True Statesman (IRE)
True Statesman won both his starts at Class 4 level in 2022, one in the EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes at Chelmsford City over 6f-7f on standard ground and the other in a nursery handicap at Chester over the same trip on good ground. The gelding, who raced 23 times in total, has not won since Jul 2022. He last ran at Galway in Aug 2024, finishing 12th of 18 in the Guinness 0.0 Handicap off an official rating of 66, 25lb below his highest ever mark.
- 2–23Wins / Runs
- 8.7%Strike rate
- 4 (17.4%)Placed
- −19.26£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 0.68Fair A/E n=23 · 0.59 incl. margin
- 91Highest OR
- 38dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 101A | 77 | — |
| Good | 8 | 100A | 86.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 90C | 75 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 66A | 55.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 10 | 100A | 85 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 90C | 76 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 101A | 70 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 71B | 68.5 | — |
Of 23 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 23 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,793 runs since Jan 2008 (459 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +0.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 644 | 79 | 12.3% | +1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 1,376 | 165 | 12% | +1 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 533 | 51 | 9.6% | −1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 710 | 62 | 8.7% | −2.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 224 | 19 | 8.5% | −2.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,297 | 150 | 11.6% | +0.6 | 1 from 9 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 146 | 17 | 11.6% | +0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,298 | 145 | 11.2% | +0.2 | 2 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,117 | 118 | 10.6% | −0.4 | 0 from 10 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,300 | 138 | 10.6% | −0.4 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 644 | 80 | 12.4% | +1.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 244 | 28 | 11.5% | +0.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 44 | 1 | 2.3% | −8.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Vitamin (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Vitamin (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitamin (IRE) | 7 | 2 | 7f–1m | Class 3 |
| Seven Eleven (GB) | 12 | 1 | 5f | — |
| Rest My Case (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 1 | 11% | −7.09 |
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | −6.17 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −6.26 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.09 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Roscommon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.83 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 2 | 33% | −2.26 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronan Whelan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cian MacRedmond | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jack Mitchell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jason Hart | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.17 |
| Adam Caffrey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rory Cleary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Connor Beasley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| J F Egan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Franny Norton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 14 | 2 | 14% | −10.26 |
| Blinkers | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2023 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2022 | 7 | 2 | 29% | −3.26 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug 24+13d | Galway | Guinness 0.0 Handicap (50-70) Towards the back of the pack - always struggling to land a blow - no response entering the straight and beaten some way out - allowed to coast home in 12th | 12/18 | 12 | 9-12 | 66 | — | 64C | Ronan Whelan | 50/1 |
| 19 Jul 24+7d | Down Royal | Harvertech Handicap | 8/8 | 17 | 9-1 | 69 | 65C | 51C | Adam Caffrey | 22/1 |
| 12 Jul 24+18d | Dundalk (AW) | Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap (47-75) | 11/14 | nk | 9-11 | 70 | 72B | 69A | Ronan Whelan | 13/2 |
| 24 Jun 24+4d | Ballinrobe | Treacy's Pharmacies Handicap | 7/10 | 1½ | 9-2 | 72 | 85A | 55A | Cian MacRedmond | 12/1 |
| 20 Jun 24+14d | Leopardstown | Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (47-75) | 6/12 | 1¾ | 9-8 | 72 | 97A | 74A | Cian MacRedmond | 9/1 |
| 06 Jun 24+17d | Leopardstown | 1888 Restaurant Handicap | 4/7 | hd | 8-7 | 72 | 100A | 70A | Rory Cleary | 22/1 |
| 20 May 24+7d | Roscommon | Abbey Hotel Roscommon Handicap | 6/8 | 4½ | 9-4 | 75 | 68A | 62A | Cian MacRedmond | 50/1 |
| 13 May 24+103d | Roscommon | www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap (50-80) | 14/15 | 6½ | 9-12 | 76 | 74C | 57C | Ronan Whelan | 20/1 |
| 31 Jan 24+10d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap | 4/7 | 1¾ | 9-9 | 78 | 85A | 81A | Jack Mitchell | 9/2 |
| 21 Jan 24+14d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap | 4/12 | ¾ | 9-2 | 78 | 74A | 81A | Jack Mitchell | 11/1 |
| 07 Jan 24+8d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap | 10/11 | 3¾ | 9-5 | 79 | 75A | 65A | Rossa Ryan | 5/1 |
| 30 Dec 23+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap | 3/8 | shd | 9-6 | 79 | 77A | 80A | Andrew Mullen | 5/1 |
| 07 Dec 23+13d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Liam Taylor Legacy Handicap | 3/11 | 1 | 9-10 | 80 | 101A | 86A | Jack Mitchell | 14/1 |
| 24 Nov 23+13d | Southwell (AW) | Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap | 10/11 | 3½ | 9-9 | 83 | 75A | 61A | Richard Kingscote | 14/1 |
| 11 Nov 23+175d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Sam Fox Supports The Royal British Legion Handicap | 9/10 | ¾ | 9-12 | 85 | 97A | 73A | Richard Kingscote | 16/1 |
| 20 May 23+234d | Newmarket | Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap | 8/11 | 5 | 9-11 | 87 | 89A | 71A | Rob Hornby | 28/1 |
| 28 Sep 22+20d | Catterick | NFRC Nursery | 3/4 | 2¾ | 9-9 | 89 | 90C | 84B | Connor Beasley | 9/2 |
| 08 Sep 22+42d | Doncaster | Weatherbys Scientific 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) | 13/15 | 4½ | 9-4 | 91 | 60C | 62C | Richard Kingscote | 33/1 |
| 28 Jul 22+20d | Goodwood | Jaeger-Lecoultre Nursery | 10/12 | 2 | 9-9 | 91 | 45A | 78A | Ryan Moore | 15/8F |
| 08 Jul 22+22d | Chester | Envirosips Nursery | 1/6 | 9-9 | 83 | 88A | 97B | Jason Hart | 5/6F | |
| 16 Jun 22+47d | Chelmsford City (AW) | EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/7 | 9-7 | — | 78A | 94A | J F Egan | 10/11F | |
| 30 Apr 22+14d | Doncaster | British European Breeders' Fund EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/6 | nk | 9-5 | — | 66A | 80B | Franny Norton | 11/4 |
| 16 Apr 22 | Nottingham | Watch On Racing TV Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/8 | ½ | 9-5 | — | 71B | 76A | Jason Hart | 9/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has True Statesman (IRE) won?
- True Statesman (IRE) won 2 of 23 archived starts between 2022 and 2024, a strike rate of 8.7%. Placed 4 times in total (17.4% of starts).
- Who trained True Statesman (IRE)?
- True Statesman (IRE) was trained by Adrian McGuinness on the most recent run on record, at Galway on 1 August 2024.
- Who is True Statesman (IRE)'s sire?
- True Statesman (IRE) is by Churchill (IRE) out of True Verdict (IRE), whose sire is Danehill Dancer.
- What going does True Statesman (IRE) prefer?
- True Statesman (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 8 starts (12.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is True Statesman (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 66, from the run on 1 August 2024. The highest on record is 91.
- What is True Statesman (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Churchill (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,793 runs since Jan 2008 (459 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are True Statesman (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of True Verdict (IRE), True Statesman (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Vitamin (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Vitamin (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.