No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–305
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=305
43 (14%)
Placed
0.73
Fair A/E
n=304 · 0.62 incl. margin
−128.00
£1 level stake
n=305 at SP · −42.0%
£66,246
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.73).
Deterministic profile computed from 305 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Mar–AprFresh horses: 4.2%Conor O'Farrell: 1.8% from 55Claiming riders: 4.4%
The read
The record is strongest at Wincanton (10.9%, n=55), clear of the yard's 3.6% baseline. Conor O'Farrell rode 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.8%, A/E 0.39). The yard also read well off a 61-180-day break (6.8%, n=44). The record read poorly in Class 6 — 0% over 46 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Apr.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.2%+0.6
n=72 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5%+1.4
n=20 · A/E 2.15 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.6
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.4%+0.8
n=136 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −10.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Wincanton10.9% vs 3.6% · n=55
With David England9.1% vs 3.6% · n=55
In Class 60% vs 3.6% · n=46
With horses switching code0% vs 3.6% · n=33
Off a 61-180-day break6.8% vs 3.6% · n=44
Over 2m5f – 3m5.7% vs 3.6% · n=123
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle20194.5%−42.00
Flat5211.9%−46.00
NH Flat2900%−29.00
Chase2314.3%−11.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good12443.2%−81.00
Good to Firm7334.1%−30.00
Good to Soft4524.4%+14.00
Soft2813.6%−2.00
Standard (AW)2214.5%−16.00
Firm800%−8.00
Heavy500%−5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton55610.9%+56.00
Newton Abbot5411.9%−28.00
Fontwell3712.7%−28.00
Exeter2300%−23.00
Taunton1700%−17.00
Lingfield (AW)1119.1%−5.00
Bath1000%−10.00
Uttoxeter1000%−10.00
Worcester9222.2%+16.00
Hereford800%−8.00
Kempton (AW)700%−7.00
Ffos Las700%−7.00
Chepstow600%−6.00
Market Rasen600%−6.00
Kempton400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 513053.8%−62.00
Class 411043.6%−28.00
Class 64600%−46.00
Class 31119.1%+10.00
Class 26116.7%+0.00
Class 7200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite300%0.00−3.00
2nd–3rd fav3339.1%0.62−11.00
4th–6th fav8133.7%0.55−51.00
7th+ in betting18852.7%1.18−63.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m12375.7%+13.00
2m1f – 2m4f8522.4%−62.00
1m5f – 2m4424.5%−26.00
1m2f – 1m4f1300%−13.00
6f – 7f1000%−10.00
1m – 1m1f1000%−10.00
Over 3m1000%−10.00
Under 6f1000%−10.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200825312%+47.00
20094824.2%−17.00
20104237.1%−11.00
20114300%−43.00
20121600%−16.00
20132328.7%+11.00
20142900%−29.00
20154212.4%−33.00
20163100%−31.00
2017600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps191105.2%−24.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners10254.9%−28.00
8-10 runners9122.2%−73.00
14-16 runners4800%−48.00
5-7 runners4400%−44.00
17+ runners17317.6%+62.00
2-4 runners3133.3%+3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 42 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Jones (3) and Laura Young (3); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.
14 have since run for another yard, most often for Polly Gundry (3) and Peter Brookshaw (2); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0810936400000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£81,545
Prize money
2010
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Noddies Way (GB) — Lingfield Park For Weddings Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2008 · Class 2
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Amilynx (FR)0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 7.2% of 292 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Sir Harry Lewis (USA)7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Exit To Nowhere (USA)0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Nomadic Way (USA)5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.8% of 799 runs since 2008 (70 horses).
Bertolini (USA)0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 364 · newest first
The latest 50 of 364 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2005 to 15 April 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is John Panvert's strike rate?
John Panvert has won 11 of 305 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Panvert do best at?
Wincanton by strike rate: 6 wins from 55 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Panvert?
Conor O'Farrell, with 55 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.8%).
What is John Panvert's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 304 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
John Panvert·SR 3.6%·A/E 0.73
KTB
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