class 3
£39,344
Belbek (FR) — Prix Perth (3yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2023 · Group 3
£35,398
Ottery (GB) — Prix de Royaumont (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 3
£35,398

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingman (GB) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,535 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.
Frankel (GB) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 18% of 7,548 runs since 2016 (883 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.
Siyouni (FR) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 13% of 8,377 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 462.
Dubawi (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,996 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,992 runs since 2013 (1,119 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Hunter's Light (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11% of 1,354 runs since 2019 (154 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 169. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 170. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.1% from 213. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 134.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 534 · newest first

The latest 50 of 534 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2015 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Daytona (GER)T: P Schiergen Grand Prix Du NordClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bauyrzhan Murzabayev's strike rate?
Bauyrzhan Murzabayev has won 55 of 465 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bauyrzhan Murzabayev do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 73 rides (15.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Bauyrzhan Murzabayev ride most for?
A Fabre, with 145 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (20%).
Is Bauyrzhan Murzabayev in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Bauyrzhan Murzabayev's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 464 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).