What is Stephen Thorne's strike rate?

Stephen Thorne has won 45 of 329 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Stephen Thorne do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 32 wins from 150 runners (21.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Stephen Thorne?

Jack Kearney, with 180 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (16.7%).

Is Stephen Thorne in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Stephen Thorne's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Stephen Thorne

329 runners in the last 5 seasons · 47 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2022

45–329

Wins / Runs

13.7%

Strike rate

n=329

119 (36%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=329 · 0.84 incl. margin

−63.46

£1 level stake

n=329 at SP · −19.3%

£928k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (209 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 329 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 33.3% when favourite Jack Kearney: 16.7% from 180 Claiming riders: 16.3% Sends off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (21.3%, n=150), clear of the yard's 13.7% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.46). Jack Kearney rides 55% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16.7% vs 13.7%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (20.9%, n=153). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 5% over 60 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Autumn Fillies Handicap at Leopardstown (Sep 2025, £59,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%−6.4

n=41 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −23.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.6%−8.1

n=36 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −22.90

Debutants · first career start

25%+11.3

n=12 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +30.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−13.7

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.7%−7.0

n=15 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −9.50

When favourite

33.3%

n=48 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −7.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.3%+2.6

n=209 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −23.03

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%−5.4

n=12 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −7.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.4% vs 13.7% · n=41

At Dundalk (AW) 21.3% vs 13.7% · n=150

On Standard (AW) going 20.9% vs 13.7% · n=153

On Soft going 5% vs 13.7% · n=60

At Curragh 5% vs 13.7% · n=40

With new recruits 5.6% vs 13.7% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 153 32 20.9% +13.47

Good 78 6 7.7% −37.63

Soft 60 3 5% −37.90

Good to Soft 15 2 13.3% +16.00

Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −8.50

Heavy 11 1 9.1% −8.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 150 32 21.3% +16.47

Curragh 40 2 5% −27.40

Leopardstown 28 2 7.1% +8.00

Naas 20 2 10% −5.88

Galway 17 0 0% −17.00

Gowran Park 12 2 16.7% −5.40

Cork 9 3 33.3% +5.25

Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00

Navan 7 0 0% −7.00

Killarney 6 1 16.7% −1.50

Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00

Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00

Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00

Roscommon 2 1 50% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 12 1 8.3% −7.50

Class 2 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 61 20 32.8% 1.16 −4.62

2nd–3rd fav 100 12 12% 0.77 −45.34

4th–6th fav 92 10 10.9% 1.28 +4.00

7th+ in betting 76 3 3.9% 0.92 −17.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pink Oxalis (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy 26 4 11 18 Oct 26

Perfect Judgement (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then P J F Murphy 17 3 3 13 Mar 26

Gleneagle Bay (IRE)from Jack W Davison 15 1 6 12 Sep 26

Never Shout Never (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then Andrew McNamara 15 1 8 15 Aug 25

Shoot To Kill (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then Denis Gerard Hogan 15 3 10 16 Jul 25

Far From Dandy (IRE)from George Boughey 14 2 6 28 Jul 26

Hightimeyouwon (GB)from Jack W Davison 14 4 8 7 Nov 25

Sir Les Patterson (GB)from Harry Eustace 13 2 5 2 Oct 26

Inishfallen (IRE)from Brian Meehan 12 0 2 7 Aug 26

Independent Expert (IRE)from Andrew Slattery · then Denis Gerard Hogan 11 2 3 3 Dec 25

Ocean Manifest (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 10 2 5 25 Jul 26

Laugh A Minute (GB)from Jack W Davison 10 1 4 21 Oct 25

All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jack W Davison (13); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Gerard Hogan (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

29212012173114452421

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Kearney

55% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 1.22

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Kearney 180 30 16.7% −17.11

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£928k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 30 wins

Pink Oxalis (IRE) — Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Autumn Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap) Leopardstown · Sep 2025

£59,000

Gleneagle Bay (IRE) — Mallow Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cork · Jun 2026

£58,900

Jagged Edge (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed) Killarney (IRE) · Aug 2026 · Listed

£30,000

Notable horses

Pink Oxalis (IRE) Hightimeyouwon (GB) Perfect Judgement (IRE) Shoot To Kill (IRE) Instant Appeal (GB) Far From Dandy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Caravaggio (USA) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,767 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.5% from 164.

Inns Of Court (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (230 horses).

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Dandy Man (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Gleneagles (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,551 runs since 2008 (444 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 279.

Ardad (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,502 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 329 · newest first

The latest 50 of 329 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 October 2024 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Son Of Beauty (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 5th 18/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Pink Oxalis (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Excellent Believe (GB)J: Colin Keane Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 10th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Jagged Edge (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 5th 25/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Thunderbear (IRE)J: Jack Kearney RFL Steels Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/2

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) All Talk (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 9th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Alissam (IRE)J: Jack Kearney BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 20/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Pink Oxalis (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap8f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 6/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Someday Somewhere (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/2

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sir Les Patterson (GB)J: Jack Kearney BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 3/1F

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kerdos (IRE)J: Reese Holohan BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race5f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 11/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Excellent Believe (GB)J: Colin Keane Izuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 2/1F

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Crayons In The Sky (GB)J: Jack Kearney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 100/30

22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Jagged Edge (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 9/4J

22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) All Talk (IRE)J: Rory Cleary SIS Irish EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 11/2

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Trustmore (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Monologue (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race5f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 17/2

13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Sir Les Patterson (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap6f · Yielding · 24 ran 24th 16/1

13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Thunderbear (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap6f · Yielding · 24 ran 5th 40/1

12 Sep 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Pink Oxalis (IRE)J: Jack Kearney World Pool Bet With Tote Autumn Fillies Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 6th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Thorne's strike rate?: Stephen Thorne has won 45 of 329 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephen Thorne do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 32 wins from 150 runners (21.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stephen Thorne?: Jack Kearney, with 180 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (16.7%).
Is Stephen Thorne in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stephen Thorne's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.