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Horse profile

True Statesman (IRE)

4yo gelding (at last run, Aug 2024) · Last trainer Adrian McGuinness · Last owner J Fairhurst Mark Devenny Cyril Mcmullan
by Churchill (IRE) out of True Verdict (IRE) (Danehill Dancer)
23 runs · 16 courses · from Apr 2022
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 1 Aug 2024 — 818 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Aug 2024 · 12th of 18 2 wins · Chester & Chelmsford City (AW) Last raced off OR 66
KTB Profile

True Statesman won both his starts at Class 4 level in 2022, one in the EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes at Chelmsford City over 6f-7f on standard ground and the other in a nursery handicap at Chester over the same trip on good ground. The gelding, who raced 23 times in total, has not won since Jul 2022. He last ran at Galway in Aug 2024, finishing 12th of 18 in the Guinness 0.0 Handicap off an official rating of 66, 25lb below his highest ever mark.

Based on 23 archived runs · run-style from 1 commented run since Aug 2024 · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance All wins at Class 4 OR ↓ 25lb off peak
Official rating66↓ 25lb off peak
66 66–91

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 97 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Leopardstown, 20 Jun 2024

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 22 figures · best 101A · median 76
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)9101A77—
Good8100A86.5—
Good to Soft290C75—
Good to Firm266A55.5—
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f10100A85—
6f – 7f690C76—
1m2f – 1m4f4101A70—
Under 6f271B68.5—

Of 23 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 23 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 69A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Dundalk (AW), 12 Jul 2024 Official rating 66 at the last run, 1 Aug 2024

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 23 figures · best 97B · median 73
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)994A80—
Good897B70.5—
Soft264C60.5—
Good to Soft284B73—
Good to Firm280B79—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f1081A72—
6f – 7f697B81—
1m2f – 1m4f586A64—
Under 6f280B78—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 23 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Churchill (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,817 runs since Jan 2008 (461 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm9111.1%+0.1—
Good to Firm6477912.2%+1.20 from 2
Good1,37816512%+11 from 8
Good to Soft533519.6%−1.40 from 2
Soft716638.8%−2.20 from 2
Heavy226198.4%−2.6—
Standard (AW)1,30815011.5%+0.51 from 9
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1461711.6%+0.60 from 2
6f – 7f1,30614511.1%+0.12 from 6
1m – 1m1f1,12211910.6%−0.40 from 10
1m2f – 1m4f1,30413810.6%−0.40 from 5
1m5f – 2m6468012.4%+1.4—
2m1f – 2m4f2492811.2%+0.2—
2m5f – 3m4412.3%−8.7—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
True Verdict (IRE) (Danehill Dancer)

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Vitamin (IRE) (2 wins).

The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Vitamin (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Vitamin (IRE)727f–1mClass 3
Seven Eleven (GB)1215f—
Rest My Case (IRE)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 9 1 11% −7.09
Good 8 1 13% −6.17
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 10 2 20% −6.26
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 4 1 25% −2.09
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Dundalk (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00
Goodwood 1 0 0% −1.00
Chester 1 1 100% +0.83
Nottingham 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m – 1m1f 10 0 0% −10.00
6f – 7f 6 2 33% −2.26
1m2f – 1m4f 5 0 0% −5.00
Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Ronan Whelan 3 0 0% −3.00
Cian MacRedmond 3 0 0% −3.00
Jack Mitchell 3 0 0% −3.00
Richard Kingscote 3 0 0% −3.00
Jason Hart 2 1 50% −0.17
Adam Caffrey 1 0 0% −1.00
Rory Cleary 1 0 0% −1.00
Rossa Ryan 1 0 0% −1.00
Andrew Mullen 1 0 0% −1.00
Rob Hornby 1 0 0% −1.00
Connor Beasley 1 0 0% −1.00
Ryan Moore 1 0 0% −1.00
J F Egan 1 1 100% +0.91
Franny Norton 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 14 2 14% −10.26
Blinkers 5 0 0% −5.00
Cheekpieces 3 0 0% −3.00
Visor 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2024 11 0 0% −11.00
2023 5 0 0% −5.00
2022 7 2 29% −3.26

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2024 · 11 runs
01 Aug 24+13d Galway Guinness 0.0 Handicap (50-70) 12f · Yielding · 18 ran Towards the back of the pack - always struggling to land a blow - no response entering the straight and beaten some way out - allowed to coast home in 12th 12/18 12 9-12 66—64C Ronan Whelan 50/1
19 Jul 24+7d Down Royal Harvertech Handicap 10.5f · Good · 8 ran 8/8 17 9-1 6965C51C Adam Caffrey 22/1
12 Jul 24+18d Dundalk (AW) Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap (47-75) 12f · Standard · 14 ran 11/14 nk 9-11 7072B69A Ronan Whelan 13/2
24 Jun 24+4d Ballinrobe Treacy's Pharmacies Handicap 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 7/10 1½ 9-2 7285A55A Cian MacRedmond 12/1
20 Jun 24+14d Leopardstown Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (47-75) 8f · Good · 12 ran 6/12 1¾ 9-8 7297A74A Cian MacRedmond 9/1
06 Jun 24+17d Leopardstown 1888 Restaurant Handicap 9f · Good · 7 ran 4/7 hd 8-7 72100A70A Rory Cleary 22/1
20 May 24+7d Roscommon Abbey Hotel Roscommon Handicap 10.5f · Good · 8 ran 6/8 4½ 9-4 7568A62A Cian MacRedmond 50/1
13 May 24+103d Roscommon www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap (50-80) 7.5f · Soft · 15 ran 14/15 6½ 9-12 7674C57C Ronan Whelan 20/1
31 Jan 24+10d Kempton (AW) Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap Class 4 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 4/7 1¾ 9-9 7885A81A Jack Mitchell 9/2
21 Jan 24+14d Chelmsford City (AW) Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4/12 ¾ 9-2 7874A81A Jack Mitchell 11/1
07 Jan 24+8d Wolverhampton (AW) Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10/11 3¾ 9-5 7975A65A Rossa Ryan 5/1
2023 · 5 runs
30 Dec 23+23d Wolverhampton (AW) Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3/8 shd 9-6 7977A80A Andrew Mullen 5/1
07 Dec 23+13d Chelmsford City (AW) Liam Taylor Legacy Handicap Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 3/11 1 9-10 80101A86A Jack Mitchell 14/1
24 Nov 23+13d Southwell (AW) Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10/11 3½ 9-9 8375A61A Richard Kingscote 14/1
11 Nov 23+175d Chelmsford City (AW) Sam Fox Supports The Royal British Legion Handicap Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9/10 ¾ 9-12 8597A73A Richard Kingscote 16/1
20 May 23+234d Newmarket Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap Class 4 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 8/11 5 9-11 8789A71A Rob Hornby 28/1
2022 · 7 runs
28 Sep 22+20d Catterick NFRC Nursery Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3/4 2¾ 9-9 8990C84B Connor Beasley 9/2
08 Sep 22+42d Doncaster Weatherbys Scientific 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Class 2 · 6.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13/15 4½ 9-4 9160C62C Richard Kingscote 33/1
28 Jul 22+20d Goodwood Jaeger-Lecoultre Nursery Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10/12 2 9-9 9145A78A Ryan Moore 15/8F
08 Jul 22+22d Chester Envirosips Nursery Class 4 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 1/6 9-9 8388A97B Jason Hart 5/6F
16 Jun 22+47d Chelmsford City (AW) EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 1/7 9-7 —78A94A J F Egan 10/11F
30 Apr 22+14d Doncaster British European Breeders' Fund EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3/6 nk 9-5 —66A80B Franny Norton 11/4
16 Apr 22 Nottingham Watch On Racing TV Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 4/8 ½ 9-5 —71B76A Jason Hart 9/2

Quick answers

How many races has True Statesman won?
True Statesman (IRE) won 2 of 23 archived starts between 2022 and 2024, a strike rate of 8.7%. Placed 4 times in total (17.4% of starts).
Who trained True Statesman?
True Statesman (IRE) was trained by Adrian McGuinness on the most recent run on record, at Galway on 1 August 2024.
Who is True Statesman's sire?
True Statesman (IRE) is by Churchill (IRE) out of True Verdict (IRE), whose sire is Danehill Dancer.
What going does True Statesman prefer?
True Statesman (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 8 starts (12.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is True Statesman's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 66, from the run on 1 August 2024. The highest on record is 91.
What is True Statesman's sire's record?
Churchill (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,817 runs since Jan 2008 (461 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are True Statesman's siblings?
Out of True Verdict (IRE), True Statesman (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Vitamin (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Vitamin (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from April 2022. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.